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Ice Lab

Mon, Mar 22, 2021·Madison Square Garden, New York

Buffalo Sabres 3, New York Rangers 5

Away

Buffalo Sabres

3

Final

Home

New York Rangers

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 93% of the time.

NYR winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:18Shot by Smith, saved by Hutton
  3. P1 1:28Shot by Sheahan, saved by Kinkaid
  4. P1 2:53Shot by Gauthier, saved by Hutton
  5. P1 3:09Shot by Lemieux, saved by Tokarski
  6. P1 4:35Shot by Buchnevich, saved by Tokarski
  7. P1 4:41Shot by Kakko, saved by Tokarski
  8. P1 6:30Shot by Trouba, saved by Tokarski
  9. P1 11:00Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Tokarski
  10. P1 14:28Shot by Panarin, saved by Tokarski
  11. P1 14:37Shot by Strome, saved by Tokarski
  12. P1 15:13Shot by Thompson, saved by Kinkaid
  13. P1 18:03Shot by Trouba, saved by Tokarski
  14. P1 18:17Shot by Bryson, saved by Kinkaid
  15. P1 18:26Trouba: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Blackwell, Strome, Trouba, Panarin, Miller · BUF Hall, Lazar, Reinhart, Mittelstadt, Dahlin

  16. P1 18:36Shot by Dahlin, saved by Kinkaid4v5
  17. P1 18:38Shot by Lazar, saved by Kinkaid4v5
  18. P1 0:00Period end4v5
  19. P2 0:00Period start
  20. P2 0:49Shot by Skinner, saved by Kinkaid
  21. P2 1:14Shot by Skinner, saved by Kinkaid
  22. P2 1:34Shot by Thompson, saved by Kinkaid
  23. P2 2:22Shot by Skinner, saved by Kinkaid
  24. P2 2:22Shot by Staal, saved by Kinkaid
  25. P2 2:58Shot by Buchnevich, saved by Tokarski
  26. P2 3:52Goal by Asplund (Sheahan, Olofsson)+22 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Trouba, Lemieux, Rooney, Gauthier, Miller · BUF Sheahan, Miller, Olofsson, Asplund, Dahlin

  27. P2 5:39Shot by Kakko, saved by Tokarski
  28. P2 6:42Shot by Hajek, saved by Tokarski
  29. P2 7:07Shot by Strome, saved by Tokarski
  30. P2 7:12Shot by Kakko, saved by Tokarski
  31. P2 7:13Goal by Kakko (Panarin)+23 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Strome, Trouba, Panarin, Miller, Kakko · BUF Eakin, Sheahan, Ristolainen, Asplund, Bryson

  32. P2 8:42Dahlin: Interference (2 min)6v5

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Strome, Zibanejad, Buchnevich, Lemieux, Fox · BUF Staal, Montour, Olofsson, Thompson, Dahlin

  33. P2 8:42Lemieux: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)6v4

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Strome, Zibanejad, Buchnevich, Lemieux, Fox · BUF Staal, Montour, Olofsson, Thompson, Dahlin

  34. P2 8:42Thompson: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)5v4

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Strome, Zibanejad, Buchnevich, Lemieux, Fox · BUF Staal, Montour, Olofsson, Thompson, Dahlin

  35. P2 9:08Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Tokarski5v4
  36. P2 9:34Shot by Panarin, saved by Tokarski5v4
  37. P2 10:00Shot by Panarin, saved by Tokarski5v4
  38. P2 10:18Shot by Kreider, saved by Tokarski5v4
  39. P2 10:23Bryson: Slashing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Strome, Zibanejad, Panarin, Fox · BUF Sheahan, Ristolainen, Lazar, Bryson

  40. P2 10:32Shot by Panarin, saved by Tokarski5v3
  41. P2 10:39Goal by Kreider (Panarin, Fox)5v3+21 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Strome, Zibanejad, Panarin, Fox · BUF Eakin, Montour, Jokiharju

  42. P2 11:05Shot by Montour, saved by Kinkaid5v4
  43. P2 11:07Buchnevich: Hooking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: NYR Blackwell, Trouba, Buchnevich, Lemieux, Miller, Kakko · BUF Sheahan, Lazar, Montour, Thompson, Jokiharju

  44. P2 11:24Shot by Strome, saved by Tokarski4v4
  45. P2 12:19Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Tokarski4v4
  46. P2 14:58Shot by Hall, saved by Kinkaid
  47. P2 16:09Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Tokarski
  48. P2 18:18Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Tokarski
  49. P2 18:18Goal by Fox (Zibanejad, Buchnevich)+14 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Zibanejad, Buchnevich, Fox, Lindgren · BUF Skinner, Ristolainen, Lazar, Mittelstadt, Bryson

  50. P2 0:00Period end
  51. P3 0:00Period start
  52. P3 1:09Goal by Cozens (Reinhart)+14 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Zibanejad, Buchnevich, Lindgren, Miller · BUF Hall, Reinhart, Montour, Jokiharju, Cozens

  53. P3 1:49Shot by Kreider, saved by Tokarski
  54. P3 2:21Shot by Chytil, saved by Tokarski
  55. P3 2:47Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Tokarski
  56. P3 3:24Shot by Panarin, saved by Tokarski
  57. P3 4:22Goal by Skinner (Montour)+26 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Smith, Lemieux, Rooney, Gauthier, Hajek · BUF Skinner, Lazar, Montour, Mittelstadt, Jokiharju

  58. P3 4:57Mittelstadt: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Smith, Lemieux, Rooney, Gauthier, Hajek · BUF Skinner, Lazar, Montour, Mittelstadt, Jokiharju

  59. P3 5:45Shot by Strome, saved by Tokarski5v4
  60. P3 5:47Goal by Kreider (Strome, Fox)5v4+24 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Strome, Zibanejad, Panarin, Fox · BUF Eakin, Ristolainen, Lazar, Bryson

  61. P3 12:24Shot by Skinner, saved by Kinkaid
  62. P3 16:12Shot by Staal, saved by Kinkaid
  63. P3 16:19Shot by Dahlin, saved by Kinkaid
  64. P3 17:32Shot by Skinner, saved by Kinkaid
  65. P3 18:02Shot by Trouba, saved by Tokarski
  66. P3 18:08Shot by Kakko, saved by Tokarski
  67. P3 18:12Shot by Panarin, saved by Tokarski
  68. P3 18:17Shot by Strome, saved by Tokarski
  69. P3 18:29Shot by Strome, saved by Tokarski
  70. P3 18:33Shot by Fox, saved by Tokarski
  71. P3 19:02Goal by Kakko (Panarin, Strome)5v6+4 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Strome, Panarin, Fox, Lindgren, Kakko · BUF Staal, Hall, Miller, Reinhart, Olofsson, Dahlin

  72. P3 0:00Period end5v6
  73. P3 0:00Final