Tue, Mar 9, 2021·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Winnipeg Jets 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 81% of the time.
76%
13%
TOR winsWPG wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against WPG's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Wheeler–Stastny–Scheifele | Ehlers–Connor–Dubois | Lowry–Copp–Appleton | Thompson–Lewis–Perreault | Thompson–Lowry–Appleton | Lowry–Ehlers–Connor | Poolman–Morrissey | Forbort–Pionk | DeMelo–Morrissey | DeMelo–Beaulieu | Morrissey–Pionk | DeMelo–Pionk | Forbort–DeMelo | Forbort–Morrissey | DeMelo–Poolman | Forbort–Poolman | Poolman–Pionk | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thornton–Marner–Matthews | 4:330.33–0.08 | 1:150.08–0.00 | 1:320.00–0.00 | 1:010.28–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 3:420.09–0.05 | 3:540.28–0.02 | 0:470.18–0.00 | |||||||||
| Tavares–Kerfoot–Nylander | 2:590.39–0.00 | 2:160.17–0.00 | 3:340.40–0.03 | 3:050.36–0.00 | 3:120.33–0.03 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 1:070.08–0.00 | 0:470.06–0.00 | ||||||||
| Hyman–Engvall–Mikheyev | 1:130.00–0.00 | 4:040.46–0.11 | 2:060.09–0.01 | 0:400.00–0.01 | 2:000.17–0.10 | 1:470.00–0.00 | 2:520.24–0.04 | 1:420.26–0.01 | 0:370.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Hyman–Marner–Matthews | 2:130.28–0.19 | 0:380.00–0.01 | 0:500.16–0.04 | 1:130.28–0.18 | 2:020.16–0.07 | ||||||||||||
| Spezza–Boyd–Vesey | 1:140.00–0.00 | 2:070.03–0.02 | 0:520.00–0.02 | 1:150.00–0.00 | 1:270.03–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Vesey–Engvall–Mikheyev | 1:040.00–0.00 | 0:530.00–0.12 | |||||||||||||||
| Brodie–Rielly | 0:540.08–0.00 | 7:440.53–0.33 | 3:160.16–0.09 | 0:480.06–0.00 | 1:040.00–0.00 | 0:400.12–0.00 | 2:500.00–0.05 | 3:080.15–0.20 | 1:050.14–0.01 | 1:140.34–0.00 | 1:280.16–0.05 | 1:560.07–0.79 | 1:340.08–0.00 | 0:340.13–0.00 | 1:230.08–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | |
| Muzzin–Holl | 7:090.64–0.06 | 1:150.00–0.09 | 1:370.03–0.01 | 4:340.40–0.14 | 2:590.13–0.05 | 1:110.07–0.00 | 1:110.03–0.01 | 0:370.06–0.00 | |||||||||
| Bogosian–Dermott | 1:390.18–0.02 | 2:310.00–0.06 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:510.08–0.00 | 2:210.00–0.03 | 1:100.10–0.02 | 0:380.00–0.12 | ||||||||||
| Muzzin–Bogosian | 3:020.22–0.36 | 1:140.30–0.00 | 1:510.06–0.18 | 1:310.35–0.17 | 0:520.18–0.01 | 0:400.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Holl–Dermott | 0:450.00–0.02 | 1:270.09–0.00 | 1:240.00–0.02 | 1:270.09–0.02 | 1:430.00–0.02 | 0:590.00–0.01 | |||||||||||
| Muzzin–Rielly | 1:090.28–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Bogosian–Brodie | 0:500.00–0.00 | 0:510.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TORWPGFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Josh MorrisseyWPG | 34 | 29:00 | 0:51 | 1:54 | 5 | 2 |
 Morgan RiellyTOR | 23 | 25:46 | 1:07 | 4:15 | 4 | 1 |
 Mitch MarnerTOR | 22 | 24:10 | 1:06 | 4:00 | 4 | 4 |
 Zach HymanTOR | 20 | 23:18 | 1:10 | 4:00 | 2 | 7 |
 Neal PionkWPG | 30 | 22:49 | 0:46 | 2:01 | 2 | 3 |
 Auston MatthewsTOR | 20 | 22:36 | 1:08 | 4:00 | 4 | 4 |
 Derek ForbortWPG | 29 | 21:25 | 0:44 | 1:26 | 1 | 3 |
 TJ BrodieTOR | 25 | 20:58 | 0:50 | 1:48 | 3 | 2 |
 Tucker PoolmanWPG | 27 | 20:47 | 0:46 | 1:54 | 1 | 1 |
 Jake MuzzinTOR | 21 | 20:34 | 0:59 | 1:18 | 2 | 3 |
 Mark ScheifeleWPG | 22 | 20:22 | 0:56 | 1:24 | 2 | 3 |
 Paul StastnyWPG | 22 | 19:38 | 0:54 | 1:24 | 2 | 3 |
 William NylanderTOR | 19 | 19:35 | 1:02 | 3:38 | 1 | 1 |
 Justin HollTOR | 19 | 18:47 | 0:59 | 2:00 | 1 | 2 |
 Blake WheelerWPG | 22 | 18:25 | 0:50 | 1:19 | 2 | 3 |
 John TavaresTOR | 20 | 18:21 | 0:55 | 1:55 | 1 | 0 |
 Dylan DeMeloWPG | 22 | 17:51 | 0:49 | 1:17 | 1 | 3 |
 Kyle ConnorWPG | 18 | 17:32 | 0:58 | 1:15 | 1 | 0 |
 Pierre-Luc DuboisWPG | 19 | 17:02 | 0:54 | 1:47 | 0 | 1 |
 Andrew CoppWPG | 21 | 16:54 | 0:48 | 1:21 | 0 | 3 |
 Nikolaj EhlersWPG | 19 | 16:36 | 0:52 | 1:25 | 0 | 0 |
 Adam LowryWPG | 21 | 15:58 | 0:46 | 1:18 | 1 | 3 |
 Mason AppletonWPG | 20 | 14:36 | 0:44 | 1:12 | 1 | 1 |
 Alexander KerfootTOR | 18 | 14:15 | 0:48 | 1:16 | 1 | 1 |
 Ilya MikheyevTOR | 17 | 14:07 | 0:50 | 1:04 | 1 | 0 |
 Zach BogosianTOR | 18 | 14:02 | 0:47 | 1:27 | 1 | 1 |
 Pierre EngvallTOR | 15 | 13:34 | 0:54 | 1:25 | 1 | 0 |
 Joe ThorntonTOR | 16 | 13:27 | 0:50 | 1:25 | 4 | 0 |
 Travis DermottTOR | 16 | 12:53 | 0:48 | 1:37 | 0 | 0 |
 Jimmy VeseyTOR | 11 | 8:39 | 0:47 | 1:29 | 0 | 0 |
 Nate ThompsonWPG | 13 | 8:30 | 0:39 | 1:05 | 1 | 0 |
 Trevor LewisWPG | 12 | 8:09 | 0:41 | 0:58 | 1 | 0 |
 Jason SpezzaTOR | 13 | 7:21 | 0:34 | 1:11 | 0 | 2 |
 Mathieu PerreaultWPG | 12 | 7:13 | 0:36 | 0:53 | 1 | 0 |
 Travis BoydTOR | 11 | 6:44 | 0:37 | 1:13 | 0 | 0 |
 Nathan BeaulieuWPG | 7 | 4:15 | 0:36 | 1:12 | 1 | 0 |