Sat, Apr 17, 2021·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Pittsburgh Penguins 3, Buffalo Sabres 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 56% of the time.
35%
9%
11%
45%
BUF winsPIT wins
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24:20 | 0.10 | 36.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21:24 | 0.11 | 40.7% | +15.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21:03 | 0.12 | 52.6% | +15.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 20:50 | 0.44 | 37.8% | +15.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20:40 | 0.11 | 40.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19:34 | 0.03 | 66.4% | +18.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 19:03 | 0.15 | 59.1% | +18.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:28 | 0.00 | 54.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:35 | 0.29 | 48.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:15 | 0.18 | 58.5% | +15.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 16:09 | 0.33 | 53.7% | +15.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 15:30 | 0.08 | 57.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 15:26 | 0.05 | 69.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 15:22 | 0.27 | 88.9% | +18.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:59 | 0.02 | 68.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:06 | 0.02 | 73.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:10 | 0.00 | 39.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7:23 | 0.14 | 38.4% | 0.0 |
| W | 30 | 28 | 2 | .933 | 2.17 | +0.2 | 59:53 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24:02 | 0.06 | 66.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:08 | 0.08 | 79.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 20:13 | 0.01 | 22.7% | +12.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 20:02 | 0.01 | 37.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:54 | 0.00 | 53.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 17:35 | 0.41 | 57.8% | +12.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:26 | 0.33 | 49.0% | +12.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 17:10 | 0.38 | 59.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 17:01 | 0.16 | 60.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 16:41 | 0.00 | 43.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:40 | 0.19 | 65.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 16:06 | 0.28 | 57.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:21 | 0.06 | 51.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 14:24 | 0.15 | 61.9% | +15.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 13:25 | 0.03 | 50.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:55 | 0.00 | 9.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:18 | 0.03 | 16.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:15 | 0.00 | 11.7% | 0.0 |
| L | 41 | 38 | 3 | .927 | 2.43 | −0.6 | 57:39 |