Mon, Mar 29, 2021·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Philadelphia Flyers 4, Buffalo Sabres 3 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 53% of the time.
37%
10%
12%
41%
BUF winsPHI wins
Philadelphia Flyers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 6 | 25:27 | 0.35 | 42.6% | +88.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22:00 | 0.02 | 64.3% | +5.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 21:44 | 0.23 | 70.7% | +53.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21:30 | 0.17 | 66.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 20:14 | 0.24 | 59.4% | +53.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:35 | 0.11 | 46.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:15 | 0.00 | 45.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 18:45 | 0.13 | 39.3% | +11.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:09 | 0.11 | 52.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 16:41 | 0.05 | 72.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:56 | 0.02 | 33.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15:48 | 0.31 | 65.6% | +5.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15:04 | 0.17 | 32.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:03 | 0.17 | 80.4% | +47.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:30 | 0.01 | 48.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 8:40 | 0.02 | 37.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 7:15 | 0.00 | 23.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 7:06 | 0.01 | 6.5% | 0.0 |
| W | 32 | 29 | 3 | .906 | 1.34 | −1.7 | 60:06 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 22:24 | 0.05 | 25.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 22:05 | 0.01 | 17.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20:27 | 0.06 | 44.7% | +6.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 20:11 | 0.01 | 54.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 19:12 | 0.04 | 37.9% | +17.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 18:30 | 0.13 | 54.8% | +6.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:27 | 0.00 | 57.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:23 | 0.05 | 49.0% | +17.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:09 | 0.01 | 50.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:07 | 0.00 | 63.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 16:44 | 0.07 | 30.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 15:19 | 0.11 | 45.1% | +14.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:14 | 0.06 | 64.5% | +17.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 15:05 | 1.04 | 59.3% | +6.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:35 | 0.05 | 39.3% | +14.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:22 | 0.08 | 37.6% | +14.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 6 | 12:30 | 0.14 | 38.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3:11 | 0.07 | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| O | 36 | 32 | 4 | .889 | 2.13 | −1.9 | 60:42 |