Sat, Mar 27, 2021·PNC Arena, Raleigh
Tampa Bay Lightning 3, Carolina Hurricanes 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 76% of the time.
Play-by-play
Model-basedEvery event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.
- P1 0:00Period start
- P1 0:17Paquette: High sticking (2 min)
On ice: CAR Paquette, Fleury, Lorentz, Bean, Geekie · TBL Maroon, Joseph, Sergachev, Colton, Foote
- P1 1:22Shot by Aho, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
- P1 1:37Shot by Gourde, saved by Reimer4v5
- P1 3:07Shot by Rutta, saved by Reimer
- P1 3:12Goal by Coleman (Rutta, Goodrow)+16 pts WP
On ice: CAR Fast, Martinook, Fleury, Bean, Svechnikov · TBL Coleman, Goodrow, Colton, Borgman, Rutta
- P1 3:35Shot by Necas, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P1 4:13Shot by Coleman, saved by Reimer
- P1 5:14Shot by Fleury, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P1 5:41Goal by Maroon (Colton)+14 pts WP
On ice: CAR Paquette, Fleury, Lorentz, Bean, Geekie · TBL Maroon, Schenn, Joseph, Colton, Borgman
- P1 5:51Hamilton: Interference (2 min)
On ice: CAR Hamilton, McGinn, Slavin, Aho, Necas · TBL Johnson, Hedman, Palat, Point, Rutta
- P1 6:58Shot by Stamkos, saved by Reimer4v5
- P1 7:12Shot by Sergachev, saved by Reimer4v5
- P1 8:11Shot by Hamilton, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P1 8:24Shot by Aho, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P1 9:36Shot by Palat, saved by Reimer
- P1 11:40Shot by Martinook, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P1 11:48Shot by Martinook, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P1 12:01Borgman: Elbowing (2 min)
On ice: CAR Fast, Hamilton, Martinook, McGinn, Slavin · TBL Schenn, Coleman, Goodrow, Gourde, Borgman
- P1 12:34Shot by Hamilton, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
- P1 12:46Shot by Aho, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
- P1 12:47Shot by Necas, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
- P1 17:24Shot by Coleman, saved by Reimer
- P1 17:42Shot by Foote, saved by Reimer
- P1 18:51Shot by Slavin, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P1 18:52Shot by Necas, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P1 19:26Shot by Stamkos, saved by Reimer
- P1 0:00Period end
- P2 0:00Period start
- P2 0:55Shot by McGinn, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P2 2:24Goal by Paquette (Necas, Pesce)+15 pts WP
On ice: CAR Skjei, Paquette, Pesce, Aho, Necas · TBL Maroon, Schenn, Palat, Joseph, Borgman
- P2 3:26Goal by Aho (Niederreiter, Necas)+22 pts WP
On ice: CAR Niederreiter, Fleury, Aho, Bean, Necas · TBL Johnson, Goodrow, Point, Borgman, Rutta
- P2 4:12Shot by Martinook, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P2 4:37Shot by Hedman, saved by Reimer
- P2 6:35Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P2 8:12Shot by Hamilton, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P2 8:20Sergachev: Cross checking (2 min)
On ice: CAR Niederreiter, Hamilton, Slavin, Aho, Necas · TBL Coleman, Goodrow, Gourde, Sergachev, Borgman
- P2 8:38Shot by Hamilton, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
- P2 10:03Niederreiter: Roughing (2 min)5v4
On ice: CAR Niederreiter, Fast, Pesce, Bean, Geekie · TBL Coleman, Gourde, Foote, Borgman
- P2 10:03Coleman: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)4v4
On ice: CAR Niederreiter, Fast, Pesce, Bean, Geekie · TBL Coleman, Gourde, Foote, Borgman
- P2 10:03Niederreiter: Slashing (2 min)5v4
On ice: CAR Niederreiter, Fast, Pesce, Bean, Geekie · TBL Coleman, Gourde, Foote, Borgman
- P2 10:25Shot by Staal, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
- P2 10:29Shot by Skjei, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
- P2 11:36Shot by Foegele, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
- P2 11:46Shot by Johnson, saved by Reimer4v5
- P2 12:13Shot by Staal, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P2 14:26Shot by Foegele, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P2 14:41Coleman: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: CAR Staal, Skjei, McGinn, Pesce, Foegele · TBL Coleman, Goodrow, Gourde, Sergachev, Foote
- P2 15:44Goal by Necas (Aho, Svechnikov)5v4+21 pts WP
On ice: CAR Staal, Hamilton, Aho, Necas, Svechnikov · TBL Killorn, Hedman, Cirelli, Rutta
- P2 16:34Shot by Johnson, saved by Reimer
- P2 16:36Shot by Johnson, saved by Reimer
- P2 17:18Shot by Lorentz, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P2 18:23Shot by Hedman, saved by Reimer
- P2 18:48Shot by Sergachev, saved by Reimer
- P2 18:52Shot by Sergachev, saved by Reimer
- P2 0:00Period end
- P3 0:00Period start
- P3 0:22Goal by Joseph (Maroon)+24 pts WP
On ice: CAR Hamilton, Slavin, Paquette, Lorentz, Geekie · TBL Maroon, Joseph, Sergachev, Colton, Foote
- P3 1:26Shot by Sergachev, saved by Reimer
- P3 2:49Shot by Necas, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P3 3:01Palat: Slashing (2 min)
On ice: CAR Niederreiter, Hamilton, Slavin, Aho, Necas · TBL Johnson, Palat, Point, Foote, Borgman
- P3 3:22Shot by Aho, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
- P3 4:08Shot by Bean, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
- P3 5:25Shot by Foegele, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P3 7:13Shot by Aho, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P3 7:41Shot by Niederreiter, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P3 8:30Shot by Niederreiter, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P3 8:33Shot by Slavin, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P3 8:52Shot by Staal, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P3 10:08Killorn: Boarding (2 min)
On ice: CAR Fast, Hamilton, Martinook, McGinn, Slavin · TBL Killorn, Stamkos, Schenn, Cirelli, Borgman
- P3 10:51Shot by Staal, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
- P3 11:42Shot by Staal, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
- P3 12:20Shot by McGinn, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P3 14:18Shot by Coleman, saved by Reimer
- P3 15:39Borgman: Tripping (2 min)
On ice: CAR Staal, Fast, Slavin, Bean, Svechnikov · TBL Maroon, Schenn, Joseph, Colton, Borgman
- P3 15:48Shot by Hamilton, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
- P3 16:07Goal by Necas (Hamilton, Staal)5v4+30 pts WP
On ice: CAR Staal, Hamilton, Aho, Necas, Svechnikov · TBL Hedman, Coleman, Goodrow, Rutta
- P3 16:31Shot by Palat, saved by Reimer
- P3 17:35Fast: Tripping (2 min)
On ice: CAR Fast, Skjei, Martinook, McGinn, Slavin · TBL Maroon, Hedman, Joseph, Colton, Rutta
- P3 0:00Period end
- P3 0:00Final