Tue, May 4, 2021·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
New York Islanders 3, Buffalo Sabres 4 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 75% of the time.
18%
67%
BUF winsNYI wins
New York Islanders
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 24:00 | 0.07 | 76.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 6 | 23:30 | 0.40 | 56.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 23:19 | 0.10 | 79.3% | +22.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:54 | 0.04 | 54.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:08 | 0.14 | 48.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 18:05 | 0.23 | 64.5% | +16.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 7 | 17:28 | 0.69 | 78.7% | +16.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16:57 | 0.36 | 78.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 16:56 | 0.06 | 63.4% | +16.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:12 | 0.07 | 86.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 15:59 | 0.02 | 45.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 15:54 | 0.08 | 31.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:47 | 0.13 | 86.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:15 | 0.26 | 49.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 14:54 | 0.18 | 34.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 14:20 | 0.34 | 65.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 13:53 | 0.10 | 70.3% | +38.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11:29 | 0.06 | 64.3% | +22.1 |
| O | 31 | 28 | 3 | .903 | 1.87 | −1.1 | 65:00 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 26:37 | 0.02 | 32.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 23:19 | 0.11 | 32.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:43 | 0.01 | 42.3% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 21:14 | 0.18 | 74.1% | +51.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 21:08 | 0.22 | 74.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19:43 | 0.16 | 29.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:55 | 0.03 | 29.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 18:53 | 0.28 | 78.8% | +51.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:30 | 0.03 | 52.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:28 | 0.13 | 25.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:45 | 0.00 | 29.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:36 | 0.01 | 49.6% | +15.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13:27 | 0.10 | 41.6% | +16.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:42 | 0.08 | 21.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 12:41 | 0.25 | 21.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 12:27 | 0.03 | 21.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 12:17 | 0.10 | 46.0% | +16.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11:35 | 0.12 | 45.2% | +16.7 |
| W | 48 | 45 | 3 | .938 | 3.35 | +0.3 | 65:00 |