Fri, May 7, 2021·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose
Arizona Coyotes 5, San Jose Sharks 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 50% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARI | 06 | 213 | 315 | 534 |
| SJS | 19 | 19 | 010 | 228 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:47SJSErik KarlssonAssists: Tomas Hertl · Wrist, 0.02 xG0–1
- P2 3:30SJSTimo MeierAssists: Ivan Chekhovich · Snap, 0.10 xG0–2
- P2 4:59ARIVictor SoderstromAssists: Oliver Ekman-Larsson, Conor Garland · Wrist, 0.03 xG1–2
- P2 11:14ARIConor GarlandPPAssists: Jakob Chychrun · Slap, 0.07 xG2–2
- P3 4:53ARIPhil KesselGWGAssists: Christian Dvorak, Alex Goligoski · Snap, 0.08 xG3–2
- P3 9:57ARIMichael BuntingAssists: Conor Garland · Snap, 0.09 xG4–2
- P3 19:59ARIJan JenikENAssists: Derick Brassard, Phil Kessel · Wrist, 0.70 xG5–2
Penalties (5)
- P1 5:13ARILane Pederson: Slashing2 min
- P1 13:45ARIMichael Chaput: Hooking2 min
- P2 9:29SJSBrent Burns: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P2 10:28SJSTomas Hertl: High sticking2 min
- P2 18:29ARIChristian Fischer: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Dvorak won the faceoff against Hertl
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestBunting – Garland – Pederson10:52
xG 0.84–0.38 (69%)attempts 13–7goals 1–0
- Kessel – Dvorak – Keller12:34
xG 0.88–0.45 (66%)attempts 10–10goals 1–1
- Brassard – Garland – Jenik2:32
xG 0.13–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–0goals 1–0
- Brassard – Fischer – Jenik8:13
xG 0.39–0.33 (54%)attempts 10–7goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestChychrun – Lyubushkin14:11
xG 0.74–0.36 (67%)attempts 10–13goals 1–1
- Ekman-Larsson – Soderstrom12:53
xG 0.72–0.38 (65%)attempts 12–6goals 1–0
- Goligoski – Demers9:38
xG 0.64–0.45 (59%)attempts 13–7goals 1–0
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestLabanc – Meier – Gambrell2:06
xG 0.20–0.04 (83%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
- Marleau – Meier – Balcers7:09
xG 0.35–0.29 (55%)attempts 4–7goals 0–0
- Marleau – Balcers – Gregor2:29
xG 0.14–0.13 (52%)attempts 2–4goals 0–0
- Gregor – Gambrell – Chekhovich2:39
xG 0.00–0.10 (0%)attempts 0–1goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Burns – Karlsson3:24
xG 0.07–0.11 (40%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
- Burns – Ferraro14:36
xG 0.56–0.65 (46%)attempts 12–13goals 0–0
- Ferraro – Knyzhov2:10
xG 0.00–0.12 (0%)attempts 0–4goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SJS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SJS is favoured, below it ARI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 50% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SJS − ARI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).