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Ice Lab

Thu, Feb 25, 2021·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Nashville Predators 2, Detroit Red Wings 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 65% of the time.

DET winsNSH wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

DET forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NSH's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Granlund–Forsberg–ArvidssonDuchene–Jarnkrok–GrimaldiHaula–Sissons–KuninJohansen–Cousins–TolvanenJohansen–Forsberg–ArvidssonDuchene–Forsberg–ArvidssonJosi–EllisHarpur–FabbroBorowiecki–BenningEllis–HarpurJosi–Fabbro
Mantha–Larkin–Fabbri1:210.05–0.294:110.21–0.081:400.16–0.225:140.36–0.581:430.03–0.002:000.16–0.01
Ryan–Namestnikov–Zadina0:550.21–0.013:200.15–0.033:570.15–0.062:080.02–0.032:510.07–0.063:220.42–0.01
Helm–Glendening–Erne2:310.44–0.041:370.00–0.000:430.00–0.121:310.20–0.001:040.00–0.040:370.05–0.253:030.56–0.042:120.13–0.312:310.00–0.10
Filppula–Gagner–Brome1:270.01–0.111:170.00–0.151:080.00–0.041:350.07–0.031:590.01–0.141:590.00–0.111:470.07–0.06
Helm–Glendening–Brome0:500.00–0.181:270.00–0.21
Namestnikov–Fabbri–Zadina0:410.00–0.140:310.00–0.030:590.00–0.14
Filppula–Ryan–Zadina0:340.00–0.000:340.00–0.00
Staal–Merrill4:260.00–0.231:520.00–0.031:040.02–0.002:450.19–0.000:580.00–0.001:250.05–0.439:000.21–0.353:320.12–0.301:180.00–0.12
DeKeyser–Hronek0:580.44–0.004:380.21–0.181:390.14–0.002:470.07–0.034:140.76–0.124:140.03–0.291:500.07–0.010:560.01–0.00
Nemeth–Djoos0:520.00–0.142:120.30–0.012:450.14–0.071:590.16–0.061:290.08–0.074:470.31–0.070:590.00–0.14
Nemeth–Hronek2:140.54–0.300:490.01–0.221:460.01–0.511:140.54–0.01
Staal–Djoos1:060.05–0.001:060.05–0.00
Merrill–DeKeyser0:430.00–0.010:330.00–0.000:320.00–0.01
Djoos–DeKeyser0:350.00–0.000:350.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndFabbri FMantha FLarkin FNamestnikov FGlendening FHelm FErne FZadina FRyan FFilppula FBrome FGagner FHronek DDeKeyser DStaal DMerrill DNemeth DDjoos DBernier GJarnkrok FGrimaldi FDuchene FForsberg FArvidsson FGranlund FCousins FTolvanen FJohansen FSissons FKunin FHaula FEllis DJosi DBenning DBorowiecki DHarpur DFabbro DRinne G
DETNSHFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Roman JosiNSH3027:010:541:5183
Ryan EllisNSH3126:180:512:0256
Filip HronekDET2922:270:461:1222
Marc StaalDET2720:310:461:3126
Jon MerrillDET2319:320:511:3114
Filip ForsbergNSH2018:390:561:4070
Robby FabbriDET2018:250:551:5202
Patrik NemethDET2318:010:471:4814
Anthony ManthaDET2017:490:531:3023
Viktor ArvidssonNSH2217:420:481:3361
Filip ZadinaDET2017:240:521:5831
Ben HarpurNSH2617:210:401:1524
Mikael GranlundNSH2117:090:491:3232
Danny DeKeyserDET2517:070:411:1401
Dylan LarkinDET1916:470:531:1422
Ryan JohansenNSH1916:300:521:5873
Bobby RyanDET1816:190:541:4222
Dante FabbroNSH2416:120:412:0422
Matt DucheneNSH1916:080:511:3541
Christian DjoosDET1816:070:541:4031
Vladislav NamestnikovDET2215:140:421:1925
Mark BorowieckiNSH2215:100:411:4902
Rocco GrimaldiNSH1914:510:471:2541
Calle JarnkrokNSH2014:110:431:1251
Luke GlendeningDET2214:020:381:3128
Adam ErneDET1813:590:471:2525
Erik HaulaNSH2113:500:401:2005
Matt BenningNSH2213:350:371:0402
Valtteri FilppulaDET1713:290:481:2722
Eeli TolvanenNSH1413:090:561:4340
Sam GagnerDET1713:060:461:0932
Darren HelmDET2013:040:391:2725
Colton SissonsNSH1912:270:391:2004
Nick CousinsNSH1311:470:541:2240
Luke KuninNSH1610:150:381:2003
Mathias BromeDET128:570:451:2422