Tue, May 4, 2021·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
New York Islanders 3, Buffalo Sabres 4 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 75% of the time.
18%
67%
BUF winsNYI wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NYI's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Bailey–Nelson–Beauvillier | Palmieri–Pageau–Wahlstrom | Clutterbuck–Cizikas–Johnston | Zajac–Eberle–Dal Colle | Zajac–Dal Colle–Wahlstrom | Bailey–Nelson–Dal Colle | Zajac–Eberle–Beauvillier | Eberle–Palmieri–Pageau | Leddy–Mayfield | Pelech–Pulock | Greene–Dobson | Greene–Pulock | Pelech–Dobson | Leddy–Dobson | Greene–Mayfield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reinhart–Bjork–Olofsson | 1:190.00–0.02 | 4:570.04–0.01 | 1:150.14–0.00 | 2:100.16–0.00 | 1:330.03–0.00 | 0:300.32–0.00 | 5:240.66–0.01 | 4:140.00–0.13 | 1:210.05–0.00 | 1:480.02–0.00 | 0:550.03–0.00 | ||||
| Asplund–Thompson–Mittelstadt | 4:030.00–0.46 | 1:120.00–0.14 | 2:160.02–0.02 | 2:220.23–0.01 | 3:360.00–0.26 | 5:130.23–0.36 | 1:200.00–0.01 | 1:220.02–0.00 | |||||||
| Eakin–Skinner–Caggiula | 3:000.23–0.16 | 3:220.02–0.08 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 1:020.08–0.00 | 1:110.02–0.11 | 4:420.11–0.29 | 1:060.04–0.01 | 2:060.17–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.00 | 1:180.02–0.02 | |||||
| Sheahan–Cozens–Ruotsalainen | 1:510.03–0.43 | 3:070.08–0.35 | 2:050.25–0.47 | 0:380.04–0.03 | 1:550.25–0.57 | 3:080.04–0.63 | 1:240.05–0.00 | 0:510.00–0.02 | 1:100.08–0.03 | 0:390.00–0.16 | |||||
| Bjork–Thompson–Mittelstadt | 0:300.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| Ristolainen–Samuelsson | 2:130.10–0.28 | 5:020.02–0.21 | 1:270.02–0.00 | 4:310.23–0.05 | 1:420.06–0.00 | 0:300.04–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.11 | 7:230.21–0.45 | 4:040.07–0.19 | 2:590.09–0.03 | 1:020.02–0.00 | 1:180.06–0.00 | 0:480.03–0.00 | ||
| Jokiharju–Dahlin | 4:240.12–0.45 | 2:410.01–0.07 | 4:340.14–0.35 | 1:380.24–0.03 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 0:390.02–0.00 | 4:250.23–0.32 | 6:030.17–0.54 | 2:340.13–0.03 | 0:460.00–0.00 | 1:380.03–0.03 | 0:350.02–0.00 | |||
| Miller–Bryson | 3:110.00–0.00 | 1:320.03–0.04 | 2:070.05–0.06 | 2:090.25–0.11 | 0:530.00–0.00 | 1:130.32–0.00 | 3:530.60–0.04 | 3:500.04–0.17 | 2:490.01–0.04 | 1:420.00–0.02 | |||||
| Ristolainen–Dahlin | 0:500.00–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.03 | 1:090.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Jokiharju–Bryson | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.34 | |||||||||||||
| Miller–Ristolainen | |||||||||||||||
| Miller–Samuelsson | 0:510.00–0.02 | 0:460.00–0.02 |
Every shift, one row per player.
BUFNYIFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Rasmus RistolainenBUF | 23 | 26:37 | 1:09 | 2:20 | 0 | 6 |
 Adam PelechNYI | 26 | 24:00 | 0:55 | 1:58 | 1 | 4 |
 Nick LeddyNYI | 22 | 23:30 | 1:04 | 2:30 | 4 | 2 |
 Rasmus DahlinBUF | 21 | 23:19 | 1:07 | 2:05 | 2 | 3 |
 Ryan PulockNYI | 26 | 23:19 | 0:54 | 1:55 | 2 | 5 |
 Mattias SamuelssonBUF | 20 | 21:43 | 1:05 | 2:22 | 0 | 5 |
 Anders BjorkBUF | 22 | 21:14 | 0:58 | 1:27 | 5 | 7 |
 Sam ReinhartBUF | 22 | 21:08 | 0:58 | 1:31 | 6 | 7 |
 Scott MayfieldNYI | 20 | 20:54 | 1:03 | 2:30 | 3 | 3 |
 Casey MittelstadtBUF | 22 | 19:43 | 0:54 | 1:31 | 2 | 0 |
 Henri JokiharjuBUF | 18 | 18:55 | 1:03 | 2:05 | 1 | 2 |
 Victor OlofssonBUF | 22 | 18:53 | 0:52 | 1:20 | 5 | 5 |
 Travis ZajacNYI | 21 | 18:08 | 0:52 | 1:27 | 2 | 0 |
 Brock NelsonNYI | 22 | 18:05 | 0:49 | 1:29 | 1 | 2 |
 Jacob BrysonBUF | 21 | 17:30 | 0:50 | 1:43 | 1 | 3 |
 Tage ThompsonBUF | 21 | 17:28 | 0:50 | 1:16 | 1 | 0 |
 Anthony BeauvillierNYI | 22 | 17:28 | 0:48 | 1:12 | 1 | 1 |
 Oliver WahlstromNYI | 19 | 16:57 | 0:54 | 1:37 | 4 | 4 |
 Josh BaileyNYI | 22 | 16:56 | 0:46 | 1:06 | 2 | 2 |
 Jean-Gabriel PageauNYI | 23 | 16:12 | 0:42 | 1:16 | 4 | 5 |
 Noah DobsonNYI | 19 | 15:59 | 0:50 | 1:20 | 1 | 0 |
 Andy GreeneNYI | 22 | 15:54 | 0:43 | 1:23 | 2 | 1 |
 Kyle PalmieriNYI | 20 | 15:47 | 0:47 | 1:07 | 3 | 5 |
 Rasmus AsplundBUF | 21 | 15:45 | 0:45 | 1:30 | 1 | 1 |
 Colin MillerBUF | 18 | 15:36 | 0:52 | 1:16 | 1 | 1 |
 Jordan EberleNYI | 18 | 15:15 | 0:51 | 1:31 | 1 | 0 |
 Michael Dal ColleNYI | 17 | 14:54 | 0:53 | 1:47 | 4 | 0 |
 Casey CizikasNYI | 16 | 14:20 | 0:54 | 1:23 | 2 | 1 |
 Cal ClutterbuckNYI | 15 | 13:53 | 0:56 | 1:31 | 2 | 1 |
 Cody EakinBUF | 18 | 13:27 | 0:45 | 1:17 | 1 | 7 |
 Riley SheahanBUF | 18 | 12:42 | 0:42 | 1:12 | 0 | 4 |
 Dylan CozensBUF | 17 | 12:41 | 0:45 | 1:20 | 1 | 2 |
 Arttu RuotsalainenBUF | 16 | 12:27 | 0:47 | 1:35 | 0 | 1 |
 Drake CaggiulaBUF | 15 | 12:17 | 0:49 | 1:27 | 1 | 5 |
 Jeff SkinnerBUF | 15 | 11:35 | 0:46 | 1:17 | 1 | 4 |
 Ross JohnstonNYI | 12 | 11:29 | 0:57 | 1:12 | 1 | 0 |