Sun, Apr 18, 2021·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Pittsburgh Penguins 2, Buffalo Sabres 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 64% of the time.
55%
8%
10%
27%
BUF winsPIT wins
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 23:35 | 0.06 | 43.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 21:38 | 0.00 | 46.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 21:13 | 0.51 | 45.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 21:00 | 0.40 | 45.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 20:58 | 0.21 | 45.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 20:40 | 0.06 | 42.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19:16 | 0.05 | 42.4% | +0.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 18:28 | 0.01 | 88.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16:02 | 0.28 | 95.4% | +3.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15:34 | 0.15 | 38.9% | +0.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15:22 | 0.03 | 95.4% | +3.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14:48 | 0.36 | 93.3% | +3.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:39 | 0.00 | 39.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13:44 | 0.12 | 43.1% | +0.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:56 | 0.05 | 53.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:10 | 0.01 | 9.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:06 | 0.00 | 27.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:15 | 0.00 | 24.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 28 | 25 | 3 | .893 | 2.39 | −0.6 | 58:46 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 23:12 | 0.59 | 62.2% | +16.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:39 | 0.04 | 45.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:09 | 0.00 | 53.2% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19:44 | 0.28 | 81.3% | +16.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 19:08 | 0.04 | 43.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:39 | 0.00 | 55.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17:03 | 0.04 | 48.7% | +16.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16:46 | 0.13 | 30.9% | +0.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 16:36 | 0.33 | 86.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:20 | 0.00 | 34.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:11 | 0.02 | 37.1% | +13.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:05 | 0.11 | 16.9% | +13.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:46 | 0.34 | 74.4% | +13.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 14:47 | 0.18 | 30.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:12 | 0.01 | 29.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12:14 | 0.85 | 38.4% | +0.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:34 | 0.13 | 72.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:55 | 0.00 | 20.5% | 0.0 |
| W | 36 | 34 | 2 | .944 | 2.32 | +0.3 | 60:00 |