Sun, Apr 4, 2021·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary
Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Calgary Flames 2
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 65% of the time.
27%
9%
57%
CGY winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Justin HollD · #3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23:44 | 0.13 | 62.7% | 0.0 |
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 2 | 21:07 | 0.12 | 59.5% | +15.9 |
 TJ BrodieD · #78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 1 | 20:52 | 0.02 | 71.0% | 0.0 |
 Jake MuzzinD · #8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20:31 | 0.04 | 63.4% | +32.2 |
 Zach HymanLW · #11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 19:52 | 0.00 | 50.4% | +14.6 |
 Mitch MarnerRW · #16 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 19:34 | 0.00 | 50.4% | +14.6 |
 Auston MatthewsC · #34 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 19:18 | 0.27 | 46.9% | +30.6 |
 Zach BogosianD · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:49 | 0.00 | 29.2% | 0.0 |
 Ilya MikheyevRW · #65 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:19 | 0.02 | 55.4% | 0.0 |
 John TavaresC · #91 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 16:13 | 1.00 | 73.1% | +55.3 |
 William NylanderRW · #88 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 14:21 | 0.81 | 72.3% | +55.3 |
 Pierre EngvallLW · #47 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:14 | 0.02 | 57.1% | 0.0 |
 Travis DermottD · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:09 | 0.06 | 34.9% | 0.0 |
 Wayne SimmondsRW · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13:10 | 0.19 | 47.1% | 0.0 |
 Alexander KerfootC · #15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:09 | 0.02 | 37.9% | 0.0 |
 Alex GalchenyukC · #12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 12:16 | 0.42 | 72.3% | +23.0 |
 Jason SpezzaC · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 10:50 | 0.49 | 42.4% | 0.0 |
 Joe ThorntonC · #97 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:33 | 0.02 | 38.8% | 0.0 |
 Michael Hutchinson#30 | W | 34 | 32 | 2 | .941 | 2.75 | +0.7 | 59:59 |
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Mark GiordanoD · #5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 22:52 | 0.07 | 31.0% | +18.6 |
 Rasmus AnderssonD · #4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22:10 | 0.09 | 36.8% | 0.0 |
 Noah HanifinD · #55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 3 | 21:26 | 0.24 | 43.4% | 0.0 |
 Sean MonahanC · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:34 | 0.39 | 13.2% | 0.0 |
 Chris TanevD · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 19:33 | 0.05 | 45.9% | 0.0 |
 Johnny GaudreauLW · #13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:20 | 0.17 | 14.5% | 0.0 |
 Elias LindholmC · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 17:42 | 0.27 | 47.5% | 0.0 |
 Michael StoneD · #26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:48 | 0.02 | 63.6% | 0.0 |
 Andrew MangiapaneLW · #88 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15:57 | 0.19 | 54.3% | +17.5 |
 Matthew TkachukLW · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 15:54 | 0.06 | 44.8% | 0.0 |
 Nikita NesterovD · #89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:50 | 0.06 | 68.3% | 0.0 |
 Milan LucicLW · #17 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 15:19 | 0.00 | 69.8% | +17.5 |
 Dillon DubeC · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 15:13 | 0.19 | 45.4% | 0.0 |
 Brett RitchieRW · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:01 | 0.00 | 14.1% | 0.0 |
 Mikael BacklundC · #11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14:59 | 0.49 | 57.5% | +17.5 |
 Sam BennettC · #93 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12:38 | 0.18 | 48.7% | +18.6 |
 Derek RyanC · #10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 11:39 | 0.00 | 58.4% | 0.0 |
 Joakim NordstromC · #20 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 11:00 | 0.29 | 62.2% | +18.6 |
 David Rittich#33 | L | 30 | 26 | 4 | .867 | 2.42 | −1.6 | 56:05 |