Thu, Apr 15, 2021·Capital One Arena, Washington
Buffalo Sabres 5, Washington Capitals 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 82% of the time.
13%
77%
WSH winsBUF wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
WSH forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Bjork–Cozens–Ruotsalainen | Asplund–Thompson–Mittelstadt | Skinner–Reinhart–Olofsson | Eakin–Rieder–Asplund | Okposo–Eakin–Rieder | Eakin–Rieder–Reinhart | Eakin–Rieder–Olofsson | Reinhart–Bjork–Olofsson | Reinhart–Bjork–Ruotsalainen | Bjork–Thompson–Mittelstadt | Skinner–Thompson–Mittelstadt | Jokiharju–Dahlin | Ristolainen–Bryson | Irwin–Miller | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oshie–Backstrom–Mantha | 4:380.02–0.03 | 1:060.04–0.12 | 1:320.00–0.06 | 1:030.04–0.00 | 0:310.04–0.00 | 3:150.00–0.09 | 4:550.07–0.17 | 2:550.08–0.00 | ||||||
| Ovechkin–Kuznetsov–Wilson | 3:040.07–0.01 | 3:340.31–0.17 | 1:170.03–0.12 | 5:590.33–0.22 | 1:560.09–0.15 | 1:300.23–0.02 | ||||||||
| Eller–Sheary–Sprong | 2:090.18–0.00 | 0:550.00–0.02 | 1:160.00–0.00 | 0:400.10–0.00 | 0:330.10–0.00 | 2:290.20–0.30 | 2:260.18–0.02 | 2:070.06–0.04 | ||||||
| Hagelin–Dowd–Hathaway | 0:570.00–0.13 | 1:200.24–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.47 | 0:490.00–0.00 | 1:130.00–0.05 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 3:100.24–0.89 | |||||||
| Hagelin–Eller–Sprong | 1:450.04–0.00 | 1:150.04–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Hagelin–Eller–Sheary | 0:510.02–0.00 | 0:430.05–0.00 | 0:510.02–0.00 | 0:430.05–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Schultz–Dillon | 2:590.00–0.08 | 3:530.11–0.01 | 1:320.08–0.53 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 1:040.04–0.10 | 2:320.00–0.35 | 5:230.19–0.21 | 4:560.04–0.52 | |||||
| Carlson–Orlov | 2:210.00–0.00 | 2:280.45–0.16 | 3:240.13–0.12 | 0:510.00–0.02 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 0:570.04–0.01 | 0:420.04–0.00 | 7:520.33–0.23 | 2:080.04–0.02 | 2:170.47–0.00 | ||||
| Chara–Jensen | 2:510.02–0.00 | 1:020.00–0.02 | 0:580.00–0.00 | 0:510.09–0.00 | 0:410.10–0.00 | 0:430.05–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 0:420.10–0.00 | 2:350.10–0.07 | 4:270.10–0.15 | 2:580.08–0.30 | |||
| Carlson–Dillon | 0:390.07–0.00 | 0:440.12–0.00 | 0:310.07–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Orlov–Jensen | 1:330.04–0.00 | 1:200.04–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Schultz–Orlov | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:560.00–0.34 | 0:320.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
WSHBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 John CarlsonWSH | 22 | 23:11 | 1:03 | 2:06 | 6 | 0 |
 Rasmus RistolainenBUF | 24 | 22:14 | 0:56 | 1:35 | 2 | 7 |
 Jacob BrysonBUF | 22 | 22:04 | 1:00 | 2:08 | 0 | 7 |
 Alex OvechkinWSH | 21 | 21:49 | 1:02 | 2:43 | 4 | 0 |
 Rasmus DahlinBUF | 22 | 20:29 | 0:56 | 1:35 | 3 | 2 |
 Henri JokiharjuBUF | 21 | 20:25 | 0:58 | 1:35 | 2 | 1 |
 Nicklas BackstromWSH | 20 | 19:51 | 1:00 | 2:24 | 4 | 2 |
 Justin SchultzWSH | 22 | 19:21 | 0:53 | 2:18 | 3 | 2 |
 T.J. OshieWSH | 21 | 19:18 | 0:55 | 1:42 | 6 | 1 |
 Anders BjorkBUF | 26 | 18:40 | 0:43 | 1:14 | 3 | 3 |
 Dmitry OrlovWSH | 19 | 18:34 | 0:59 | 1:58 | 5 | 0 |
 Colin MillerBUF | 23 | 18:18 | 0:48 | 1:46 | 0 | 0 |
 Sam ReinhartBUF | 25 | 18:15 | 0:44 | 1:15 | 3 | 3 |
 Anthony ManthaWSH | 22 | 17:59 | 0:49 | 1:15 | 6 | 2 |
 Brenden DillonWSH | 21 | 17:58 | 0:51 | 1:43 | 2 | 2 |
 Evgeny KuznetsovWSH | 18 | 17:11 | 0:57 | 1:42 | 4 | 0 |
 Lars EllerWSH | 20 | 16:37 | 0:50 | 1:42 | 2 | 2 |
 Tom WilsonWSH | 23 | 16:35 | 0:43 | 1:42 | 4 | 0 |
 Nick JensenWSH | 18 | 16:31 | 0:55 | 1:45 | 0 | 3 |
 Arttu RuotsalainenBUF | 22 | 16:08 | 0:44 | 1:20 | 2 | 0 |
 Rasmus AsplundBUF | 22 | 16:03 | 0:44 | 1:40 | 0 | 3 |
 Casey MittelstadtBUF | 22 | 16:01 | 0:44 | 1:21 | 2 | 4 |
 Matt IrwinBUF | 22 | 16:00 | 0:44 | 1:46 | 0 | 0 |
 Zdeno CharaWSH | 17 | 15:55 | 0:56 | 2:03 | 0 | 4 |
 Victor OlofssonBUF | 22 | 15:29 | 0:42 | 1:09 | 1 | 3 |
 Jeff SkinnerBUF | 21 | 15:17 | 0:44 | 1:20 | 3 | 3 |
 Dylan CozensBUF | 21 | 14:15 | 0:41 | 1:28 | 3 | 0 |
 Conor ShearyWSH | 16 | 13:48 | 0:52 | 1:24 | 3 | 1 |
 Tage ThompsonBUF | 16 | 13:44 | 0:52 | 1:30 | 0 | 2 |
 Cody EakinBUF | 15 | 13:08 | 0:53 | 1:48 | 0 | 5 |
 Daniel SprongWSH | 14 | 12:31 | 0:54 | 1:39 | 0 | 1 |
 Tobias RiederBUF | 15 | 12:22 | 0:49 | 1:40 | 0 | 5 |
 Carl HagelinWSH | 14 | 11:16 | 0:48 | 1:30 | 1 | 1 |
 Nic DowdWSH | 11 | 9:01 | 0:49 | 1:24 | 0 | 1 |
 Garnet HathawayWSH | 9 | 8:56 | 1:00 | 1:48 | 0 | 0 |
 Kyle OkposoBUF | 3 | 2:17 | 0:46 | 0:51 | 0 | 0 |