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Ice Lab

Sat, Apr 17, 2021·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Florida Panthers 5, Tampa Bay Lightning 3

Away

Florida Panthers

5

Final

Home

Tampa Bay Lightning

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 70% of the time.

TBL winsFLA wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:26Shot by Yandle, saved by Vasilevskiy
  3. P1 1:36Shot by Colton, saved by Bobrovsky
  4. P1 1:44Shot by Killorn, saved by Bobrovsky
  5. P1 2:57Shot by Barkov, saved by Vasilevskiy
  6. P1 3:04Shot by Yandle, saved by Vasilevskiy
  7. P1 3:21Shot by McDonagh, saved by Bobrovsky
  8. P1 4:16Shot by Cernak, saved by Bobrovsky
  9. P1 4:57Montour: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Schenn, Cirelli, Sergachev, Colton · FLA Hornqvist, Wennberg, Montour, Vatrano, Nutivaara

  10. P1 6:07Shot by Barré-Boulet, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
  11. P1 7:40Shot by Goodrow, saved by Bobrovsky
  12. P1 8:01Shot by Sergachev, saved by Bobrovsky
  13. P1 8:09Shot by Colton, saved by Bobrovsky
  14. P1 8:25Shot by Nutivaara, saved by Vasilevskiy
  15. P1 8:41Goal by Montour (Bennett)+18 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Palat, Gourde, Point, Cernak · FLA Huberdeau, Duclair, Bennett, Montour, Nutivaara

  16. P1 9:18Shot by Gourde, saved by Bobrovsky
  17. P1 9:32Barkov: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Savard, Coleman, Goodrow, Gourde · FLA Gusev, Weegar, Barkov, Forsling, Marchment

  18. P1 9:56Shot by Point, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
  19. P1 11:47Maroon: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Coleman, Goodrow, Gourde, Cirelli, Sergachev · FLA Gusev, Weegar, Barkov, Montour, Marchment

  20. P1 12:31Shot by Barkov, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  21. P1 12:31Goal by Hornqvist (Barkov, Gusev)4v5+13 pts WP

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Savard, Coleman, Cirelli · FLA Yandle, Hornqvist, Huberdeau, Gusev, Barkov

  22. P1 13:29Shot by Schenn, saved by Bobrovsky
  23. P1 13:40Goal by Point (Sergachev, Palat)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Schenn, Palat, Point, Sergachev, Barré-Boulet · FLA Weegar, Lammikko, Wallmark, Forsling, Tippett

  24. P1 16:59Shot by Point, saved by Bobrovsky
  25. P1 17:00Shot by McDonagh, saved by Bobrovsky
  26. P1 17:19Shot by Cernak, saved by Bobrovsky
  27. P1 17:33Shot by Forsling, saved by Vasilevskiy
  28. P1 18:38Shot by Gusev, saved by Vasilevskiy
  29. P1 19:52Shot by Nutivaara, saved by Vasilevskiy
  30. P1 19:52Goal by Huberdeau (Nutivaara, Bennett)+15 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Maroon, Johnson, Hedman, Joseph, Sergachev · FLA Huberdeau, Duclair, Bennett, Montour, Nutivaara

  31. P1 0:00Period end
  32. P2 0:00Period start
  33. P2 0:58Shot by Duclair, saved by Vasilevskiy
  34. P2 1:44Shot by Montour, saved by Vasilevskiy
  35. P2 1:52Shot by Tippett, saved by Vasilevskiy
  36. P2 2:12Shot by Gusev, saved by Vasilevskiy
  37. P2 2:46Shot by Marchment, saved by Vasilevskiy
  38. P2 4:02Shot by Vatrano, saved by Vasilevskiy
  39. P2 4:12Shot by Schenn, saved by Bobrovsky
  40. P2 6:04Shot by Schenn, saved by Bobrovsky
  41. P2 7:11Shot by Cernak, saved by Bobrovsky
  42. P2 7:29Shot by Montour, saved by Vasilevskiy
  43. P2 9:14Shot by Forsling, saved by Vasilevskiy
  44. P2 9:14Johnson: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Schenn, Palat, Point, Sergachev, Barré-Boulet · FLA Huberdeau, Weegar, Duclair, Barkov, Wennberg, Forsling

  45. P2 11:58Shot by Tippett, saved by Vasilevskiy
  46. P2 12:46Shot by Savard, saved by Bobrovsky
  47. P2 14:01Shot by Colton, saved by Bobrovsky
  48. P2 14:14Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Vasilevskiy
  49. P2 15:01Johnson: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Maroon, Johnson, Savard, Joseph, Sergachev · FLA Yandle, Gudas, Lammikko, Wallmark, Tippett

  50. P2 17:34Goal by Vatrano, unassisted+7 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Palat, Point, Sergachev, Barré-Boulet · FLA Wennberg, Montour, Vatrano, Nutivaara, Tippett

  51. P2 19:09Shot by Cernak, saved by Bobrovsky
  52. P2 19:15Goal by Cernak (Coleman, Hedman)+6 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Coleman, Goodrow, Gourde, Cernak · FLA Yandle, Gudas, Lammikko, Wallmark, Tippett

  53. P2 0:00Period end
  54. P3 0:00Period start
  55. P3 0:46Shot by Barkov, saved by Vasilevskiy
  56. P3 1:53Goal by Joseph (Hedman, Point)+16 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Maroon, Hedman, Point, Cernak, Joseph · FLA Hornqvist, Wennberg, Montour, Vatrano, Nutivaara

  57. P3 2:31Shot by Lammikko, saved by Vasilevskiy
  58. P3 3:01Shot by Killorn, saved by Bobrovsky
  59. P3 3:08Shot by Cirelli, saved by Bobrovsky
  60. P3 4:52Shot by Lammikko, saved by Vasilevskiy
  61. P3 5:19Shot by Johnson, saved by Bobrovsky
  62. P3 5:42Shot by Hedman, saved by Bobrovsky
  63. P3 6:15Shot by Nutivaara, saved by Vasilevskiy
  64. P3 6:25Shot by Savard, saved by Bobrovsky
  65. P3 9:13Shot by Killorn, saved by Bobrovsky
  66. P3 12:36Shot by Marchment, saved by Vasilevskiy
  67. P3 12:46Shot by Barkov, saved by Vasilevskiy
  68. P3 13:13Shot by Bennett, saved by Vasilevskiy
  69. P3 14:58Shot by Gusev, saved by Vasilevskiy
  70. P3 15:21Shot by Duclair, saved by Vasilevskiy
  71. P3 15:42Shot by Point, saved by Bobrovsky
  72. P3 17:51Shot by McDonagh, saved by Bobrovsky
  73. P3 19:10Goal by Duclair (Gudas)6v5+4 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Killorn, McDonagh, Johnson, Gourde, Cernak, Barré-Boulet · FLA Gudas, Huberdeau, Duclair, Bennett, Montour

  74. P3 0:00Period end
  75. P3 0:00Final