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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 27, 2021·PNC Arena, Raleigh

Tampa Bay Lightning 3, Carolina Hurricanes 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 76% of the time.

CAR winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

CAR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Johnson–Palat–PointKillorn–Stamkos–CirelliMaroon–Joseph–ColtonColeman–Goodrow–GourdeColeman–Goodrow–ColtonSergachev–FooteHedman–RuttaSchenn–BorgmanBorgman–RuttaSchenn–HedmanHedman–Foote
Niederreiter–Aho–Necas4:110.58–0.132:000.04–0.001:280.01–0.123:500.26–0.313:110.30–0.110:490.06–0.000:370.00–0.02
Fast–Martinook–McGinn0:490.00–0.053:120.08–0.170:590.00–0.001:020.11–0.080:400.00–0.002:160.08–0.122:250.00–0.171:010.11–0.000:340.00–0.00
Staal–Foegele–Svechnikov1:080.00–0.020:450.23–0.002:400.11–0.002:020.29–0.021:130.05–0.001:190.00–0.00
Paquette–Lorentz–Geekie3:250.06–0.320:440.00–0.121:140.00–0.001:440.06–0.20
Martinook–McGinn–Foegele1:200.00–0.070:330.00–0.001:040.00–0.07
Fast–Martinook–Svechnikov0:340.00–0.000:470.00–0.180:470.00–0.18
Staal–McGinn–Foegele0:480.08–0.000:550.08–0.00
Niederreiter–Fast–Geekie0:510.01–0.000:510.01–0.00
Skjei–Pesce3:170.03–0.112:500.00–0.170:330.00–0.003:570.19–0.094:590.13–0.393:480.05–0.171:380.03–0.00
Hamilton–Slavin3:470.59–0.002:500.08–0.161:530.23–0.121:370.12–0.195:330.57–0.231:100.25–0.092:540.17–0.240:310.02–0.00
Fleury–Bean0:480.04–0.002:520.00–0.201:180.00–0.001:270.00–0.180:400.00–0.002:560.05–0.021:550.11–0.202:250.11–0.18
Slavin–Pesce1:580.00–0.511:320.00–0.050:500.00–0.07
Skjei–Slavin0:460.00–0.000:540.00–0.001:060.00–0.00
Slavin–Bean0:480.06–0.090:430.06–0.09
Skjei–Fleury0:370.00–0.02
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndPaquette FGeekie FLorentz FStaal FMcGinn FAho FNecas FSvechnikov FMartinook FFast FFoegele FNiederreiter FFleury DBean DPesce DSkjei DHamilton DSlavin DReimer GJoseph FMaroon FColton FKillorn FPalat FPoint FStamkos FJohnson FGourde FCirelli FGoodrow FColeman FFoote DSergachev DHedman DBorgman DRutta DSchenn DVasilevskiy G
CARTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Victor HedmanTBL3125:230:491:35311
Brett PesceCAR2524:080:582:0838
Martin NecasCAR2523:160:562:0381
Sebastian AhoCAR2523:010:552:0371
Mikhail SergachevTBL3022:140:441:2345
Jan RuttaTBL3022:080:442:05210
Brady SkjeiCAR2321:540:571:4037
Dougie HamiltonCAR2521:520:522:2760
Jaccob SlavinCAR2621:460:501:4712
Jordan StaalCAR2821:140:462:0397
Cal FooteTBL2519:020:461:1934
Brayden PointTBL2017:400:531:3543
Steven StamkosTBL2117:120:491:3556
Anthony CirelliTBL2317:020:441:2636
Ondrej PalatTBL2016:490:501:1833
Yanni GourdeTBL2216:300:451:3944
Brock McGinnCAR2416:010:401:2925
Nino NiederreiterCAR1616:001:001:4611
Andrei SvechnikovCAR2215:590:442:0380
Barclay GoodrowTBL2015:460:471:2429
Jesper FastCAR2315:440:411:2023
Alex KillornTBL2115:310:441:1254
Tyler JohnsonTBL1914:540:471:1323
Blake ColemanTBL2214:540:411:1127
Jordan MartinookCAR1913:300:431:2933
Andreas BorgmanTBL2213:290:371:0631
Jake BeanCAR1813:240:451:2122
Patrick MaroonTBL2013:190:401:2542
Warren FoegeleCAR1711:080:391:0840
Haydn FleuryCAR1410:320:451:1721
Ross ColtonTBL1610:320:401:1832
Luke SchennTBL169:320:361:0301
Mathieu JosephTBL159:070:361:1831
Morgan GeekieCAR138:260:391:2911
Steven LorentzCAR107:440:461:2111
Cedric PaquetteCAR126:210:321:0521