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Ice Lab

Sun, Apr 4, 2021·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary

Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Calgary Flames 2

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

4

Final

Home

Calgary Flames

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 65% of the time.

CGY winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:58Goal by Rielly (Matthews)+16 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Tanev, Lindholm, Hanifin, Tkachuk, Dube · TOR Brodie, Hyman, Rielly, Marner, Matthews

  3. P1 1:27Shot by Backlund, saved by Hutchinson
  4. P1 1:38Shot by Stone, saved by Hutchinson
  5. P1 2:24Shot by Galchenyuk, saved by Rittich
  6. P1 3:06Shot by Matthews, saved by Rittich
  7. P1 4:11Shot by Thornton, saved by Rittich
  8. P1 4:34Shot by Nesterov, saved by Hutchinson
  9. P1 7:35Shot by Engvall, saved by Rittich
  10. P1 8:00Shot by Muzzin, saved by Rittich
  11. P1 8:23Shot by Spezza, saved by Rittich
  12. P1 8:27Shot by Spezza, saved by Rittich
  13. P1 8:27Shot by Spezza, saved by Rittich
  14. P1 9:01Shot by Tavares, saved by Rittich
  15. P1 9:28Shot by Hanifin, saved by Hutchinson
  16. P1 10:45Shot by Simmonds, saved by Rittich
  17. P1 11:43Goal by Nordstrom (Giordano, Bennett)+19 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Giordano, Nordstrom, Bennett, Andersson, Ryan · TOR Thornton, Spezza, Brodie, Rielly, Kerfoot

  18. P1 12:04Shot by Hanifin, saved by Hutchinson
  19. P1 12:42Shot by Rielly, saved by Rittich
  20. P1 13:09Shot by Lindholm, saved by Hutchinson
  21. P1 14:15Shot by Nordstrom, saved by Hutchinson
  22. P1 14:25Shot by Nordstrom, saved by Hutchinson
  23. P1 17:50Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Hutchinson
  24. P1 19:20Goal by Mangiapane (Backlund, Lucic)+18 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Lucic, Backlund, Tanev, Mangiapane, Hanifin · TOR Bogosian, Tavares, Galchenyuk, Nylander, Dermott

  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 1:31Hyman: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: CGY Backlund, Tanev, Lindholm, Hanifin, Tkachuk, Dube · TOR Thornton, Spezza, Brodie, Rielly, Kerfoot

  28. P2 2:38Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Hutchinson5v4
  29. P2 2:58Shot by Lindholm, saved by Hutchinson5v4
  30. P2 3:14Shot by Monahan, saved by Hutchinson5v4
  31. P2 3:24Shot by Monahan, saved by Hutchinson5v4
  32. P2 4:23Shot by Hanifin, saved by Hutchinson
  33. P2 6:14Shot by Nesterov, saved by Hutchinson
  34. P2 7:25Shot by Andersson, saved by Hutchinson
  35. P2 7:47Shot by Holl, saved by Rittich
  36. P2 9:17Bennett: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: CGY Tanev, Nordstrom, Bennett, Hanifin, Ryan · TOR Thornton, Spezza, Brodie, Rielly, Kerfoot, Matthews

  37. P2 12:03Shot by Matthews, saved by Rittich
  38. P2 13:44Shot by Muzzin, saved by Rittich
  39. P2 13:57Shot by Brodie, saved by Rittich
  40. P2 14:35Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Rittich
  41. P2 16:25Shot by Bennett, saved by Hutchinson
  42. P2 17:08Goal by Galchenyuk (Tavares, Nylander)+23 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Backlund, Tanev, Bennett, Mangiapane, Hanifin · TOR Brodie, Tavares, Galchenyuk, Rielly, Nylander

  43. P2 17:26Shot by Backlund, saved by Hutchinson
  44. P2 17:33Shot by Lindholm, saved by Hutchinson
  45. P2 18:50Shot by Ritchie, saved by Hutchinson
  46. P2 18:56Shot by Bennett, saved by Hutchinson
  47. P2 19:59Shot by Mangiapane, saved by Hutchinson6v5
  48. P2 0:00Period end6v5
  49. P3 0:00Period start
  50. P3 1:57Shot by Simmonds, saved by Rittich
  51. P3 2:07Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Rittich
  52. P3 5:40Shot by Simmonds, saved by Rittich
  53. P3 6:16Shot by Muzzin, saved by Rittich
  54. P3 6:55Shot by Nylander, saved by Rittich
  55. P3 6:55Goal by Tavares (Nylander, Muzzin)+32 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Gaudreau, Ritchie, Monahan, Hanifin, Andersson · TOR Brodie, Tavares, Galchenyuk, Rielly, Nylander

  56. P3 8:02Shot by Backlund, saved by Hutchinson
  57. P3 8:21Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Rittich
  58. P3 8:32Shot by Mangiapane, saved by Hutchinson
  59. P3 8:52Shot by Tanev, saved by Hutchinson
  60. P3 9:16Goal by Matthews (Marner, Hyman)+15 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Tanev, Lindholm, Hanifin, Tkachuk, Dube · TOR Brodie, Hyman, Rielly, Marner, Matthews

  61. P3 11:13Shot by Galchenyuk, saved by Rittich
  62. P3 11:26Shot by Giordano, saved by Hutchinson
  63. P3 11:42Shot by Spezza, saved by Rittich
  64. P3 12:47Shot by Stone, saved by Hutchinson
  65. P3 13:41Shot by Holl, saved by Rittich
  66. P3 14:18Shot by Tavares, saved by Rittich
  67. P3 14:35Shot by Dube, saved by Hutchinson
  68. P3 14:40Shot by Dube, saved by Hutchinson
  69. P3 15:09Shot by Backlund, saved by Hutchinson
  70. P3 17:36Shot by Dube, saved by Hutchinson6v5
  71. P3 19:54Shot by Andersson, saved by Hutchinson6v5
  72. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  73. P3 0:00Final