Sat, Mar 13, 2021·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Pittsburgh Penguins 3, Buffalo Sabres 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 90% of the time.
85%
BUF winsPIT wins
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 24:51 | 0.17 | 57.8% | +30.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23:43 | 0.19 | 54.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:53 | 0.30 | 38.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 8 | 20:09 | 0.99 | 50.5% | +25.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 19:16 | 0.00 | 66.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 19:04 | 0.61 | 73.1% | +4.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17:49 | 0.31 | 46.2% | +25.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:39 | 0.00 | 43.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:38 | 0.21 | 67.8% | +0.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:31 | 0.27 | 45.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:17 | 0.02 | 67.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:23 | 0.84 | 76.8% | +0.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:09 | 0.01 | 56.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 14:52 | 0.02 | 58.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:14 | 0.14 | 71.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 9:53 | 0.76 | 6.1% | +0.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:43 | 0.02 | 4.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:56 | 0.00 | 10.5% | 0.0 |
| W | 24 | 24 | 0 | 1.000 | 2.05 | +2.1 | 60:00 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22:06 | 0.39 | 39.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 21:17 | 0.28 | 58.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:36 | 0.04 | 72.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:58 | 0.00 | 35.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:42 | 0.12 | 57.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:30 | 0.07 | 49.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:12 | 0.08 | 41.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:26 | 0.00 | 51.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 16:27 | 0.18 | 37.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:07 | 0.08 | 17.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:40 | 0.04 | 29.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:31 | 0.01 | 40.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:29 | 0.05 | 41.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:20 | 0.07 | 30.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13:43 | 0.16 | 42.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:31 | 0.33 | 59.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:54 | 0.12 | 61.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:09 | 0.04 | 60.2% | 0.0 |
| L | 32 | 31 | 1 | .969 | 3.02 | +2.0 | 58:09 |