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Ice Lab

Tue, Oct 12, 2021·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Pittsburgh Penguins 6, Tampa Bay Lightning 2

Away

Pittsburgh Penguins

6

Final

Home

Tampa Bay Lightning

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 85% of the time.

TBL winsPIT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:03Shot by Stamkos, saved by Jarry
  3. P1 1:44Shot by McGinn, saved by Vasilevskiy
  4. P1 2:01Shot by Rutta, saved by Jarry
  5. P1 2:47Shot by Heinen, saved by Vasilevskiy
  6. P1 3:07Shot by Palat, saved by Jarry
  7. P1 4:32Shot by Friedman, saved by Vasilevskiy
  8. P1 4:39Shot by Simon, saved by Vasilevskiy
  9. P1 5:11Shot by Hedman, saved by Jarry
  10. P1 5:18Shot by Rust, saved by Vasilevskiy
  11. P1 5:45Shot by O'Connor, saved by Vasilevskiy
  12. P1 6:04Shot by Boyle, saved by Vasilevskiy
  13. P1 6:47Shot by Kapanen, saved by Vasilevskiy
  14. P1 7:20Shot by Letang, saved by Vasilevskiy
  15. P1 10:55Shot by Simon, saved by Vasilevskiy
  16. P1 12:26Shot by Carter, saved by Vasilevskiy
  17. P1 14:16Shot by Colton, saved by Jarry
  18. P1 16:03Shot by Cernak, saved by Jarry
  19. P1 18:30Shot by Zucker, saved by Vasilevskiy
  20. P1 18:41Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Vasilevskiy
  21. P1 19:39Shot by Cernak, saved by Jarry
  22. P1 19:51Shot by Rust, saved by Vasilevskiy
  23. P1 0:00Period end
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 0:12Goal by Heinen (Carter)+17 pts WP

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Palat, Kucherov, Point, Cernak · PIT Carter, Letang, Dumoulin, Rust, Heinen

  26. P2 2:18Shot by Dumoulin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  27. P2 4:11Goal by Boyle (Lafferty, O'Connor)+16 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Bogosian, Cirelli, Raddysh, Sergachev · PIT Boyle, Pettersson, Lafferty, Marino, O'Connor

  28. P2 4:39Shot by Bellemare, saved by Jarry
  29. P2 5:08Shot by Hedman, saved by Jarry
  30. P2 6:11Shot by Bogosian, saved by Jarry
  31. P2 7:05Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Vasilevskiy
  32. P2 7:30Shot by McDonagh, saved by Jarry
  33. P2 8:42Shot by Heinen, saved by Vasilevskiy
  34. P2 9:00Shot by Heinen, saved by Vasilevskiy
  35. P2 9:45Shot by Zucker, saved by Vasilevskiy
  36. P2 10:17Shot by Zucker, saved by Vasilevskiy
  37. P2 11:18Shot by McGinn, saved by Vasilevskiy
  38. P2 12:56Heinen: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Cirelli, Rutta · PIT Carter, Rust, Ruhwedel, Friedman, Heinen

  39. P2 13:24Shot by Point, saved by Jarry5v4
  40. P2 15:00Shot by Killorn, saved by Jarry
  41. P2 15:01Shot by Point, saved by Jarry
  42. P2 15:45Shot by Palat, saved by Jarry
  43. P2 16:09Maroon: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Perry, Maroon, McDonagh, Bogosian, Colton · PIT Zucker, Ruhwedel, Kapanen, Friedman, Rodrigues

  44. P2 18:49Shot by Blueger, saved by Vasilevskiy
  45. P2 19:56Shot by Dumoulin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  46. P2 0:00Period end
  47. P3 0:00Period start
  48. P3 0:12Shot by Cirelli, saved by Jarry
  49. P3 1:03Shot by Rutta, saved by Jarry
  50. P3 1:38Shot by Blueger, saved by Vasilevskiy
  51. P3 1:44Shot by Ruhwedel, saved by Vasilevskiy
  52. P3 1:52Shot by Friedman, saved by Vasilevskiy
  53. P3 3:25Shot by O'Connor, saved by Vasilevskiy
  54. P3 5:39Shot by Palat, saved by Jarry
  55. P3 10:48Shot by Zucker, saved by Vasilevskiy
  56. P3 11:32Goal by Simon (Letang, McGinn)+3 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Perry, Bogosian, Bellemare, Raddysh, Sergachev · PIT Letang, Dumoulin, Blueger, McGinn, Simon

  57. P3 11:40Shot by Hedman, saved by Jarry
  58. P3 11:46Shot by Rutta, saved by Jarry
  59. P3 12:27Shot by Simon, saved by Vasilevskiy
  60. P3 13:48Shot by McDonagh, saved by Jarry
  61. P3 14:18Shot by Killorn, saved by Jarry6v5
  62. P3 14:23Goal by Cirelli (Hedman, Stamkos)6v5+2 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Cirelli · PIT Boyle, Letang, Dumoulin, Blueger, McGinn

  63. P3 14:53Goal by Blueger (Letang)6v5+2 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Cirelli, Sergachev · PIT Letang, Dumoulin, Blueger, McGinn, Simon

  64. P3 16:35Shot by Point, saved by Jarry6v5
  65. P3 16:49Goal by Killorn (Stamkos, Cirelli)6v5+1 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Cirelli · PIT Carter, Letang, Dumoulin, Rust, Heinen

  66. P3 17:35Goal by Rodrigues (Marino)6v5+1 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Perry, Maroon, McDonagh, Palat, Sergachev, Colton · PIT Blueger, McGinn, Pettersson, Marino, Rodrigues

  67. P3 18:11Goal by Rust, unassisted6v50 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Killorn, McDonagh, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point · PIT Carter, Letang, Dumoulin, Rust, Heinen

  68. P3 19:40Shot by Cernak, saved by Jarry
  69. P3 19:48Shot by Colton, saved by Jarry
  70. P3 19:55Shot by Cernak, saved by Jarry
  71. P3 0:00Period end
  72. P3 0:00Final