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Ice Lab

Thu, Mar 4, 2021·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

Philadelphia Flyers 4, Pittsburgh Penguins 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 61% of the time.

PIT winsPHI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:13Shot by Crosby, saved by Elliott
  3. P1 0:14Shot by Rust, saved by Elliott
  4. P1 2:46Goal by Letang, unassisted+14 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Letang, Kapanen, McCann, Pettersson · PHI Raffl, Sanheim, Myers, Bunnaman, Patrick

  5. P1 3:18Shot by Crosby, saved by Elliott
  6. P1 3:20Goal by Friedman (Crosby, Guentzel)+12 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Rust, Ceci, Guentzel, Friedman · PHI Giroux, Sanheim, Aube-Kubel, Lindblom, Myers

  7. P1 3:57Goal by McCann (Kapanen, Malkin)+8 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Letang, Matheson, Kapanen, McCann · PHI van Riemsdyk, Voracek, Couturier, Gostisbehere, Hagg

  8. P1 4:29Shot by Voracek, saved by Jarry
  9. P1 4:50Patrick: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Rust, Ceci, Guentzel, Friedman · PHI Gostisbehere, Raffl, Hagg, Bunnaman, Patrick

  10. P1 5:23Shot by Provorov, saved by Jarry5v4
  11. P1 7:00Shot by Aston-Reese, saved by Elliott
  12. P1 7:07Shot by McCann, saved by Elliott
  13. P1 7:17Shot by Couturier, saved by Jarry
  14. P1 7:23Shot by Voracek, saved by Jarry
  15. P1 7:57Shot by Jankowski, saved by Elliott
  16. P1 10:25Rust: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Rust, Guentzel, Pettersson · PHI Hayes, Laughton, Sanheim, Konecny, Myers

  17. P1 11:14Shot by Voracek, saved by Jarry4v5
  18. P1 11:20Shot by Konecny, saved by Jarry4v5
  19. P1 11:32Goal by Couturier (Konecny, Voracek)4v5+8 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Blueger, Pettersson, Marino, Tanev · PHI van Riemsdyk, Voracek, Couturier, Gostisbehere, Konecny

  20. P1 12:51Guentzel: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Rust, Guentzel, Pettersson · PHI Giroux, Sanheim, Aube-Kubel, Lindblom, Myers

  21. P1 13:06Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Jarry4v5
  22. P1 14:35Shot by Provorov, saved by Jarry4v5
  23. P1 14:39Shot by Patrick, saved by Jarry4v5
  24. P1 16:18Shot by Hayes, saved by Jarry
  25. P1 17:46Shot by Letang, saved by Elliott
  26. P1 19:52Shot by Malkin, saved by Elliott
  27. P1 0:00Period end
  28. P2 0:00Period start
  29. P2 1:31Shot by Myers, saved by Jarry
  30. P2 3:36Shot by Matheson, saved by Elliott
  31. P2 4:17Shot by Crosby, saved by Elliott
  32. P2 5:28Shot by Blueger, saved by Elliott
  33. P2 6:36Shot by Lindblom, saved by Jarry
  34. P2 6:43Shot by Giroux, saved by Jarry
  35. P2 6:47Shot by Lindblom, saved by Jarry
  36. P2 6:49Goal by Giroux (Lindblom, Aube-Kubel)+14 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Guentzel, Kapanen, Pettersson, Marino · PHI Giroux, Braun, Aube-Kubel, Lindblom, Provorov

  37. P2 7:07Shot by Couturier, saved by Jarry
  38. P2 8:17Shot by Hayes, saved by Jarry
  39. P2 9:57Shot by Myers, saved by Jarry
  40. P2 12:17Shot by Crosby, saved by Elliott
  41. P2 12:22Shot by Pettersson, saved by Elliott
  42. P2 13:53Shot by Bunnaman, saved by Jarry
  43. P2 14:59Shot by Lafferty, saved by Elliott
  44. P2 16:24Shot by Laughton, saved by Jarry
  45. P2 17:21Shot by McCann, saved by Elliott
  46. P2 17:22Shot by Kapanen, saved by Elliott
  47. P2 17:25Shot by Malkin, saved by Elliott
  48. P2 17:49Shot by Couturier, saved by Jarry
  49. P2 18:43Shot by Crosby, saved by Elliott
  50. P2 19:25Shot by Myers, saved by Jarry
  51. P2 19:57Shot by Konecny, saved by Jarry
  52. P2 0:00Period end
  53. P3 0:00Period start
  54. P3 0:55Shot by Hayes, saved by Jarry
  55. P3 3:47Hayes: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Rust, Matheson, Ceci, Guentzel · PHI Braun, Hayes, Laughton, Konecny, Provorov

  56. P3 4:51Shot by Guentzel, saved by Elliott5v4
  57. P3 5:03Shot by Raffl, saved by Jarry5v4
  58. P3 5:55Shot by Matheson, saved by Elliott
  59. P3 6:12Shot by Hagg, saved by Jarry
  60. P3 7:06Shot by Angello, saved by Elliott
  61. P3 8:25Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Jarry
  62. P3 10:13Shot by Malkin, saved by Elliott
  63. P3 10:36Shot by Guentzel, saved by Elliott
  64. P3 10:48Shot by Giroux, saved by Jarry
  65. P3 12:21Shot by Voracek, saved by Jarry
  66. P3 13:37Goal by Laughton (Giroux, Konecny)+33 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Matheson, Kapanen, Marino, Aston-Reese · PHI Giroux, Braun, Laughton, Konecny, Provorov

  67. P3 14:09Shot by Provorov, saved by Jarry
  68. P3 15:25Shot by Blueger, saved by Elliott
  69. P3 16:32Shot by Blueger, saved by Elliott
  70. P3 16:55Shot by Laughton, saved by Jarry
  71. P3 17:35Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Jarry
  72. P3 17:52Goal by Giroux (Aube-Kubel, Lindblom)+46 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Matheson, Kapanen, McCann, Marino · PHI Giroux, Gostisbehere, Hagg, Aube-Kubel, Lindblom

  73. P3 18:15Shot by Malkin, saved by Elliott
  74. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  75. P3 0:00Final6v5