Fri, May 7, 2021·Capital One Arena, Washington
Philadelphia Flyers 4, Washington Capitals 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 62% of the time.
28%
9%
10%
52%
WSH winsPHI wins
Philadelphia Flyers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 24:33 | 0.01 | 58.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23:04 | 0.03 | 60.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:19 | 0.03 | 30.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 19:09 | 0.17 | 60.6% | +20.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 18:29 | 0.05 | 36.2% | +22.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:56 | 0.10 | 31.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 17:55 | 0.88 | 31.7% | +4.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:40 | 0.03 | 31.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 17:19 | 0.22 | 43.1% | +16.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 17:15 | 0.12 | 65.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:11 | 0.15 | 61.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 5 | 14:43 | 0.32 | 50.1% | +16.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:25 | 0.12 | 52.6% | +16.1 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14:06 | 0.36 | 34.4% | +38.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 12:22 | 0.06 | 56.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 12:02 | 0.05 | 60.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 11:20 | 0.02 | 38.4% | +22.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 10:20 | 0.06 | 29.2% | 0.0 |
| W | 30 | 28 | 2 | .933 | 2.19 | +0.2 | 59:52 |
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 23:29 | 0.03 | 62.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 23:12 | 0.21 | 59.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:30 | 0.01 | 64.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 19:48 | 0.11 | 62.9% | +19.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 19:23 | 0.07 | 66.2% | +15.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 19:12 | 0.41 | 64.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19:02 | 0.36 | 60.3% | +19.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 18:14 | 0.05 | 66.4% | +15.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16:05 | 0.12 | 72.8% | +15.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:48 | 0.00 | 22.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:27 | 0.00 | 19.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15:21 | 0.56 | 69.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 13:43 | 0.04 | 27.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:11 | 0.07 | 30.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:23 | 0.17 | 32.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:59 | 0.00 | 34.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:52 | 0.00 | 31.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:34 | 0.00 | 32.5% | 0.0 |
| L | 28 | 25 | 3 | .893 | 2.14 | −0.9 | 58:47 |