Thu, Apr 15, 2021·Capital One Arena, Washington
Buffalo Sabres 5, Washington Capitals 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 82% of the time.
13%
77%
WSH winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 22:14 | 0.02 | 52.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 22:04 | 0.00 | 61.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 20:29 | 0.07 | 62.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 20:25 | 0.05 | 62.5% | +20.6 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 18:40 | 0.30 | 75.5% | +31.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:18 | 0.01 | 60.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 18:15 | 0.82 | 68.9% | +20.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 16:08 | 0.16 | 85.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 16:03 | 0.00 | 32.6% | +0.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 16:01 | 0.86 | 32.3% | +15.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:00 | 0.00 | 59.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 15:29 | 0.96 | 66.0% | +21.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 15:17 | 0.22 | 71.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 14:15 | 0.21 | 69.6% | +36.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13:44 | 0.86 | 38.1% | +0.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 13:08 | 0.29 | 56.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 12:22 | 0.03 | 51.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:17 | 0.00 | 82.5% | 0.0 |
| W | 29 | 27 | 2 | .931 | 2.69 | +0.7 | 60:00 |
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 23:11 | 0.09 | 71.3% | +15.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 6 | 21:49 | 0.56 | 52.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19:51 | 0.07 | 31.3% | +15.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −4 | 1 | 19:21 | 0.02 | 15.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19:18 | 0.11 | 24.7% | +20.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 18:34 | 0.04 | 56.1% | +20.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 17:59 | 0.16 | 27.7% | +15.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 17:58 | 0.00 | 27.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17:11 | 0.22 | 48.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:37 | 0.33 | 59.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 16:35 | 0.21 | 49.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:31 | 0.00 | 33.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:55 | 0.06 | 36.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 13:48 | 0.33 | 55.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 12:31 | 0.28 | 58.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:16 | 0.00 | 27.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:01 | 0.21 | 15.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:56 | 0.00 | 22.7% | 0.0 |
| – | 8 | 8 | 0 | 1.000 | 1.18 | +1.2 | 24:44 | |
| L | 21 | 17 | 4 | .810 | 2.29 | −1.7 | 32:54 |