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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 9, 2021·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Winnipeg Jets 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 3

Away

Winnipeg Jets

4

Final

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 81% of the time.

TOR winsWPG wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:43Shot by Connor, saved by Andersen
  3. P1 1:26Shot by Engvall, saved by Hellebuyck
  4. P1 1:51Shot by Pionk, saved by Andersen
  5. P1 2:00Bogosian: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Bogosian, Tavares, Kerfoot, Nylander, Dermott · WPG Forbort, Lowry, Copp, Appleton, Pionk

  6. P1 3:32Shot by Dubois, saved by Andersen4v5
  7. P1 4:44Shot by Marner, saved by Hellebuyck
  8. P1 8:16Goal by Hyman (Brodie)+15 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Brodie, Hyman, Rielly, Engvall, Mikheyev · WPG DeMelo, Lowry, Beaulieu, Ehlers, Connor

  9. P1 9:37Shot by Vesey, saved by Hellebuyck
  10. P1 10:19Shot by Vesey, saved by Hellebuyck
  11. P1 10:26Shot by Scheifele, saved by Andersen5v6
  12. P1 10:27Muzzin: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: TOR Muzzin, Tavares, Holl, Vesey, Nylander · WPG Wheeler, Stastny, Forbort, Scheifele, Connor, Pionk

  13. P1 12:20Goal by Copp (Pionk, Ehlers)4v5+15 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Bogosian, Kerfoot, Dermott, Mikheyev · WPG Perreault, Copp, Ehlers, Dubois, Pionk

  14. P1 15:12Shot by Thornton, saved by Hellebuyck
  15. P1 16:43Shot by Tavares, saved by Hellebuyck
  16. P1 16:44Pionk: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Brodie, Tavares, Rielly, Kerfoot, Nylander · WPG Forbort, Ehlers, Connor, Dubois, Pionk

  17. P1 17:44Goal by Matthews (Rielly, Marner)5v4+16 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Thornton, Tavares, Rielly, Marner, Matthews · WPG Lewis, DeMelo, Poolman, Appleton

  18. P1 18:07Shot by Pionk, saved by Andersen
  19. P1 0:00Period end
  20. P2 0:00Period start
  21. P2 0:25Shot by Holl, saved by Hellebuyck
  22. P2 0:44Shot by Dubois, saved by Andersen
  23. P2 1:09Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Hellebuyck
  24. P2 1:56Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Hellebuyck
  25. P2 2:50Shot by Lewis, saved by Andersen
  26. P2 3:58Shot by Forbort, saved by Andersen
  27. P2 4:29Shot by Matthews, saved by Hellebuyck
  28. P2 4:31Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Hellebuyck
  29. P2 4:43Shot by Rielly, saved by Hellebuyck
  30. P2 5:04Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Hellebuyck
  31. P2 5:29Shot by Tavares, saved by Hellebuyck
  32. P2 5:54Shot by Bogosian, saved by Hellebuyck
  33. P2 6:12Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Hellebuyck
  34. P2 6:41Shot by Perreault, saved by Andersen
  35. P2 8:31Shot by Ehlers, saved by Andersen
  36. P2 8:34Shot by Connor, saved by Andersen
  37. P2 8:37Shot by Ehlers, saved by Andersen
  38. P2 9:35Thompson: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Brodie, Boyd, Rielly, Kerfoot, Nylander · WPG Thompson, Lewis, Perreault, Poolman, Morrissey

  39. P2 11:09Shot by Brodie, saved by Hellebuyck5v4
  40. P2 12:00Shot by Wheeler, saved by Andersen
  41. P2 12:45Goal by Morrissey (Pionk, Scheifele)+21 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Muzzin, Bogosian, Hyman, Marner, Matthews · WPG Wheeler, Stastny, Scheifele, Morrissey, Pionk

  42. P2 14:35Shot by Engvall, saved by Hellebuyck
  43. P2 15:40Shot by Matthews, saved by Hellebuyck
  44. P2 16:13Shot by Muzzin, saved by Hellebuyck
  45. P2 17:42Goal by Connor (Ehlers, Lowry)+27 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Brodie, Holl, Hyman, Engvall, Mikheyev · WPG Lowry, Morrissey, Ehlers, Connor, Pionk

  46. P2 18:29Shot by Morrissey, saved by Andersen
  47. P2 19:04Shot by Muzzin, saved by Hellebuyck
  48. P2 19:09Shot by Matthews, saved by Hellebuyck
  49. P2 19:13Shot by Muzzin, saved by Hellebuyck
  50. P2 19:19Shot by Thornton, saved by Hellebuyck
  51. P2 0:00Period end
  52. P3 0:00Period start
  53. P3 1:32Shot by DeMelo, saved by Andersen
  54. P3 2:52Shot by Marner, saved by Hellebuyck
  55. P3 3:44Shot by Marner, saved by Hellebuyck
  56. P3 4:13Shot by Nylander, saved by Hellebuyck
  57. P3 4:20Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Hellebuyck
  58. P3 5:34Shot by Lowry, saved by Andersen
  59. P3 6:04Shot by Marner, saved by Hellebuyck
  60. P3 7:13Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Hellebuyck
  61. P3 7:53Goal by Appleton (Copp, Pionk)+15 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Thornton, Brodie, Rielly, Marner, Matthews · WPG DeMelo, Copp, Appleton, Dubois, Pionk

  62. P3 8:14Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Hellebuyck
  63. P3 8:25Shot by Connor, saved by Andersen
  64. P3 11:18Shot by Pionk, saved by Andersen
  65. P3 12:16Shot by Nylander, saved by Hellebuyck
  66. P3 15:59Shot by Wheeler, saved by Andersen
  67. P3 16:37Shot by Marner, saved by Hellebuyck6v5
  68. P3 16:57Shot by Tavares, saved by Hellebuyck6v5
  69. P3 17:34Shot by Hyman, saved by Hellebuyck6v5
  70. P3 18:02Shot by Matthews, saved by Hellebuyck6v5
  71. P3 18:06Goal by Matthews (Tavares, Nylander)6v5+6 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Hyman, Rielly, Nylander, Marner, Matthews · WPG Wheeler, Stastny, Forbort, Scheifele, Pionk

  72. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  73. P3 0:00Final6v5