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Ice Lab

Wed, Apr 28, 2021·Centre Bell, Montreal

Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Montréal Canadiens 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 55% of the time.

MTL winsTOR wins

Toronto Maple Leafs

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Mitch MarnerRW · #16011+1221:240.1067.5%+14.6
Morgan RiellyD · #44022+1120:490.0238.7%+28.6
Justin HollD · #3011+2120:220.0167.1%+4.4
Jake MuzzinD · #8101+1219:550.0162.6%+8.7
TJ BrodieD · #780000019:300.0044.3%0.0
Rasmus SandinD · #380000118:000.0551.6%0.0
Auston MatthewsC · #34101+1517:330.4866.2%+14.0
Nick FolignoLW · #71011+1017:300.0474.1%+14.0
John TavaresC · #91000−1317:110.3112.6%0.0
Travis DermottD · #230000116:520.0729.7%0.0
Ilya MikheyevRW · #65000+1315:240.0472.4%0.0
William NylanderRW · #88101−1215:180.3010.6%+14.6
Alexander KerfootC · #150000115:030.1764.2%0.0
Wayne SimmondsRW · #240000214:500.2365.4%0.0
Alex GalchenyukC · #12000−1014:060.005.5%0.0
Adam BrooksC · #77101+2111:260.1862.4%+4.4
Joe ThorntonC · #97011+1210:510.0745.1%+8.7
Jason SpezzaC · #19022+229:560.1164.7%+13.1
Jack Campbell#36W33321.9701.91+0.960:00

Montréal Canadiens

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Ben ChiarotD · #8000−1222:020.0352.5%0.0
Shea WeberD · #6000−1421:480.0640.4%0.0
Jeff PetryD · #26011+1321:260.0254.4%+7.2
Joel EdmundsonD · #44011+1219:110.0452.2%+7.2
Alexander RomanovD · #27000−2118:210.0435.4%0.0
Corey PerryRW · #94000−1216:590.1244.3%0.0
Josh AndersonRW · #17000−1316:350.3246.7%0.0
Nick SuzukiC · #14101−2216:280.0230.2%+7.2
Jesperi KotkaniemiC · #150000216:210.0750.2%0.0
Joel ArmiaRW · #400000316:210.2647.9%0.0
Phillip DanaultC · #240000116:070.4151.2%0.0
Jon MerrillD · #28000−2015:460.0034.3%0.0
Tyler ToffoliC · #73000−1215:040.0529.0%0.0
Artturi LehkonenLW · #620000214:180.2351.2%0.0
Cole CaufieldRW · #22000−1213:590.0850.6%0.0
Jake EvansC · #710000112:370.1242.9%0.0
Eric StaalC · #210000011:540.0048.9%0.0
Michael FrolikRW · #670000110:040.0467.5%0.0
Jake Allen#34L29254.8622.19−1.860:00