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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 9, 2021·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Detroit Red Wings 3 (OT)

Away

Tampa Bay Lightning

4

Final

Overtime

Home

Detroit Red Wings

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 66% of the time.

DET winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:34Shot by Hedman, saved by Greiss
  3. P1 1:41Shot by Larkin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  4. P1 2:15Stamkos: High sticking double minor (4 min)

    On ice: DET Ryan, Nemeth, Namestnikov, Djoos, Zadina · TBL Killorn, Stamkos, Gourde, Sergachev, Foote

  5. P1 2:55Shot by Ryan, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  6. P1 3:04Goal by Erne (Zadina, Hronek)5v4+14 pts WP

    On ice: DET Erne, Larkin, Hronek, Rasmussen, Zadina · TBL Killorn, Hedman, Cirelli, Rutta

  7. P1 3:29Shot by Larkin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  8. P1 3:47Shot by Coleman, saved by Greiss
  9. P1 4:30Shot by Gourde, saved by Greiss
  10. P1 4:36Shot by Rutta, saved by Greiss
  11. P1 5:10Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Vasilevskiy
  12. P1 6:32Djoos: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: DET Ryan, Nemeth, Namestnikov, Djoos, Zadina · TBL Maroon, McDonagh, Cernak, Joseph, Barré-Boulet

  13. P1 10:51Shot by Hedman, saved by Greiss
  14. P1 11:21Staal: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: DET Staal, Merrill, Mantha, Larkin, Fabbri · TBL Palat, Point, Cirelli, Sergachev, Foote

  15. P1 12:06Shot by Stamkos, saved by Greiss4v5
  16. P1 12:29Goal by Point (Palat, Hedman)4v5+14 pts WP

    On ice: DET Nemeth, Merrill, Namestnikov, Glendening · TBL Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Palat, Point

  17. P1 13:04Goal by Johnson (Coleman, Cernak)+19 pts WP

    On ice: DET Gagner, DeKeyser, Hronek, Rasmussen, Brome · TBL McDonagh, Johnson, Coleman, Goodrow, Cernak

  18. P1 14:34Shot by Palat, saved by Greiss
  19. P1 15:41Shot by Johnson, saved by Greiss
  20. P1 15:42Helm: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Staal, Helm, Gagner, Merrill, Rasmussen · TBL Johnson, Coleman, Goodrow, Sergachev, Foote

  21. P1 16:24Shot by Killorn, saved by Greiss4v5
  22. P1 16:25Shot by Killorn, saved by Greiss4v5
  23. P1 17:38Shot by Gourde, saved by Greiss4v5
  24. P1 19:19Shot by Zadina, saved by Vasilevskiy
  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 1:45Shot by Larkin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  28. P2 2:15Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Vasilevskiy
  29. P2 5:50Shot by Goodrow, saved by Greiss
  30. P2 5:53Shot by Gourde, saved by Greiss
  31. P2 6:58Goal by Nemeth (Gagner, Namestnikov)+23 pts WP

    On ice: DET Gagner, Nemeth, Namestnikov, Djoos, Zadina · TBL Palat, Point, Cirelli, Sergachev, Foote

  32. P2 7:12Shot by Erne, saved by Vasilevskiy
  33. P2 7:32Shot by Johnson, saved by Greiss
  34. P2 8:04Shot by Ryan, saved by Vasilevskiy
  35. P2 9:04Goal by Larkin (Fabbri, Hronek)+20 pts WP

    On ice: DET DeKeyser, Mantha, Larkin, Fabbri, Hronek · TBL Killorn, McDonagh, Stamkos, Gourde, Cernak

  36. P2 9:35Shot by Maroon, saved by Greiss
  37. P2 11:01Shot by Ryan, saved by Vasilevskiy
  38. P2 11:23Shot by Djoos, saved by Vasilevskiy
  39. P2 15:18Shot by Cernak, saved by Greiss
  40. P2 15:30Shot by Mantha, saved by Vasilevskiy
  41. P2 15:31Cernak: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: DET Nemeth, Merrill, Mantha, Larkin, Fabbri · TBL Killorn, McDonagh, Stamkos, Gourde, Cernak

  42. P2 15:31Mantha: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: DET Nemeth, Merrill, Mantha, Larkin, Fabbri · TBL Killorn, McDonagh, Stamkos, Gourde, Cernak

  43. P2 15:58Shot by Helm, saved by Vasilevskiy
  44. P2 16:44Shot by Barré-Boulet, saved by Greiss
  45. P2 17:12Shot by Larkin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  46. P2 17:24Shot by Ryan, saved by Vasilevskiy
  47. P2 0:00Period end
  48. P3 0:00Period start
  49. P3 2:00Cirelli: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Staal, Gagner, Merrill, Namestnikov, Zadina · TBL Hedman, Palat, Point, Cirelli, Rutta

  50. P3 4:23Shot by DeKeyser, saved by Vasilevskiy
  51. P3 6:22Shot by Zadina, saved by Vasilevskiy
  52. P3 6:32Shot by Killorn, saved by Greiss
  53. P3 6:49Shot by Rutta, saved by Greiss
  54. P3 8:04Shot by Point, saved by Greiss
  55. P3 8:16Shot by Cirelli, saved by Greiss
  56. P3 9:07Shot by McDonagh, saved by Greiss
  57. P3 9:40Goal by Cernak (Maroon)+30 pts WP

    On ice: DET DeKeyser, Mantha, Larkin, Fabbri, Hronek · TBL Maroon, McDonagh, Cernak, Joseph, Barré-Boulet

  58. P3 10:05Shot by Gourde, saved by Greiss
  59. P3 12:46Shot by Cernak, saved by Greiss
  60. P3 15:02Shot by Killorn, saved by Greiss
  61. P3 15:12Shot by Gagner, saved by Vasilevskiy
  62. P3 18:43Shot by Larkin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  63. P3 0:00Period end
  64. OT 0:00Period start
  65. OT 1:37Shot by Larkin, saved by Vasilevskiy3v3
  66. OT 2:17Goal by Coleman (Johnson, Sergachev)3v3+47 pts WP

    On ice: DET Ryan, Namestnikov, Hronek · TBL Johnson, Coleman, Sergachev

  67. OT 2:17Period end4v4
  68. OT 2:17Final