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Ice Lab

Thu, Oct 14, 2021·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Ottawa Senators 3

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

2

Final

Home

Ottawa Senators

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 53% of the time.

OTT winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:08Shot by Zaitsev, saved by Mrazek
  3. P1 2:01Shot by Brown, saved by Mrazek
  4. P1 3:18Shot by Muzzin, saved by Forsberg
  5. P1 3:57Shot by Chabot, saved by Mrazek
  6. P1 4:55Shot by Bunting, saved by Forsberg
  7. P1 7:21Shot by Brown, saved by Mrazek
  8. P1 8:28Shot by Ennis, saved by Mrazek
  9. P1 8:31Goal by Tierney (Holden, Ennis)+22 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Holden, Ennis, Tierney, Zaitsev, Stützle · TOR Muzzin, Holl, Kerfoot, Nylander, Engvall

  10. P1 9:59Shot by Mete, saved by Mrazek
  11. P1 11:43Shot by Chabot, saved by Mrazek
  12. P1 12:07Shot by Dermott, saved by Forsberg
  13. P1 12:16Shot by Brodie, saved by Forsberg
  14. P1 12:45Shaw: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Shaw, Sanford, Mete, Zaitsev, Kelly · TOR Brodie, Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Marner

  15. P1 14:04Shot by Kase, saved by Forsberg4v5
  16. P1 14:18Shot by Bunting, saved by Forsberg4v5
  17. P1 14:54Shot by Muzzin, saved by Forsberg
  18. P1 15:24Shot by Simmonds, saved by Forsberg
  19. P1 15:37Shot by Ritchie, saved by Forsberg
  20. P1 15:40Shot by Brodie, saved by Forsberg
  21. P1 16:13Shot by Marner, saved by Forsberg
  22. P1 16:43Shot by Formenton, saved by Mrazek
  23. P1 16:54Shot by Bunting, saved by Forsberg
  24. P1 17:12Shot by Dermott, saved by Forsberg
  25. P1 17:19Shot by Tavares, saved by Forsberg
  26. P1 17:31Shot by Sandin, saved by Forsberg
  27. P1 17:40Shot by Sandin, saved by Forsberg
  28. P1 17:43Shot by Marner, saved by Forsberg
  29. P1 18:08Simmonds: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Shaw, Brown, Brown, Sanford, Chabot · TOR Spezza, Simmonds, Brodie, Rielly, Amadio

  30. P1 18:58Goal by Ennis (Chabot, Stützle)5v4+11 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Ennis, Chabot, Norris, Batherson, Stützle · TOR Muzzin, Holl, Kerfoot, Marner

  31. P1 19:27Shot by Sanford, saved by Mrazek
  32. P1 19:59Goal by Formenton (Mete)+7 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Brown, Mete, Zaitsev, Formenton, Pinto · TOR Muzzin, Holl, Ritchie, Kase, Kampf

  33. P1 0:00Period end
  34. P2 0:00Period start
  35. P2 0:16Shot by Kase, saved by Forsberg
  36. P2 0:37Zub: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Chabot, Norris, Batherson, Stützle, Zub · TOR Brodie, Rielly, Engvall, Kase, Kampf

  37. P2 2:51Shot by Nylander, saved by Forsberg
  38. P2 4:02Shot by Bunting, saved by Forsberg
  39. P2 4:35Shot by Bunting, saved by Forsberg
  40. P2 4:48Shot by Pinto, saved by Mrazek
  41. P2 4:55Shot by Paul, saved by Mrazek
  42. P2 6:23Muzzin: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Chabot, Norris, Batherson, Stützle, Zub · TOR Spezza, Muzzin, Holl, Kerfoot, Engvall

  43. P2 6:43Shot by Norris, saved by Mrazek5v4
  44. P2 7:40Shot by Batherson, saved by Mrazek5v4
  45. P2 8:19Shot by Brown, saved by Mrazek5v4
  46. P2 8:27Shot by Pinto, saved by Mrazek
  47. P2 9:00Shot by Holden, saved by Mrazek
  48. P2 11:31Shot by Kampf, saved by Forsberg
  49. P2 12:12Shot by Pinto, saved by Mrazek
  50. P2 12:28Shot by Norris, saved by Mrazek
  51. P2 13:24Shot by Batherson, saved by Mrazek
  52. P2 13:39Shot by Dermott, saved by Forsberg
  53. P2 15:27Shot by Sanford, saved by Mrazek
  54. P2 16:15Shot by Paul, saved by Mrazek
  55. P2 19:15Shot by Stützle, saved by Mrazek
  56. P2 19:59Shot by Mete, saved by Mrazek
  57. P2 0:00Period end
  58. P3 0:00Period start
  59. P3 0:20Shot by Tavares, saved by Forsberg
  60. P3 0:27Shot by Nylander, saved by Forsberg
  61. P3 1:12Shot by Ritchie, saved by Forsberg
  62. P3 1:29Zaitsev: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Tierney, Mete, Zaitsev, Formenton, Batherson · TOR Muzzin, Holl, Ritchie, Kase, Kampf

  63. P3 1:38Shot by Tavares, saved by Forsberg4v5
  64. P3 1:47Shot by Marner, saved by Forsberg4v5
  65. P3 2:04Shot by Spezza, saved by Forsberg4v5
  66. P3 2:08Shot by Nylander, saved by Forsberg4v5
  67. P3 2:16Shot by Spezza, saved by Forsberg4v5
  68. P3 2:55Shot by Nylander, saved by Forsberg4v5
  69. P3 3:04Shot by Marner, saved by Forsberg4v5
  70. P3 3:11Goal by Spezza (Rielly, Nylander)4v5+6 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Brown, Mete, Kelly, Pinto · TOR Spezza, Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Marner

  71. P3 3:11Brown: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Brown, Mete, Kelly, Pinto · TOR Spezza, Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Marner

  72. P3 3:42Engvall: Hooking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: OTT Holden, Brown, Zaitsev, Formenton · TOR Ritchie, Bunting, Engvall, Kase, Sandin

  73. P3 4:30Shot by Marner, saved by Forsberg4v4
  74. P3 4:59Shot by Holl, saved by Forsberg4v4
  75. P3 5:36Shot by Norris, saved by Campbell5v4
  76. P3 6:21Shot by Simmonds, saved by Forsberg
  77. P3 7:55Shot by Rielly, saved by Forsberg
  78. P3 8:14Tierney: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Ennis, Tierney, Mete, Zaitsev, Formenton · TOR Brodie, Bunting, Kase, Kampf, Sandin

  79. P3 8:22Shot by Nylander, saved by Forsberg4v5
  80. P3 8:45Shot by Marner, saved by Forsberg4v5
  81. P3 8:50Goal by Nylander (Spezza, Tavares)4v5+13 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Holden, Brown, Paul, Zaitsev · TOR Spezza, Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Marner

  82. P3 9:43Shot by Simmonds, saved by Forsberg
  83. P3 9:58Shot by Kelly, saved by Campbell
  84. P3 10:49Shot by Tavares, saved by Forsberg
  85. P3 10:59Shot by Dermott, saved by Forsberg
  86. P3 12:05Shot by Batherson, saved by Campbell
  87. P3 12:31Shot by Sanford, saved by Campbell
  88. P3 12:53Shot by Kelly, saved by Campbell
  89. P3 12:59Shot by Kelly, saved by Campbell
  90. P3 13:55Shot by Mete, saved by Campbell
  91. P3 14:12Shot by Muzzin, saved by Forsberg
  92. P3 14:46Shot by Batherson, saved by Campbell
  93. P3 16:21Shot by Zaitsev, saved by Campbell
  94. P3 16:32Shot by Sandin, saved by Forsberg
  95. P3 17:53Shot by Bunting, saved by Forsberg
  96. P3 18:08Shot by Pinto, saved by Campbell
  97. P3 18:27Shot by Rielly, saved by Forsberg
  98. P3 19:18Tavares: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: OTT Holden, Brown, Brown, Formenton, Pinto · TOR Spezza, Tavares, Rielly, Ritchie, Bunting, Marner

  99. P3 0:00Period end
  100. P3 0:00Final