Wed, Oct 13, 2021·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Montréal Canadiens 1, Toronto Maple Leafs 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 70% of the time.
62%
22%
TOR winsMTL wins
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 26:54 | 0.16 | 56.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:20 | 0.02 | 42.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 20:14 | 0.30 | 49.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 19:55 | 0.29 | 56.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:30 | 0.03 | 46.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 19:25 | 0.21 | 48.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 18:35 | 0.51 | 51.8% | +12.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 17:58 | 0.23 | 40.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17:43 | 0.14 | 42.3% | +12.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:33 | 0.15 | 60.5% | +12.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:55 | 0.14 | 19.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:36 | 0.00 | 16.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:34 | 0.18 | 24.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:51 | 0.01 | 17.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:24 | 0.03 | 27.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:43 | 0.03 | 25.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:38 | 0.01 | 13.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:43 | 0.00 | 35.5% | 0.0 |
| L | 30 | 28 | 2 | .933 | 3.69 | +1.7 | 58:43 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 22:40 | 0.06 | 65.9% | +25.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:52 | 0.03 | 66.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:24 | 0.01 | 38.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 20:23 | 0.02 | 34.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19:19 | 0.46 | 60.1% | +25.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 19:01 | 0.81 | 60.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 18:18 | 0.47 | 83.1% | +25.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:34 | 0.00 | 62.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:48 | 0.14 | 74.3% | +13.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 15:27 | 0.26 | 59.9% | +13.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:59 | 0.17 | 71.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:52 | 0.23 | 73.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 6 | 14:24 | 0.82 | 56.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13:17 | 0.00 | 78.4% | +13.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:59 | 0.17 | 60.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:26 | 0.03 | 0.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:16 | 0.00 | 25.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:01 | 0.00 | 24.3% | 0.0 |
| W | 32 | 31 | 1 | .969 | 2.44 | +1.4 | 60:00 |