Thu, Mar 11, 2021·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Pittsburgh Penguins 5, Buffalo Sabres 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 62% of the time.
28%
10%
11%
51%
BUF winsPIT wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against PIT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Crosby–Rust–Guentzel | Malkin–Kapanen–Rodrigues | Blueger–Tanev–Aston-Reese | Sceviour–Jankowski–Angello | Jankowski–Blueger–Tanev | Matheson–Ceci | Letang–Dumoulin | Ruhwedel–Pettersson | Letang–Pettersson | Ceci–Pettersson | Matheson–Ruhwedel | Letang–Matheson | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Staal–Sheahan–Olofsson | 5:490.14–0.11 | 1:440.01–0.00 | 1:480.02–0.01 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 2:100.01–0.01 | 5:090.14–0.08 | 1:530.00–0.04 | 0:370.02–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.00 | |||
| Hall–Reinhart–Cozens | 1:160.05–0.00 | 1:280.00–0.03 | 4:140.22–0.09 | 1:350.00–0.08 | 5:030.12–0.17 | 3:060.05–0.03 | ||||||
| Skinner–Lazar–Mittelstadt | 4:360.19–0.27 | 1:350.00–0.02 | 2:330.00–0.01 | 2:140.09–0.24 | 1:490.00–0.04 | 0:470.17–0.00 | ||||||
| Okposo–Eakin–Thompson | 2:520.06–0.04 | 0:590.00–0.05 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 1:150.00–0.02 | 2:430.03–0.04 | 2:020.00–0.05 | 1:110.00–0.02 | |||||
| Skinner–Lazar–Thompson | 1:200.03–0.08 | 1:000.00–0.00 | 1:260.00–0.00 | 0:540.03–0.06 | ||||||||
| Hall–Reinhart–Mittelstadt | 1:140.00–0.00 | 0:570.17–0.00 | 1:190.17–0.00 | 0:510.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Okposo–Eakin–Skinner | 0:580.00–0.11 | 1:090.00–0.11 | ||||||||||
| Okposo–Lazar–Mittelstadt | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Irwin–Ristolainen | 2:250.00–0.01 | 6:070.10–0.12 | 1:390.05–0.09 | 2:460.00–0.10 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 5:460.01–0.18 | 2:580.09–0.01 | 4:150.00–0.11 | 1:190.05–0.00 | 1:190.00–0.02 | ||
| Montour–Bryson | 8:240.27–0.17 | 3:010.04–0.23 | 1:410.05–0.00 | 1:390.00–0.00 | 2:270.03–0.00 | 9:060.25–0.40 | 1:160.00–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.02 | 1:230.04–0.00 | 0:400.05–0.00 | ||
| Miller–Dahlin | 0:410.02–0.00 | 1:480.10–0.01 | 3:410.12–0.01 | 1:390.00–0.02 | 4:550.12–0.02 | 1:080.09–0.00 | 1:360.00–0.02 | 0:490.17–0.00 | ||||
| Montour–Dahlin | 0:510.17–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.07 | 0:510.17–0.00 | |||||||||
| Miller–Montour | 0:400.02–0.00 | 1:090.00–0.02 | 0:310.02–0.00 | |||||||||
| Miller–Bryson | 0:490.05–0.00 | 0:460.05–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Bryson–Dahlin | 0:430.00–0.00 | 1:030.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Irwin–Bryson | 0:580.00–0.11 | 1:040.00–0.11 |
Every shift, one row per player.
BUFPITFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Kris LetangPIT | 26 | 24:26 | 0:56 | 1:51 | 7 | 2 |
 Rasmus RistolainenBUF | 24 | 23:01 | 0:58 | 1:58 | 5 | 3 |
 Cody CeciPIT | 23 | 23:01 | 1:00 | 2:14 | 1 | 5 |
 Brandon MontourBUF | 23 | 21:12 | 0:55 | 2:13 | 0 | 7 |
 Mike MathesonPIT | 23 | 20:44 | 0:54 | 1:36 | 1 | 3 |
 Jacob BrysonBUF | 23 | 20:40 | 0:54 | 1:45 | 2 | 6 |
 Sam ReinhartBUF | 20 | 19:33 | 0:59 | 1:58 | 5 | 2 |
 Matt IrwinBUF | 21 | 19:05 | 0:55 | 1:58 | 3 | 3 |
 Evgeni MalkinPIT | 24 | 18:58 | 0:47 | 2:28 | 8 | 1 |
 Brian DumoulinPIT | 26 | 18:50 | 0:43 | 1:23 | 6 | 4 |
 Rasmus DahlinBUF | 22 | 18:36 | 0:51 | 1:39 | 3 | 1 |
 Taylor HallBUF | 22 | 18:20 | 0:50 | 1:48 | 5 | 3 |
 Bryan RustPIT | 24 | 18:08 | 0:45 | 1:25 | 6 | 1 |
 Victor OlofssonBUF | 21 | 17:52 | 0:51 | 1:45 | 3 | 3 |
 Jake GuentzelPIT | 23 | 17:44 | 0:46 | 1:10 | 6 | 1 |
 Kasperi KapanenPIT | 24 | 17:40 | 0:44 | 1:11 | 5 | 1 |
 Sidney CrosbyPIT | 23 | 17:28 | 0:46 | 1:10 | 6 | 1 |
 Marcus PetterssonPIT | 20 | 16:42 | 0:50 | 1:44 | 0 | 1 |
 Evan RodriguesPIT | 23 | 16:38 | 0:43 | 1:05 | 7 | 1 |
 Curtis LazarBUF | 22 | 16:24 | 0:45 | 1:22 | 1 | 5 |
 Teddy BluegerPIT | 23 | 15:56 | 0:42 | 1:04 | 0 | 7 |
 Colin MillerBUF | 22 | 15:43 | 0:43 | 1:36 | 2 | 1 |
 Eric StaalBUF | 23 | 15:42 | 0:41 | 1:12 | 3 | 3 |
 Jeff SkinnerBUF | 22 | 15:33 | 0:42 | 1:27 | 2 | 2 |
 Riley SheahanBUF | 21 | 15:18 | 0:44 | 1:27 | 1 | 5 |
 Casey MittelstadtBUF | 21 | 14:40 | 0:42 | 1:15 | 4 | 2 |
 Brandon TanevPIT | 23 | 13:51 | 0:36 | 1:02 | 0 | 7 |
 Chad RuhwedelPIT | 18 | 13:35 | 0:45 | 1:17 | 0 | 1 |
 Zachary Aston-ReesePIT | 21 | 12:39 | 0:36 | 1:13 | 0 | 5 |
 Kyle OkposoBUF | 17 | 12:24 | 0:44 | 1:11 | 1 | 2 |
 Tage ThompsonBUF | 18 | 11:57 | 0:40 | 1:11 | 1 | 2 |
 Dylan CozensBUF | 14 | 11:17 | 0:48 | 1:48 | 3 | 1 |
 Mark JankowskiPIT | 18 | 11:12 | 0:37 | 1:10 | 0 | 5 |
 Cody EakinBUF | 15 | 11:07 | 0:44 | 1:16 | 1 | 2 |
 Anthony AngelloPIT | 15 | 9:52 | 0:39 | 1:09 | 0 | 2 |
 Colton SceviourPIT | 13 | 8:36 | 0:40 | 1:08 | 0 | 2 |