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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 2, 2021·Madison Square Garden, New York

Buffalo Sabres 2, New York Rangers 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 51% of the time.

NYR winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:28Goal by Buchnevich (Zibanejad, Fox)+13 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Smith, Zibanejad, Buchnevich, Miller, Lafrenière · BUF Staal, Okposo, Hall, Ristolainen, Dahlin

  3. P1 0:32Shot by Smith, saved by Hutton
  4. P1 0:55Goal by Reinhart (Olofsson, Eichel)+13 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Smith, Kreider, Blackwell, Strome, Miller · BUF Reinhart, Montour, Olofsson, Eichel, Bryson

  5. P1 1:11Shot by Gauthier, saved by Hutton
  6. P1 2:36Goal by Lafrenière (Buchnevich)+14 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Smith, Zibanejad, Buchnevich, Miller, Lafrenière · BUF Staal, Okposo, Hall, Montour, Bryson

  7. P1 5:04Shot by Skinner, saved by Shesterkin
  8. P1 6:07Shot by Buchnevich, saved by Hutton
  9. P1 6:09Shot by Buchnevich, saved by Hutton
  10. P1 7:27Shot by Gauthier, saved by Hutton
  11. P1 7:30Shot by Rooney, saved by Hutton
  12. P1 8:28Shot by Jokiharju, saved by Shesterkin
  13. P1 9:24Shot by Okposo, saved by Shesterkin
  14. P1 9:26Shot by Okposo, saved by Shesterkin
  15. P1 10:04Eichel: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Blackwell, Strome, Fox, Lindgren · BUF Reinhart, Montour, Olofsson, Eichel, Dahlin

  16. P1 12:16Rooney: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Rooney, Lindgren, Gauthier, Chytil, Miller · BUF Eakin, Rieder, Miller, Eichel, Bryson

  17. P1 12:54Shot by Strome, saved by Hutton4v5
  18. P1 13:22Shot by Eichel, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  19. P1 13:52Shot by Staal, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  20. P1 15:53Shot by Smith, saved by Hutton
  21. P1 17:19Shot by Eichel, saved by Shesterkin
  22. P1 18:35Shot by Johnson, saved by Hutton
  23. P1 19:10Shot by Staal, saved by Shesterkin
  24. P1 0:00Period end
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 0:22Shot by Strome, saved by Hutton
  27. P2 0:36Shot by Buchnevich, saved by Hutton
  28. P2 3:44Shot by Rieder, saved by Shesterkin
  29. P2 3:54Shot by Fox, saved by Hutton
  30. P2 4:27Montour: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Smith, Strome, Zibanejad, Buchnevich, Gauthier, Miller · BUF Reinhart, Montour, Olofsson, Eichel, Bryson

  31. P2 5:04Shot by Lazar, saved by Shesterkin5v4
  32. P2 6:20Shot by Strome, saved by Hutton5v4
  33. P2 6:29Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Shesterkin
  34. P2 8:45Shot by Skinner, saved by Shesterkin
  35. P2 8:49Shot by Montour, saved by Shesterkin
  36. P2 9:32Goal by Kreider (Lindgren, Fox)+14 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Strome, Buchnevich, Fox, Lindgren · BUF Reinhart, Montour, Olofsson, Eichel, Bryson

  37. P2 10:35Shot by Staal, saved by Shesterkin
  38. P2 13:40Shot by Hall, saved by Shesterkin
  39. P2 14:22Shot by Miller, saved by Shesterkin
  40. P2 15:29Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Shesterkin
  41. P2 16:21Goal by Rieder (Dahlin, Ristolainen)+14 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Smith, Zibanejad, Buchnevich, Miller, Lafrenière · BUF Eakin, Rieder, Ristolainen, Dahlin, Cozens

  42. P2 0:00Period end
  43. P3 0:00Period start
  44. P3 1:57Shot by Skinner, saved by Shesterkin
  45. P3 2:23Shot by Hajek, saved by Hutton
  46. P3 5:55Shot by Chytil, saved by Hutton
  47. P3 7:11Lindgren: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: NYR Di Giuseppe, Lemieux, Fox, Lindgren, Howden · BUF Eakin, Rieder, Montour, Bryson, Cozens

  48. P3 7:11Cozens: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: NYR Di Giuseppe, Lemieux, Fox, Lindgren, Howden · BUF Eakin, Rieder, Montour, Bryson, Cozens

  49. P3 8:03Shot by Montour, saved by Shesterkin
  50. P3 11:19Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Shesterkin
  51. P3 11:46Shot by Kreider, saved by Hutton
  52. P3 19:09Shot by Reinhart, saved by Shesterkin5v6
  53. P3 19:36Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Shesterkin5v6
  54. P3 0:00Period end5v6
  55. P3 0:00Final