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Ice Lab

Mon, Mar 22, 2021·Madison Square Garden, New York

Buffalo Sabres 3, New York Rangers 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 93% of the time.

NYR winsBUF wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

NYR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Hall–Reinhart–CozensSkinner–Lazar–MittelstadtStaal–Olofsson–ThompsonEakin–Sheahan–AsplundSkinner–Lazar–ThompsonRistolainen–BrysonMontour–JokiharjuMiller–DahlinMontour–DahlinRistolainen–Dahlin
Kreider–Zibanejad–Buchnevich6:190.14–0.132:370.37–0.081:400.07–0.000:350.02–0.015:360.44–0.095:580.27–0.320:540.01–0.000:360.00–0.00
Strome–Panarin–Kakko2:250.03–0.041:270.48–0.002:400.00–0.001:110.86–0.043:130.00–0.002:140.01–0.010:330.02–0.00
Blackwell–Strome–Panarin1:310.12–0.002:280.00–0.201:030.13–0.001:410.00–0.181:490.17–0.002:240.00–0.03
Lemieux–Rooney–Gauthier0:570.15–0.001:590.04–0.151:230.00–0.001:060.19–0.102:080.00–0.051:310.00–0.15
Chytil–Kakko–Lafrenière1:470.04–0.001:460.09–0.142:170.05–0.111:020.00–0.051:330.11–0.00
Blackwell–Chytil–Lafrenière0:480.00–0.001:520.07–0.002:140.07–0.001:070.00–0.00
Buchnevich–Chytil–Lafrenière0:410.00–0.000:450.00–0.060:510.00–0.00
Gauthier–Chytil–Lafrenière0:470.00–0.00
Rooney–Chytil–Lafrenière0:330.00–0.13
Trouba–Miller2:260.17–0.003:270.00–0.203:380.07–0.003:550.54–0.004:000.55–0.204:450.13–0.006:320.05–0.211:210.00–0.00
Fox–Lindgren10:170.39–0.043:530.85–0.130:520.00–0.098:080.91–0.135:020.23–0.132:230.00–0.000:430.09–0.00
Smith–Hajek0:430.01–0.002:410.08–0.232:480.09–0.121:480.09–0.012:420.12–0.184:440.11–0.371:450.09–0.00
Lindgren–Miller1:300.00–0.00
Fox–Hajek0:540.00–0.000:460.00–0.00
Smith–Miller0:460.00–0.11
Trouba–Hajek1:020.00–0.001:030.00–0.00
Smith–Trouba0:580.05–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndPanarin FStrome FBlackwell FBuchnevich FZibanejad FKreider FChytil FKakko FLafrenière FGauthier FRooney FLemieux FFox DLindgren DTrouba DMiller DHajek DSmith DKinkaid GHall FReinhart FCozens FLazar FMittelstadt FSkinner FSheahan FEakin FAsplund FStaal FOlofsson FThompson FRistolainen DBryson DJokiharju DMontour DMiller DDahlin DHutton GTokarski G
NYRBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Rasmus RistolainenBUF2224:441:072:0815
Adam FoxNYR2724:140:542:0043
K'Andre MillerNYR2523:330:571:3522
Ryan LindgrenNYR2522:140:531:2333
Jacob TroubaNYR2621:590:511:2823
Brandon MontourBUF2121:401:022:0502
Mika ZibanejadNYR2621:330:502:0037
Sam ReinhartBUF2421:100:531:3541
Taylor HallBUF2420:480:521:3551
Jacob BrysonBUF2120:460:592:0817
Artemi PanarinNYR2320:260:531:5762
Ryan StromeNYR2319:590:522:0062
Pavel BuchnevichNYR2519:450:471:2025
Dylan CozensBUF2219:120:521:5441
Rasmus DahlinBUF1818:571:031:3523
Chris KreiderNYR2318:390:492:0034
Curtis LazarBUF2318:290:481:4105
Henri JokiharjuBUF1817:160:582:0502
Jeff SkinnerBUF2216:550:461:4003
Casey MittelstadtBUF2115:460:451:3204
Colin MillerBUF1715:210:542:0533
Kaapo KakkoNYR2114:490:421:1431
Alexis LafrenièreNYR1814:210:481:3222
Eric StaalBUF1713:480:491:2002
Filip ChytilNYR1713:250:471:3222
Colin BlackwellNYR1812:570:431:0741
Brendan SmithNYR1712:480:451:1241
Libor HajekNYR1612:390:471:4441
Riley SheahanBUF1511:510:471:4124
Victor OlofssonBUF1811:440:390:5712
Tage ThompsonBUF1410:250:451:0502
Rasmus AsplundBUF129:240:471:0723
Kevin RooneyNYR149:120:391:0430
Cody EakinBUF138:060:371:0525
Julien GauthierNYR117:040:391:0630
Brendan LemieuxNYR126:440:340:5430