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Ice Lab

Thu, Apr 8, 2021·Madison Square Garden, New York

Pittsburgh Penguins 5, New York Rangers 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 74% of the time.

NYR winsPIT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:37Shot by Crosby, saved by Shesterkin
  3. P1 1:09Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Shesterkin
  4. P1 1:22Shot by Matheson, saved by Shesterkin
  5. P1 2:35Shot by Marino, saved by Shesterkin
  6. P1 2:48Shot by Sceviour, saved by Shesterkin
  7. P1 3:06Shot by Kravtsov, saved by Jarry
  8. P1 3:23Shot by Dumoulin, saved by Shesterkin
  9. P1 3:54Shot by Blackwell, saved by Jarry
  10. P1 4:48Shot by Lafferty, saved by Shesterkin
  11. P1 4:51Shot by Aston-Reese, saved by Shesterkin
  12. P1 5:18Shot by Marino, saved by Shesterkin
  13. P1 6:26Goal by Zohorna (Pettersson, Letang)+17 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Smith, Blackwell, Strome, Panarin, Hajek · PIT Crosby, Letang, Sceviour, Pettersson, Zohorna

  14. P1 7:21Trouba: Slashing (2 min)5v6

    On ice: NYR Trouba, Chytil, Miller, Kakko, Lafrenière · PIT Crosby, Zucker, Matheson, Ceci, McCann, Rodrigues

  15. P1 8:58Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  16. P1 9:03Shot by Marino, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  17. P1 9:50Shot by Aston-Reese, saved by Shesterkin
  18. P1 10:51Shot by Chytil, saved by Jarry
  19. P1 17:14Shot by Hajek, saved by Jarry
  20. P1 17:18Matheson: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Smith, Strome, Panarin, Hajek, Kravtsov · PIT Zucker, Matheson, Ceci, McCann, Rodrigues

  21. P1 18:15Shot by Kreider, saved by Jarry5v4
  22. P1 0:00Period end
  23. P2 0:00Period start
  24. P2 0:17Guentzel: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Zibanejad, Buchnevich, Fox, Lindgren · PIT Crosby, Letang, Dumoulin, Rust, Guentzel

  25. P2 1:17Shot by Fox, saved by Jarry5v4
  26. P2 2:02Goal by Blackwell (Buchnevich, Kakko)5v4+22 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Blackwell, Trouba, Buchnevich, Miller, Kakko · PIT Letang, Gaudreau, Marino, Aston-Reese

  27. P2 2:31Shot by Trouba, saved by Jarry
  28. P2 3:23Goal by Letang (Guentzel, Dumoulin)+22 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Zibanejad, Buchnevich, Fox, Lindgren · PIT Crosby, Letang, Dumoulin, Rust, Guentzel

  29. P2 5:24Zucker: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Smith, Hajek, Chytil, Kakko, Lafrenière · PIT Zucker, Matheson, Ceci, Gaudreau, Lafferty

  30. P2 7:01Shot by Panarin, saved by Jarry5v4
  31. P2 7:49Shot by Fox, saved by Jarry
  32. P2 7:57Shot by Fox, saved by Jarry
  33. P2 8:39Shot by McCann, saved by Shesterkin
  34. P2 9:09Shot by Dumoulin, saved by Shesterkin
  35. P2 11:09Shot by Hajek, saved by Jarry
  36. P2 11:18Smith: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Smith, Strome, Panarin, Hajek, Kravtsov · PIT Matheson, Ceci, Gaudreau, Lafferty, Aston-Reese

  37. P2 11:18Lafferty: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: NYR Smith, Strome, Panarin, Hajek, Kravtsov · PIT Matheson, Ceci, Gaudreau, Lafferty, Aston-Reese

  38. P2 11:18Smith: Roughing (2 min)4v4

    On ice: NYR Smith, Strome, Panarin, Hajek, Kravtsov · PIT Matheson, Ceci, Gaudreau, Lafferty, Aston-Reese

  39. P2 11:28Goal by Rodrigues (Zohorna, Zucker)4v5+16 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Zibanejad, Buchnevich, Fox, Lindgren · PIT Zucker, Matheson, Marino, Rodrigues, Zohorna

  40. P2 15:19Shot by Howden, saved by Jarry
  41. P2 16:12Shot by Lafferty, saved by Shesterkin
  42. P2 16:14Smith: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: NYR Smith, Strome, Panarin, Hajek, Kravtsov · PIT Gaudreau, Pettersson, Lafferty, Marino, Aston-Reese

  43. P2 16:14Lafferty: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: NYR Smith, Strome, Panarin, Hajek, Kravtsov · PIT Gaudreau, Pettersson, Lafferty, Marino, Aston-Reese

  44. P2 17:00Shot by Guentzel, saved by Shesterkin
  45. P2 17:57Shot by Kreider, saved by Jarry
  46. P2 17:59Ceci: Penalty shot tripping on breakaway (0 min)

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Zibanejad, Trouba, Buchnevich, Miller · PIT Zucker, Ceci, McCann, Marino, Rodrigues

  47. P2 17:59Shot by Kreider, saved by Jarryother
  48. P2 0:00Period end
  49. P3 0:00Period start
  50. P3 0:18Shot by Letang, saved by Shesterkin
  51. P3 0:22Shot by Crosby, saved by Shesterkin
  52. P3 3:53Shot by Lafferty, saved by Shesterkin
  53. P3 4:02Shot by Strome, saved by Jarry
  54. P3 4:27Shot by Smith, saved by Jarry
  55. P3 5:02Shot by Rooney, saved by Jarry
  56. P3 5:54Shot by Jankowski, saved by Shesterkin5v6
  57. P3 5:55Fox: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Zibanejad, Buchnevich, Panarin, Fox, Lindgren · PIT Crosby, Sceviour, Jankowski, Pettersson, Marino, Zohorna

  58. P3 6:41Crosby: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)4v5

    On ice: NYR Trouba, Rooney, Howden, Miller · PIT Crosby, Letang, Rust, Guentzel, McCann

  59. P3 7:00Shot by Matheson, saved by Shesterkin4v4
  60. P3 8:56Shot by Crosby, saved by Shesterkin
  61. P3 9:18Shot by Chytil, saved by Jarry
  62. P3 9:37Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Jarry
  63. P3 10:29Goal by Zucker (Rodrigues, Ceci)+4 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Strome, Trouba, Panarin, Miller · PIT Zucker, Matheson, Ceci, McCann, Rodrigues

  64. P3 10:55Shot by Zohorna, saved by Shesterkin
  65. P3 11:37Shot by Lindgren, saved by Jarry
  66. P3 12:06Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Jarry
  67. P3 13:48Goal by Rooney (Fox)+2 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Buchnevich, Rooney, Fox, Lindgren, Howden · PIT Zucker, Matheson, Ceci, McCann, Rodrigues

  68. P3 14:26Shot by Miller, saved by Jarry
  69. P3 15:07Zibanejad: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Blackwell, Zibanejad, Trouba, Miller, Kravtsov · PIT Crosby, Letang, Dumoulin, Rust, Guentzel

  70. P3 15:43Shot by Crosby, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  71. P3 15:54Shot by McCann, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  72. P3 16:18Shot by Matheson, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  73. P3 16:20Shot by Zohorna, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  74. P3 18:29Goal by Jankowski (Aston-Reese)6v5+1 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Blackwell, Strome, Zibanejad, Buchnevich, Panarin, Fox · PIT Dumoulin, Jankowski, Ceci, Gaudreau, Aston-Reese

  75. P3 0:00Period end
  76. P3 0:00Final