Wed, Feb 24, 2021·Gila River Arena, Glendale
Anaheim Ducks 3, Arizona Coyotes 4 (SO)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 52% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANA | 19 | 211 | 011 | 04 | 1 | 335 |
| ARI | 010 | 06 | 311 | 01 | 2 | 428 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 19:48ANAMaxime ComtoisAssists: Jani Hakanpää, Cam Fowler · Backhand, 0.08 xG1–0
- P2 7:58ANAJosh MahuraAssists: Sam Steel · Snap, 0.03 xG2–0
- P2 15:46ANAMax JonesPPAssists: Maxime Comtois, Cam Fowler · Backhand, 0.14 xG3–0
- P3 10:05ARITyler PitlickAssists: Oliver Ekman-Larsson, Jordan Oesterle · Tip-in, 0.06 xG3–1
- P3 11:49ARIJakob ChychrunAssists: Conor Garland, Phil Kessel · Slap, 0.04 xG3–2
- P3 16:39ARIPhil KesselAssists: Conor Garland, Oliver Ekman-Larsson · Snap, 0.07 xG3–3
Shootout
- 1. ARI Nick Schmaltz stopped
- 2. ANA Trevor Zegras scored
- 3. ARI Conor Garland scored
- 4. ANA Maxime Comtois stopped
- 5. ARI Christian Dvorak scored
- 6. ANA Rickard Rakell stopped
Penalties (6)
- P1 5:13ANAIsac Lundeström: Hooking2 min
- P2 9:44ARIPhil Kessel: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P2 14:21ARINiklas Hjalmarsson: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 19:11ANABen Hutton: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 12:01ANAMax Jones: Roughing2 min
- P3 12:01ARIOliver Ekman-Larsson: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Schmaltz won the faceoff against Grant
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestGetzlaf – Milano – Jones10:42
xG 0.69–0.23 (75%)attempts 14–5goals 0–0
- Rakell – Comtois – Lundeström9:55
xG 0.47–0.66 (42%)attempts 7–12goals 0–0
- Silfverberg – Steel – Zegras10:57
xG 0.16–0.54 (23%)attempts 12–8goals 1–1
- Grant – Deslauriers – Lettieri7:46
xG 0.08–0.46 (15%)attempts 10–6goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestFowler – Hakanpää18:23
xG 0.51–0.33 (61%)attempts 16–10goals 1–1
- Hutton – Larsson16:35
xG 0.52–0.71 (42%)attempts 14–17goals 0–2
- Shattenkirk – Mahura11:57
xG 0.23–1.13 (17%)attempts 16–15goals 1–0
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestSchmaltz – Garland – Keller7:47
xG 0.84–0.04 (96%)attempts 10–8goals 0–1
- Schmaltz – Keller – Caggiula5:18
xG 0.49–0.06 (89%)attempts 8–2goals 0–0
- Kessel – Dvorak – Crouse6:20
xG 0.20–0.15 (57%)attempts 3–7goals 0–0
- Brassard – Pitlick – Crouse2:40
xG 0.06–0.04 (59%)attempts 2–1goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestGoligoski – Chychrun12:48
xG 1.35–0.34 (80%)attempts 19–11goals 1–2
- Hjalmarsson – Oesterle8:39
xG 0.24–0.14 (62%)attempts 5–8goals 0–0
- Ekman-Larsson – Lyubushkin8:25
xG 0.20–0.14 (60%)attempts 5–7goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ARI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ARI is favoured, below it ANA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 52% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ARI − ANA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).