Thu, Mar 11, 2021·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Pittsburgh Penguins 5, Buffalo Sabres 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 62% of the time.
28%
10%
11%
51%
BUF winsPIT wins
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 24:26 | 0.12 | 37.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 23:01 | 0.03 | 56.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 20:44 | 0.01 | 64.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 18:58 | 0.35 | 51.1% | +40.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:50 | 0.02 | 45.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 18:08 | 0.77 | 42.2% | +0.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 17:44 | 0.08 | 37.5% | +23.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:40 | 0.07 | 47.8% | +17.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 17:28 | 0.09 | 40.4% | +23.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:42 | 0.00 | 47.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 16:38 | 0.03 | 43.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:56 | 0.01 | 48.1% | +22.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 13:51 | 0.20 | 53.8% | +22.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 13:35 | 0.01 | 80.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 12:39 | 0.07 | 45.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 11:12 | 0.04 | 100.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 9:52 | 0.12 | 100.0% | +15.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 8:36 | 0.00 | 100.0% | +15.8 |
| W | 23 | 21 | 2 | .913 | 1.96 | 0.0 | 60:00 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 23:01 | 0.41 | 25.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 21:12 | 0.12 | 51.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 20:40 | 0.12 | 43.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 19:33 | 0.00 | 53.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:05 | 0.00 | 21.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 18:36 | 0.00 | 64.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 18:20 | 0.21 | 54.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:52 | 0.29 | 44.7% | +23.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:24 | 0.00 | 45.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:43 | 0.04 | 87.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15:42 | 0.02 | 56.1% | +23.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:33 | 0.27 | 46.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:18 | 0.02 | 54.7% | +23.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 14:40 | 0.09 | 63.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 12:24 | 0.00 | 29.2% | +17.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 11:57 | 0.20 | 25.5% | +17.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 11:17 | 0.17 | 45.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 11:07 | 0.00 | 38.9% | +17.3 |
| L | 26 | 22 | 4 | .846 | 1.35 | −2.6 | 58:32 |