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Ice Lab

Sat, Apr 17, 2021·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Pittsburgh Penguins 3, Buffalo Sabres 2

Away

Pittsburgh Penguins

3

Final

Home

Buffalo Sabres

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 56% of the time.

BUF winsPIT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:10Shot by Dahlin, saved by Jarry
  3. P1 3:31Ruotsalainen: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: BUF Ristolainen, Bjork, Bryson, Cozens, Ruotsalainen · PIT Crosby, Matheson, Ceci, Blueger, Rodrigues, Aston-Reese

  4. P1 5:12Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Tokarski4v5
  5. P1 6:00Shot by Bjork, saved by Jarry
  6. P1 9:28Shot by Reinhart, saved by Jarry
  7. P1 9:35Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Jarry
  8. P1 10:28Shot by Matheson, saved by Tokarski
  9. P1 10:30Goal by McCann (Matheson, Ceci)+18 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Irwin, Miller, Reinhart, Bjork, Olofsson · PIT Carter, Zucker, Matheson, Ceci, McCann

  10. P1 10:55Shot by Cozens, saved by Jarry
  11. P1 11:23Shot by Thompson, saved by Jarry
  12. P1 11:38Shot by Sceviour, saved by Tokarski
  13. P1 11:58Shot by Carter, saved by Tokarski
  14. P1 12:43Shot by Letang, saved by Tokarski
  15. P1 12:52Shot by Rust, saved by Tokarski
  16. P1 14:02Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Tokarski
  17. P1 14:24Shot by Aston-Reese, saved by Tokarski
  18. P1 15:58Shot by Matheson, saved by Tokarski
  19. P1 16:42Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Tokarski
  20. P1 18:04Shot by Matheson, saved by Tokarski
  21. P1 0:00Period end
  22. P2 0:00Period start
  23. P2 0:38Shot by Bjork, saved by Jarry
  24. P2 0:57Shot by Thompson, saved by Jarry
  25. P2 2:16Shot by Matheson, saved by Tokarski
  26. P2 3:08Shot by Olofsson, saved by Jarry
  27. P2 3:09Shot by Reinhart, saved by Jarry
  28. P2 3:48Shot by Fogarty, saved by Jarry
  29. P2 4:15Shot by Ceci, saved by Tokarski
  30. P2 4:43Shot by Guentzel, saved by Tokarski
  31. P2 4:57Shot by Rust, saved by Tokarski
  32. P2 5:57Goal by Rodrigues (Blueger)+16 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Irwin, Ristolainen, Bjork, Cozens, Ruotsalainen · PIT Blueger, Pettersson, Marino, Rodrigues, Aston-Reese

  33. P2 6:41Goal by Thompson, unassisted+16 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Miller, Asplund, Thompson, Mittelstadt, Bryson · PIT Carter, Zucker, Matheson, Ceci, McCann

  34. P2 7:17Shot by Crosby, saved by Tokarski
  35. P2 7:35Shot by Zohorna, saved by Tokarski
  36. P2 8:43Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Tokarski
  37. P2 10:02Shot by Cozens, saved by Jarry
  38. P2 10:30Bjork: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Reinhart, Bjork, Olofsson, Jokiharju, Dahlin · PIT Crosby, Dumoulin, Rust, Guentzel, Marino

  39. P2 10:40Shot by Letang, saved by Tokarski4v5
  40. P2 11:22Shot by McCann, saved by Tokarski4v5
  41. P2 11:51Shot by Guentzel, saved by Tokarski4v5
  42. P2 11:57Shot by McCann, saved by Tokarski4v5
  43. P2 12:15Goal by Rust (Crosby, Guentzel)4v5+15 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Irwin, Fogarty, Miller, Asplund · PIT Crosby, Letang, Rust, Guentzel, McCann

  44. P2 12:50Shot by Olofsson, saved by Jarry
  45. P2 14:57Shot by Thompson, saved by Jarry
  46. P2 15:03Shot by Thompson, saved by Jarry
  47. P2 15:06Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Jarry
  48. P2 16:08Shot by Jokiharju, saved by Jarry
  49. P2 18:37Shot by Cozens, saved by Jarry
  50. P2 0:00Period end
  51. P3 0:00Period start
  52. P3 1:24Shot by Matheson, saved by Tokarski
  53. P3 1:59Shot by Skinner, saved by Jarry
  54. P3 2:09Shot by Aston-Reese, saved by Tokarski
  55. P3 2:20Shot by Zohorna, saved by Tokarski
  56. P3 3:38Shot by Rust, saved by Tokarski
  57. P3 3:44Shot by Dumoulin, saved by Tokarski
  58. P3 4:05Shot by Asplund, saved by Jarry
  59. P3 4:40Shot by McCann, saved by Tokarski
  60. P3 4:57Shot by Blueger, saved by Tokarski
  61. P3 5:18Shot by Olofsson, saved by Jarry
  62. P3 5:35Shot by Dahlin, saved by Jarry
  63. P3 6:50Shot by Dumoulin, saved by Tokarski
  64. P3 8:48Shot by Thompson, saved by Jarry
  65. P3 9:04Shot by Pettersson, saved by Tokarski
  66. P3 9:19Shot by Reinhart, saved by Jarry
  67. P3 10:54Jankowski: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Fogarty, Bjork, Jokiharju, Dahlin, Cozens · PIT Jankowski, Matheson, Ceci, Rodrigues, Aston-Reese

  68. P3 11:44Goal by Mittelstadt (Ristolainen, Reinhart)5v4+13 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Ristolainen, Reinhart, Olofsson, Mittelstadt, Dahlin · PIT Carter, Sceviour, Dumoulin, Ceci

  69. P3 12:02Shot by Ruotsalainen, saved by Jarry
  70. P3 13:21Shot by Matheson, saved by Tokarski
  71. P3 13:56Shot by McCann, saved by Tokarski
  72. P3 14:02Shot by Letang, saved by Tokarski
  73. P3 14:28Shot by Rust, saved by Tokarski
  74. P3 14:33Shot by Dumoulin, saved by Tokarski
  75. P3 15:47Shot by Carter, saved by Tokarski
  76. P3 15:55Shot by Matheson, saved by Tokarski
  77. P3 17:37Shot by Dahlin, saved by Jarry
  78. P3 19:48Shot by Jokiharju, saved by Jarry6v5
  79. P3 19:54Shot by Reinhart, saved by Jarry6v5
  80. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  81. P3 0:00Final