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Ice Lab

Thu, Mar 25, 2021·TD Garden, Boston

New York Islanders 4, Boston Bruins 3 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 53% of the time.

BOS winsNYI wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BOS forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NYI's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Bailey–Nelson–Dal CollePageau–Beauvillier–WahlstromKomarov–Eberle–BarzalClutterbuck–Martin–CizikasEberle–Barzal–BeauvillierClutterbuck–Martin–BarzalPelech–PulockLeddy–MayfieldGreene–HickeyHickey–LeddyMayfield–PelechHickey–MayfieldGreene–LeddyGreene–MayfieldGreene–Pulock
Krejci–Smith–Ritchie2:380.19–0.042:330.00–0.082:130.06–0.041:480.14–0.072:350.10–0.023:320.13–0.152:400.08–0.041:040.15–0.000:330.03–0.03
Bergeron–Marchand–Pastrnak2:370.10–0.362:410.01–0.001:210.00–0.000:350.00–0.005:100.01–0.602:480.13–0.002:010.03–0.00
McKegg–Wagner–Frederic1:310.00–0.261:040.00–0.041:260.00–0.022:110.04–0.000:320.14–0.001:590.00–0.000:590.18–0.003:240.00–0.250:370.00–0.00
Coyle–Bjork–Kuhlman1:460.08–0.003:070.12–0.001:140.00–0.000:440.07–0.002:140.10–0.001:090.04–0.001:090.00–0.000:340.00–0.00
Coyle–Pastrnak–Bjork0:320.10–0.000:590.04–0.081:020.04–0.00
Coyle–Wagner–Bjork0:430.02–0.00
Krejci–Ritchie–Kuhlman0:520.00–0.02
Clifton–Zboril3:510.16–0.256:510.02–0.151:130.00–0.041:080.09–0.064:080.08–0.183:580.01–0.103:480.08–0.250:580.01–0.000:310.01–0.000:320.00–0.001:170.03–0.03
Grzelcyk–McAvoy1:420.00–0.001:220.08–0.006:030.02–0.001:120.04–0.003:410.07–0.213:020.02–0.002:420.02–0.000:380.17–0.002:060.04–0.001:020.04–0.000:530.00–0.00
Kampfer–Tinordi3:550.22–0.460:320.00–0.025:220.17–0.070:440.00–0.004:180.01–0.363:160.22–0.071:240.02–0.001:160.14–0.090:470.00–0.000:340.00–0.00
Tinordi–McAvoy0:350.08–0.000:320.14–0.000:420.00–0.080:420.22–0.00
Zboril–McAvoy1:040.00–0.001:040.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndBjork FCoyle FKuhlman FBergeron FMarchand FPastrnak FSmith FRitchie FKrejci FFrederic FWagner FMcKegg FZboril DClifton DGrzelcyk DMcAvoy DKampfer DTinordi DRask GHalak GBeauvillier FWahlstrom FPageau FBailey FDal Colle FNelson FEberle FBarzal FKomarov FMartin FClutterbuck FCizikas FPelech DPulock DLeddy DGreene DMayfield DHickey DVarlamov G
BOSNYIFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Charlie McAvoyBOS2822:310:481:2234
Ryan PulockNYI2921:340:452:1746
Nick LeddyNYI3021:170:432:0543
Scott MayfieldNYI2821:100:452:0017
Matt GrzelcykBOS2921:070:441:4242
Adam PelechNYI2920:230:421:2038
David PastrnakBOS2119:490:571:4251
Andy GreeneNYI2519:410:472:1751
Steven KampferBOS2318:490:491:3229
Jean-Gabriel PageauNYI3018:420:372:0549
Connor CliftonBOS2618:390:431:5822
Nick RitchieBOS2018:330:561:5861
Brad MarchandBOS2118:150:521:3950
Patrice BergeronBOS2118:060:521:3951
Jakub ZborilBOS2518:050:431:5852
David KrejciBOS1917:590:572:0642
Charlie CoyleBOS2217:360:481:3722
Josh BaileyNYI2117:360:502:0561
Craig SmithBOS2416:590:421:2352
Brock NelsonNYI2216:510:462:0541
Jarred TinordiBOS2016:280:491:3917
Anthony BeauvillierNYI2114:490:421:3433
Anders BjorkBOS2114:360:421:2812
Cal ClutterbuckNYI2214:360:401:3625
Mathew BarzalNYI1914:250:461:2130
Casey CizikasNYI2314:250:381:1426
Thomas HickeyNYI1714:200:511:5330
Jordan EberleNYI1914:090:451:2230
Leo KomarovNYI2013:060:391:2741
Oliver WahlstromNYI1713:000:462:0543
Michael Dal ColleNYI1712:400:451:2731
Chris WagnerBOS1812:260:411:0114
Greg McKeggBOS1410:180:441:1314
Matt MartinNYI1810:150:341:1722
Trent FredericBOS159:470:391:1013
Karson KuhlmanBOS139:000:421:1400