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Ice Lab

Thu, Feb 25, 2021·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Nashville Predators 2, Detroit Red Wings 5

Away

Nashville Predators

2

Final

Home

Detroit Red Wings

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 65% of the time.

DET winsNSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:01Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Bernier
  3. P1 1:09Shot by Fabbro, saved by Bernier
  4. P1 2:35Shot by Sissons, saved by Bernier
  5. P1 4:28Shot by Benning, saved by Bernier
  6. P1 4:54Shot by Glendening, saved by Rinne
  7. P1 4:55Goal by Glendening (Zadina, Helm)+14 pts WP

    On ice: DET Helm, Nemeth, Glendening, Hronek, Zadina · NSH Borowiecki, Granlund, Forsberg, Benning, Arvidsson

  8. P1 6:07Shot by Josi, saved by Bernier
  9. P1 6:53Shot by Hronek, saved by Rinne
  10. P1 7:21Shot by Mantha, saved by Rinne
  11. P1 7:41Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Rinne
  12. P1 7:47Sissons: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Ryan, Nemeth, Namestnikov, Djoos, Zadina · NSH Borowiecki, Haula, Sissons, Benning, Kunin

  13. P1 9:49Shot by Fabbri, saved by Rinne
  14. P1 9:56Shot by Zadina, saved by Rinne
  15. P1 10:29Shot by Josi, saved by Bernier
  16. P1 10:43Shot by Merrill, saved by Rinne
  17. P1 11:08Shot by Duchene, saved by Bernier
  18. P1 13:08Shot by Larkin, saved by Rinne
  19. P1 13:29Merrill: Elbowing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Merrill, DeKeyser, Mantha, Larkin, Fabbri · NSH Granlund, Forsberg, Harpur, Arvidsson, Fabbro

  20. P1 13:35Shot by Forsberg, saved by Bernier4v5
  21. P1 14:14Shot by Granlund, saved by Bernier4v5
  22. P1 14:15Goal by Granlund (Josi, Tolvanen)4v5+15 pts WP

    On ice: DET Staal, Helm, Nemeth, Glendening · NSH Josi, Johansen, Granlund, Forsberg, Tolvanen

  23. P1 14:53Shot by Hronek, saved by Rinne
  24. P1 16:01Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Rinne
  25. P1 17:47Shot by Johansen, saved by Bernier
  26. P1 18:59Shot by Josi, saved by Bernier
  27. P1 0:00Period end
  28. P2 0:00Period start
  29. P2 0:26Shot by Fabbri, saved by Rinne
  30. P2 0:33Shot by Fabbri, saved by Rinne
  31. P2 1:20Shot by Granlund, saved by Bernier
  32. P2 1:35Shot by Harpur, saved by Bernier
  33. P2 2:43Staal: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DET Staal, Helm, Merrill, Glendening, Erne · NSH Josi, Ellis, Johansen, Cousins, Tolvanen

  34. P2 5:11Shot by Zadina, saved by Rinne
  35. P2 5:41Shot by Djoos, saved by Rinne
  36. P2 6:23Granlund: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: DET Djoos, Mantha, Larkin, Fabbri, Hronek · NSH Borowiecki, Granlund, Forsberg, Benning, Arvidsson

  37. P2 7:34Shot by Zadina, saved by Rinne5v4
  38. P2 7:58Shot by Grimaldi, saved by Bernier5v4
  39. P2 8:38Goal by Gagner (Ryan)+20 pts WP

    On ice: DET Ryan, Staal, Gagner, Merrill, Larkin · NSH Josi, Ellis, Granlund, Sissons, Kunin

  40. P2 8:46Glendening: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: DET Staal, Helm, Merrill, Glendening, Erne · NSH Granlund, Forsberg, Harpur, Arvidsson, Fabbro

  41. P2 9:52Shot by Tolvanen, saved by Bernier4v5
  42. P2 10:48Shot by Larkin, saved by Rinne
  43. P2 11:54Shot by Kunin, saved by Bernier
  44. P2 12:17Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Bernier
  45. P2 12:33Shot by Forsberg, saved by Bernier
  46. P2 14:11Shot by Gagner, saved by Rinne
  47. P2 15:24Shot by Ryan, saved by Rinne
  48. P2 16:34Shot by Kunin, saved by Bernier
  49. P2 17:21Shot by Forsberg, saved by Bernier
  50. P2 17:28Shot by Duchene, saved by Bernier
  51. P2 18:18Shot by Borowiecki, saved by Bernier
  52. P2 18:23Shot by Borowiecki, saved by Bernier
  53. P2 18:47Shot by Fabbri, saved by Rinne
  54. P2 19:00Shot by Josi, saved by Bernier
  55. P2 0:00Period end
  56. P3 0:00Period start
  57. P3 0:09Shot by Grimaldi, saved by Bernier
  58. P3 0:57Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Bernier
  59. P3 1:42Shot by Tolvanen, saved by Bernier
  60. P3 2:52Shot by Ellis, saved by Bernier
  61. P3 2:55Goal by Haula (Ellis, Kunin)+25 pts WP

    On ice: DET Nemeth, Mantha, Larkin, Fabbri, Hronek · NSH Josi, Ellis, Haula, Sissons, Kunin

  62. P3 3:31Shot by Josi, saved by Bernier
  63. P3 5:11Harpur: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DET Ryan, Namestnikov, DeKeyser, Hronek, Zadina · NSH Johansen, Cousins, Harpur, Fabbro, Tolvanen

  64. P3 5:20Shot by Larkin, saved by Rinne5v4
  65. P3 7:39Shot by Duchene, saved by Bernier
  66. P3 8:12Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Bernier
  67. P3 9:58Goal by Gagner (Ryan, DeKeyser)+30 pts WP

    On ice: DET Ryan, Gagner, Nemeth, Namestnikov, DeKeyser · NSH Borowiecki, Haula, Sissons, Benning, Kunin

  68. P3 10:33Shot by Hronek, saved by Rinne
  69. P3 11:51Shot by Josi, saved by Bernier
  70. P3 12:59Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Rinne
  71. P3 13:18Shot by Benning, saved by Bernier
  72. P3 13:36Namestnikov: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Ryan, Nemeth, Namestnikov, Hronek, Zadina · NSH Borowiecki, Granlund, Forsberg, Arvidsson, Fabbro

  73. P3 13:36Granlund: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: DET Ryan, Nemeth, Namestnikov, Hronek, Zadina · NSH Borowiecki, Granlund, Forsberg, Arvidsson, Fabbro

  74. P3 14:06Shot by Larkin, saved by Rinne4v4
  75. P3 15:06Shot by Staal, saved by Rinne4v4
  76. P3 15:08Shot by Staal, saved by Rinne4v4
  77. P3 16:19Shot by Helm, saved by Rinne
  78. P3 16:22Goal by Erne (Helm, Glendening)+9 pts WP

    On ice: DET Helm, Glendening, DeKeyser, Erne, Hronek · NSH Josi, Ellis, Granlund, Forsberg, Arvidsson

  79. P3 16:56Goal by Gagner, unassisted5v6+1 pts WP

    On ice: DET Filppula, Gagner, Namestnikov, DeKeyser, Hronek · NSH Duchene, Jarnkrok, Johansen, Grimaldi, Harpur, Fabbro

  80. P3 17:22Shot by Kunin, saved by Bernier
  81. P3 17:38Shot by Haula, saved by Bernier
  82. P3 17:39Shot by Haula, saved by Bernier
  83. P3 18:55Shot by Zadina, saved by Rinne
  84. P3 19:51Shot by Benning, saved by Bernier
  85. P3 0:00Period end
  86. P3 0:00Final