Tue, Oct 12, 2021·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Pittsburgh Penguins 6, Tampa Bay Lightning 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 85% of the time.
9%
81%
TBL winsPIT wins
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 25:16 | 0.13 | 68.6% | +4.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 22:28 | 0.13 | 53.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 21:10 | 0.11 | 60.5% | +0.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 20:21 | 0.78 | 51.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 19:37 | 0.06 | 73.7% | +17.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 19:37 | 0.00 | 70.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 18:31 | 0.38 | 57.6% | +17.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 16:45 | 0.73 | 81.9% | +0.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16:30 | 0.35 | 77.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 16:22 | 0.89 | 59.1% | +1.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:49 | 0.02 | 79.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 15:05 | 0.11 | 67.5% | +2.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:23 | 0.05 | 75.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:07 | 0.30 | 76.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 12:46 | 0.27 | 62.5% | +2.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 10:39 | 0.14 | 82.3% | +16.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9:21 | 0.15 | 48.6% | +16.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 9:13 | 0.24 | 76.9% | +16.2 |
| W | 28 | 26 | 2 | .929 | 2.30 | +0.3 | 60:00 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 24:00 | 0.11 | 43.2% | +1.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 22:03 | 0.56 | 49.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 21:36 | 0.17 | 32.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −4 | 0 | 20:47 | 0.03 | 16.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 20:19 | 0.19 | 32.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:53 | 0.03 | 48.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 19:16 | 0.51 | 32.5% | +0.7 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 1 | 17:56 | 0.02 | 34.6% | +2.4 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17:35 | 0.16 | 17.8% | +2.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:55 | 0.02 | 28.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 15:52 | 0.16 | 39.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 14:14 | 0.02 | 19.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:49 | 0.11 | 30.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:43 | 0.00 | 41.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 12:40 | 0.00 | 34.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 11:20 | 0.20 | 36.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:41 | 0.00 | 24.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 10:27 | 0.00 | 19.2% | 0.0 |
| L | 32 | 29 | 3 | .906 | 2.94 | −0.1 | 57:54 |