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Ice Lab

Thu, Oct 14, 2021·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Ottawa Senators 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 53% of the time.

OTT winsTOR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

OTT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Tavares–Ritchie–MarnerKerfoot–Nylander–BuntingEngvall–Kase–KampfTavares–Nylander–MarnerSpezza–Simmonds–AmadioRitchie–Kase–KampfSimmonds–Kerfoot–BuntingKerfoot–Bunting–KaseNylander–Amadio–BuntingMuzzin–HollBrodie–RiellyDermott–SandinHoll–RiellyBrodie–DermottBrodie–Sandin
Brown–Paul–Pinto4:550.48–0.201:160.08–0.003:070.00–0.670:450.00–0.004:030.04–0.003:360.48–0.233:330.09–0.67
Norris–Batherson–Stützle2:460.53–0.151:550.17–0.002:170.00–0.030:540.00–0.070:340.00–0.005:170.06–0.402:060.17–0.002:010.07–0.080:340.00–0.001:050.08–0.13
Ennis–Tierney–Formenton2:190.11–0.111:130.01–0.021:050.00–0.021:350.04–0.111:530.08–0.122:060.01–0.04
Shaw–Sanford–Kelly0:340.00–0.001:330.10–0.000:320.00–0.002:030.10–0.02
Tierney–Sanford–Kelly0:400.00–0.000:410.16–0.121:530.21–0.12
Tierney–Batherson–Stützle0:590.18–0.00
Ennis–Tierney–Sanford1:010.00–0.391:020.00–0.39
Chabot–Zub2:370.37–0.122:500.20–0.004:230.01–0.051:070.00–0.571:280.00–0.001:200.00–0.077:060.21–0.337:240.67–0.272:310.01–0.510:360.00–0.00
Holden–Brown1:350.26–0.001:050.03–0.000:370.00–0.001:470.00–0.221:220.09–0.020:310.00–0.000:470.00–0.092:400.03–0.003:080.47–0.083:200.03–0.240:530.00–0.160:320.04–0.00
Mete–Zaitsev3:340.67–0.221:280.17–0.131:200.02–0.080:340.00–0.000:340.13–0.001:010.00–0.394:370.23–0.582:050.35–0.141:420.09–0.16
Holden–Zaitsev0:370.07–0.00
Chabot–Zaitsev0:470.00–0.000:420.02–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndNorris FStützle FBatherson FPinto FPaul FBrown FFormenton FEnnis FTierney FShaw FSanford FKelly FZub DChabot DZaitsev DMete DBrown DHolden DForsberg GKase FEngvall FKampf FMarner FRitchie FTavares FKerfoot FBunting FNylander FAmadio FSpezza FSimmonds FRielly DBrodie DHoll DMuzzin DDermott DSandin DMrazek GCampbell G
OTTTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Thomas ChabotOTT2326:241:092:1242
Mitch MarnerTOR2624:200:561:42103
Morgan RiellyTOR2823:430:511:4274
John TavaresTOR2523:120:561:42101
Connor BrownOTT2723:040:511:31312
William NylanderTOR2722:280:501:4293
Artem ZubOTT2522:120:531:4334
Justin HollTOR2420:520:521:4023
Nick PaulOTT2420:200:511:23310
TJ BrodieTOR2719:480:441:2255
Shane PintoOTT2419:110:481:2339
Drake BathersonOTT2518:530:451:3441
Jake MuzzinTOR2318:340:481:3112
Nick HoldenOTT2217:510:491:2327
Nikita ZaitsevOTT2217:290:481:4115
Josh NorrisOTT2517:190:421:4242
Tim StützleOTT2316:570:441:4231
Joshua BrownOTT2016:460:501:5502
Victor MeteOTT2116:080:461:2423
Rasmus SandinTOR2216:010:441:2012
Michael BuntingTOR2015:440:471:2921
Nick RitchieTOR1814:400:491:2431
Ondrej KaseTOR1913:420:431:2312
Alexander KerfootTOR1913:290:431:0741
Chris TierneyOTT1913:190:421:0950
Jason SpezzaTOR2213:190:361:4262
Travis DermottTOR1713:170:471:1133
David KampfTOR2012:240:371:1025
Pierre EngvallTOR1612:200:461:4701
Alex FormentonOTT1711:280:401:1221
Tyler EnnisOTT1410:150:441:1841
Parker KellyOTT159:390:391:0222
Zachary SanfordOTT139:220:431:0831
Wayne SimmondsTOR158:370:341:0731
Michael AmadioTOR128:150:411:0421
Logan ShawOTT85:050:380:5901