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Ice Lab

Wed, Apr 28, 2021·Centre Bell, Montreal

Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Montréal Canadiens 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 55% of the time.

MTL winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:59Toffoli: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Petry, Toffoli, Edmundson, Suzuki, Caufield · TOR Brodie, Tavares, Galchenyuk, Rielly, Nylander

  3. P1 1:38Goal by Nylander (Marner, Rielly)4v5+15 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Weber, Chiarot, Armia, Danault · TOR Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Marner, Matthews

  4. P1 5:45Thornton: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Petry, Frolik, Edmundson, Evans, Kotkaniemi · TOR Thornton, Spezza, Brodie, Rielly, Brooks

  5. P1 5:53Shot by Caufield, saved by Campbell5v4
  6. P1 6:01Shot by Holl, saved by Allen5v4
  7. P1 6:27Shot by Suzuki, saved by Campbell5v4
  8. P1 6:52Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Allen5v4
  9. P1 7:24Shot by Petry, saved by Campbell5v4
  10. P1 8:44Goal by Matthews (Foligno, Rielly)+14 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Weber, Chiarot, Toffoli, Suzuki, Caufield · TOR Foligno, Holl, Rielly, Marner, Matthews

  11. P1 9:01Shot by Caufield, saved by Campbell
  12. P1 9:55Shot by Simmonds, saved by Allen
  13. P1 10:28Shot by Kotkaniemi, saved by Campbell
  14. P1 10:39Shot by Armia, saved by Campbell
  15. P1 13:15Shot by Perry, saved by Campbell
  16. P1 13:20Shot by Romanov, saved by Campbell
  17. P1 15:10Shot by Toffoli, saved by Campbell
  18. P1 15:15Shot by Chiarot, saved by Campbell
  19. P1 15:48Shot by Matthews, saved by Allen
  20. P1 16:05Shot by Armia, saved by Campbell
  21. P1 17:11Shot by Sandin, saved by Allen
  22. P1 0:00Period end
  23. P2 0:00Period start
  24. P2 0:18Shot by Marner, saved by Allen
  25. P2 1:38Shot by Edmundson, saved by Campbell
  26. P2 1:55Shot by Edmundson, saved by Campbell
  27. P2 2:26Shot by Dermott, saved by Allen
  28. P2 3:04Shot by Thornton, saved by Allen
  29. P2 3:09Shot by Spezza, saved by Allen
  30. P2 3:10Merrill: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Staal, Frolik, Merrill, Evans, Romanov · TOR Thornton, Spezza, Muzzin, Holl, Brooks

  31. P2 3:43Shot by Chiarot, saved by Campbell4v5
  32. P2 3:44Shot by Danault, saved by Campbell4v5
  33. P2 4:03Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Campbell4v5
  34. P2 4:36Shot by Thornton, saved by Allen4v5
  35. P2 6:27Goal by Muzzin (Spezza, Thornton)+9 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Perry, Merrill, Suzuki, Romanov, Caufield · TOR Thornton, Spezza, Muzzin, Holl, Brooks

  36. P2 6:37Shot by Anderson, saved by Campbell
  37. P2 7:06Shot by Anderson, saved by Campbell
  38. P2 7:59Shot by Weber, saved by Campbell
  39. P2 10:34Shot by Armia, saved by Campbell
  40. P2 11:00Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Campbell
  41. P2 12:27Shot by Frolik, saved by Campbell
  42. P2 13:45Shot by Marner, saved by Allen
  43. P2 14:44Shot by Toffoli, saved by Campbell
  44. P2 15:15Goal by Suzuki (Petry, Edmundson)+7 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Petry, Toffoli, Edmundson, Suzuki, Caufield · TOR Muzzin, Tavares, Holl, Galchenyuk, Nylander

  45. P2 17:00Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Allen
  46. P2 17:06Shot by Simmonds, saved by Allen
  47. P2 19:11Shot by Matthews, saved by Allen
  48. P2 19:19Shot by Matthews, saved by Allen
  49. P2 0:00Period end
  50. P3 0:00Period start
  51. P3 0:18Shot by Matthews, saved by Allen
  52. P3 1:20Shot by Perry, saved by Campbell
  53. P3 2:25Shot by Anderson, saved by Campbell
  54. P3 4:00Shot by Nylander, saved by Allen
  55. P3 4:48Galchenyuk: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Perry, Merrill, Armia, Kotkaniemi, Romanov · TOR Simmonds, Brodie, Tavares, Galchenyuk, Rielly

  56. P3 6:17Shot by Weber, saved by Campbell5v4
  57. P3 6:28Shot by Muzzin, saved by Allen5v4
  58. P3 6:59Shot by Evans, saved by Campbell
  59. P3 8:15Goal by Brooks (Spezza, Holl)+4 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Toffoli, Merrill, Anderson, Suzuki, Romanov · TOR Spezza, Muzzin, Holl, Brooks, Mikheyev

  60. P3 9:04Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Allen
  61. P3 10:15Shot by Weber, saved by Campbell
  62. P3 10:47Shot by Spezza, saved by Allen
  63. P3 12:05Petry: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Perry, Petry, Edmundson, Armia, Kotkaniemi · TOR Brodie, Tavares, Galchenyuk, Rielly, Nylander

  64. P3 12:27Shot by Tavares, saved by Allen4v5
  65. P3 12:31Shot by Tavares, saved by Allen4v5
  66. P3 12:56Shot by Weber, saved by Campbell4v5
  67. P3 14:41Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Allen
  68. P3 16:17Shot by Rielly, saved by Allen
  69. P3 16:27Shot by Petry, saved by Campbell
  70. P3 17:08Shot by Tavares, saved by Allen
  71. P3 18:55Shot by Petry, saved by Campbell
  72. P3 19:21Shot by Kotkaniemi, saved by Campbell
  73. P3 0:00Period end
  74. P3 0:00Final