Sun, Mar 7, 2021·Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia
Washington Capitals 3, Philadelphia Flyers 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 52% of the time.
39%
9%
10%
41%
PHI winsWSH wins
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 21:21 | 0.02 | 49.4% | +28.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:18 | 0.01 | 31.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 20:10 | 0.05 | 80.8% | +22.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 19:37 | 0.10 | 34.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 18:25 | 0.09 | 74.1% | +15.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 18:12 | 0.12 | 59.6% | +28.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:51 | 0.05 | 60.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 17:27 | 0.83 | 40.7% | +22.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:25 | 0.06 | 62.9% | +15.6 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 14:55 | 0.03 | 74.5% | +37.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:42 | 0.00 | 31.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:39 | 0.00 | 31.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:26 | 0.26 | 45.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:19 | 0.69 | 60.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 13:13 | 0.06 | 52.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 13:03 | 0.04 | 60.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:01 | 0.26 | 60.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 11:08 | 0.09 | 58.0% | +28.1 |
| W | 37 | 36 | 1 | .973 | 2.72 | +1.7 | 60:00 |
Philadelphia Flyers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 22:21 | 0.02 | 38.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 6 | 21:50 | 0.07 | 42.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 19:43 | 0.08 | 34.5% | +15.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:37 | 0.13 | 59.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:32 | 0.29 | 73.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 18:20 | 0.14 | 25.5% | +15.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 18:17 | 0.94 | 54.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:46 | 0.03 | 40.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:39 | 0.18 | 26.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:36 | 0.03 | 70.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 17:20 | 0.43 | 73.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:08 | 0.02 | 63.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:30 | 0.00 | 73.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:57 | 0.25 | 59.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:44 | 0.06 | 36.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 10:25 | 0.05 | 14.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:59 | 0.02 | 15.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:23 | 0.00 | 20.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 27 | 24 | 3 | .889 | 1.54 | −1.5 | 54:57 |