Sat, Mar 13, 2021·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Pittsburgh Penguins 3, Buffalo Sabres 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 90% of the time.
85%
BUF winsPIT wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against PIT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Crosby–Rust–Guentzel | Malkin–Kapanen–Rodrigues | Blueger–Tanev–Aston-Reese | Sceviour–Jankowski–Angello | Letang–Dumoulin | Matheson–Ceci | Ruhwedel–Pettersson | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheahan–Hall–Reinhart | 7:550.04–0.31 | 1:370.07–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 6:100.07–0.31 | 2:550.07–0.00 | 1:080.00–0.00 | |
| Skinner–Lazar–Mittelstadt | 1:330.04–0.01 | 5:330.03–0.45 | 1:040.00–0.00 | 5:560.12–0.42 | 3:070.03–0.02 | ||
| Staal–Rieder–Olofsson | 1:430.05–0.00 | 4:560.10–0.19 | 1:180.07–0.15 | 4:360.13–0.31 | 2:190.00–0.03 | 1:100.07–0.02 | |
| Okposo–Eakin–Thompson | 4:380.41–0.38 | 0:430.00–0.04 | 2:070.39–0.00 | 3:010.46–0.40 | 2:130.29–0.00 | 3:450.05–0.05 | |
| Hall–Reinhart–Mittelstadt | 0:390.00–0.06 | 1:250.32–0.06 | |||||
| Sheahan–Rieder–Lazar | 0:570.00–0.15 | 0:570.00–0.15 | |||||
| Rieder–Lazar–Olofsson | 0:330.00–0.00 | 1:000.02–0.00 | |||||
| Ristolainen–Bryson | 6:480.08–0.19 | 2:380.02–0.05 | 3:400.12–0.54 | 1:440.33–0.02 | 8:360.41–0.25 | 5:070.05–0.42 | 2:020.07–0.02 |
| Montour–Dahlin | 2:300.00–0.19 | 5:540.36–0.02 | 2:580.00–0.07 | 1:140.00–0.00 | 5:240.47–0.25 | 6:290.24–0.04 | 2:570.00–0.02 |
| Davidson–Miller | 3:320.05–0.13 | 3:000.13–0.51 | 3:000.07–0.02 | 1:330.05–0.00 | 3:010.09–0.64 | 2:500.25–0.00 | 5:360.10–0.05 |
| Miller–Ristolainen | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.00 | 0:560.00–0.00 | ||||
| Miller–Montour | 0:460.07–0.06 | 0:320.00–0.06 | 0:300.07–0.00 | ||||
| Montour–Bryson | 1:050.00–0.21 | 0:560.00–0.15 |
Every shift, one row per player.
BUFPITFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Kris LetangPIT | 27 | 24:51 | 0:55 | 2:06 | 2 | 4 |
 Brian DumoulinPIT | 28 | 23:43 | 0:51 | 2:00 | 2 | 4 |
 Rasmus RistolainenBUF | 26 | 22:06 | 0:51 | 1:40 | 4 | 6 |
 Brandon MontourBUF | 21 | 21:17 | 1:01 | 1:48 | 3 | 2 |
 Cody CeciPIT | 24 | 20:53 | 0:52 | 1:35 | 1 | 7 |
 Rasmus DahlinBUF | 19 | 20:36 | 1:05 | 1:57 | 5 | 3 |
 Jake GuentzelPIT | 25 | 20:09 | 0:48 | 1:38 | 4 | 3 |
 Jacob BrysonBUF | 23 | 19:58 | 0:52 | 2:01 | 3 | 4 |
 Bryan RustPIT | 24 | 19:16 | 0:48 | 1:25 | 5 | 4 |
 Sidney CrosbyPIT | 24 | 19:04 | 0:48 | 1:38 | 5 | 4 |
 Sam ReinhartBUF | 22 | 18:42 | 0:51 | 1:57 | 6 | 3 |
 Taylor HallBUF | 22 | 18:30 | 0:50 | 1:45 | 4 | 3 |
 Colin MillerBUF | 21 | 18:12 | 0:52 | 1:46 | 2 | 3 |
 Evgeni MalkinPIT | 20 | 17:49 | 0:53 | 2:14 | 3 | 1 |
 Mike MathesonPIT | 23 | 17:39 | 0:46 | 1:35 | 3 | 4 |
 Casey MittelstadtBUF | 21 | 17:26 | 0:50 | 1:57 | 5 | 1 |
 Teddy BluegerPIT | 22 | 16:38 | 0:45 | 1:05 | 0 | 7 |
 Kasperi KapanenPIT | 21 | 16:31 | 0:47 | 1:27 | 3 | 1 |
 Victor OlofssonBUF | 21 | 16:27 | 0:47 | 1:25 | 3 | 5 |
 Marcus PetterssonPIT | 18 | 16:17 | 0:54 | 1:24 | 1 | 4 |
 Curtis LazarBUF | 20 | 16:07 | 0:48 | 1:20 | 3 | 2 |
 Jeff SkinnerBUF | 21 | 15:40 | 0:45 | 1:12 | 4 | 0 |
 Brandon DavidsonBUF | 19 | 15:31 | 0:49 | 1:51 | 1 | 4 |
 Eric StaalBUF | 20 | 15:29 | 0:46 | 1:08 | 4 | 5 |
 Brandon TanevPIT | 21 | 15:23 | 0:44 | 1:02 | 0 | 8 |
 Evan RodriguesPIT | 20 | 15:09 | 0:45 | 1:13 | 3 | 1 |
 Chad RuhwedelPIT | 18 | 14:52 | 0:50 | 1:12 | 1 | 4 |
 Riley SheahanBUF | 24 | 14:20 | 0:36 | 1:08 | 4 | 4 |
 Tobias RiederBUF | 19 | 13:43 | 0:43 | 1:09 | 1 | 6 |
 Zachary Aston-ReesePIT | 20 | 13:14 | 0:40 | 0:57 | 0 | 5 |
 Tage ThompsonBUF | 20 | 12:31 | 0:38 | 1:03 | 2 | 0 |
 Kyle OkposoBUF | 18 | 11:54 | 0:40 | 1:11 | 2 | 0 |
 Cody EakinBUF | 18 | 11:09 | 0:37 | 1:21 | 1 | 1 |
 Mark JankowskiPIT | 16 | 9:53 | 0:37 | 1:03 | 2 | 1 |
 Colton SceviourPIT | 12 | 7:43 | 0:39 | 1:01 | 1 | 1 |
 Anthony AngelloPIT | 13 | 6:56 | 0:32 | 0:54 | 1 | 0 |