Tue, Mar 2, 2021·Madison Square Garden, New York
Buffalo Sabres 2, New York Rangers 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 51% of the time.
39%
10%
11%
39%
NYR winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 24:01 | 0.04 | 32.6% | +14.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22:52 | 0.01 | 36.3% | +14.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19:55 | 0.07 | 58.6% | +13.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19:46 | 0.30 | 50.7% | +13.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:39 | 0.03 | 58.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:08 | 0.07 | 76.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:55 | 0.15 | 59.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17:36 | 0.00 | 40.9% | +13.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:12 | 0.02 | 76.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 15:38 | 0.22 | 46.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:27 | 0.12 | 83.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:23 | 0.06 | 96.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:12 | 0.43 | 95.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 13:14 | 0.16 | 41.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 12:49 | 0.02 | 32.1% | +14.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 12:28 | 0.26 | 40.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:05 | 0.09 | 28.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 10:55 | 0.00 | 28.3% | 0.0 |
| L | 19 | 16 | 3 | .842 | 1.99 | −1.0 | 58:45 |
New York Rangers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 23:47 | 0.02 | 77.8% | +27.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:51 | 0.02 | 31.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 19:14 | 0.00 | 83.1% | +14.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 18:35 | 0.18 | 49.2% | +13.5 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 18:11 | 0.61 | 49.4% | +26.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17:56 | 0.24 | 51.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:50 | 0.00 | 30.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:28 | 0.01 | 33.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:07 | 0.02 | 35.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:00 | 0.22 | 56.7% | +14.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 16:36 | 0.10 | 49.9% | +13.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:08 | 0.06 | 47.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:41 | 0.08 | 44.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:33 | 0.25 | 43.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:56 | 0.06 | 50.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:49 | 0.03 | 32.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:58 | 0.02 | 42.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:26 | 0.06 | 32.2% | 0.0 |
| W | 24 | 22 | 2 | .917 | 2.05 | +0.1 | 59:54 |