Tue, Mar 9, 2021·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Winnipeg Jets 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 81% of the time.
76%
13%
TOR winsWPG wins
Winnipeg Jets
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 29:00 | 0.10 | 25.8% | +21.4 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 3 | 22:49 | 0.08 | 56.5% | +51.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:25 | 0.03 | 28.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:47 | 0.05 | 28.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20:22 | 0.10 | 34.3% | +21.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:38 | 0.23 | 27.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:25 | 0.32 | 35.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:51 | 0.01 | 51.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17:32 | 0.31 | 45.2% | +27.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 17:02 | 0.23 | 54.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 16:54 | 0.16 | 45.8% | +30.3 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16:36 | 0.41 | 36.6% | +42.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15:58 | 0.04 | 29.6% | +27.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:36 | 0.38 | 46.0% | +15.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:30 | 0.00 | 11.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:09 | 0.02 | 20.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:13 | 0.01 | 9.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 4:15 | 0.01 | 1.9% | 0.0 |
| W | 39 | 36 | 3 | .923 | 4.74 | +1.7 | 59:58 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 25:46 | 0.15 | 57.8% | +16.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 5 | 24:10 | 0.51 | 59.6% | +16.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23:18 | 0.31 | 69.5% | +14.8 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | −1 | 6 | 22:36 | 1.11 | 65.4% | +22.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 20:58 | 0.10 | 48.9% | +14.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 20:34 | 0.26 | 76.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 19:35 | 0.18 | 80.4% | +6.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:47 | 0.06 | 70.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 18:21 | 0.41 | 72.8% | +6.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14:15 | 0.71 | 81.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14:07 | 0.31 | 43.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:02 | 0.02 | 67.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:34 | 0.17 | 48.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:27 | 0.23 | 58.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:53 | 0.00 | 51.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8:39 | 0.20 | 31.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:21 | 0.00 | 46.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:44 | 0.01 | 64.9% | 0.0 |
| L | 23 | 19 | 4 | .826 | 2.50 | −1.5 | 56:33 |