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Ice Lab

Tue, Oct 19, 2021·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Florida Panthers 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 1

Away

Florida Panthers

4

Final

Home

Tampa Bay Lightning

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 77% of the time.

TBL winsFLA wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:32Shot by Tippett, saved by Vasilevskiy
  3. P1 1:21Shot by Hedman, saved by Knight
  4. P1 1:30Shot by Perry, saved by Knight
  5. P1 4:35Cernak: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Perry, McDonagh, Palat, Point, Cernak · FLA Huberdeau, Barkov, Ekblad, Reinhart, Bennett

  6. P1 5:16Shot by Ekblad, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  7. P1 6:24Shot by Thornton, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  8. P1 6:42Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Vasilevskiy
  9. P1 7:57Shot by Duclair, saved by Vasilevskiy
  10. P1 8:10Shot by Verhaeghe, saved by Vasilevskiy
  11. P1 8:38Shot by Weegar, saved by Vasilevskiy
  12. P1 9:20Shot by Cirelli, saved by Knight
  13. P1 11:13Shot by Rutta, saved by Knight
  14. P1 12:29Shot by Cernak, saved by Knight
  15. P1 14:25Shot by Reinhart, saved by Vasilevskiy
  16. P1 15:10Thornton: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Perry, McDonagh, Bellemare, Katchouk, Rutta · FLA Thornton, Hornqvist, Connauton, Montour, Vatrano

  17. P1 15:36Lundell: Holding (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Palat, Point · FLA Weegar, Barkov, Ekblad, Montour, Lundell

  18. P1 16:37Shot by Stamkos, saved by Knight5v3
  19. P1 16:50Shot by Hedman, saved by Knight5v3
  20. P1 17:05Shot by Stamkos, saved by Knight5v3
  21. P1 17:16Shot by Point, saved by Knight5v4
  22. P1 17:48Shot by Lundell, saved by Vasilevskiy
  23. P1 18:08Shot by Connauton, saved by Vasilevskiy
  24. P1 18:52Shot by Stamkos, saved by Knight
  25. P1 19:04Shot by Lundell, saved by Vasilevskiy
  26. P1 19:39Shot by Ekblad, saved by Vasilevskiy
  27. P1 0:00Period end
  28. P2 0:00Period start
  29. P2 1:26Shot by Maroon, saved by Knight
  30. P2 1:52Shot by Reinhart, saved by Vasilevskiy
  31. P2 2:40Shot by Katchouk, saved by Knight
  32. P2 4:11Killorn: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Point, Cernak · FLA Gudas, Huberdeau, Barkov, Forsling, Tippett

  33. P2 4:21Shot by Bennett, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  34. P2 6:12Goal by Montour (Reinhart, Lundell)4v5+21 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Bellemare, Cernak, Joseph · FLA Reinhart, Montour, Forsling, Marchment, Lundell

  35. P2 7:01Point: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: TBL Perry, Palat, Sustr, Point, Sergachev · FLA Huberdeau, Barkov, Ekblad, Reinhart, Forsling, Lundell

  36. P2 7:59Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  37. P2 8:08Shot by Bennett, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  38. P2 10:21Shot by Vatrano, saved by Vasilevskiy
  39. P2 10:57Tippett: Elbowing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Cirelli, Rutta · FLA Gudas, Barkov, Forsling, Vatrano, Tippett

  40. P2 11:33Shot by Stamkos, saved by Knight5v4
  41. P2 12:54Shot by Colton, saved by Knight5v4
  42. P2 14:30Shot by Gudas, saved by Vasilevskiy
  43. P2 15:08Shot by Ekblad, saved by Vasilevskiy
  44. P2 15:28Shot by Vatrano, saved by Vasilevskiy
  45. P2 16:38Reinhart: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Maroon, McDonagh, Sustr, Joseph, Colton · FLA Gudas, Reinhart, Forsling, Marchment, Lundell

  46. P2 18:23Shot by Perry, saved by Knight5v4
  47. P2 19:35Shot by McDonagh, saved by Knight
  48. P2 0:00Period end
  49. P3 0:00Period start
  50. P3 1:33Shot by Marchment, saved by Vasilevskiy
  51. P3 2:05Shot by Connauton, saved by Vasilevskiy
  52. P3 2:36Goal by Point (Hedman, Rutta)+29 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Palat, Point, Rutta · FLA Thornton, Hornqvist, Weegar, Ekblad, Vatrano

  53. P3 2:47Shot by Forsling, saved by Vasilevskiy
  54. P3 3:34Shot by Ekblad, saved by Vasilevskiy
  55. P3 3:39Shot by Ekblad, saved by Vasilevskiy
  56. P3 3:40Goal by Barkov (Verhaeghe)+29 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Perry, McDonagh, Palat, Point, Cernak · FLA Weegar, Duclair, Verhaeghe, Barkov, Ekblad

  57. P3 4:41Shot by Joseph, saved by Knight
  58. P3 6:01Shot by Palat, saved by Knight
  59. P3 6:15Shot by Palat, saved by Knight
  60. P3 6:16Shot by Stamkos, saved by Knight
  61. P3 6:38Shot by Sergachev, saved by Knight
  62. P3 7:04Shot by Weegar, saved by Vasilevskiy
  63. P3 8:25Shot by Colton, saved by Knight
  64. P3 9:16Shot by Cernak, saved by Knight
  65. P3 9:19Shot by Cernak, saved by Knight
  66. P3 9:49Verhaeghe: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Killorn, McDonagh, Cernak, Joseph, Cirelli · FLA Weegar, Duclair, Verhaeghe, Barkov, Ekblad

  67. P3 10:45Shot by Stamkos, saved by Knight5v4
  68. P3 12:45Shot by Connauton, saved by Vasilevskiy
  69. P3 13:19Goal by Lundell (Reinhart, Marchment)+12 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Palat, Point, Sergachev · FLA Weegar, Ekblad, Reinhart, Marchment, Lundell

  70. P3 14:02Connauton: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Killorn, McDonagh, Cernak, Joseph, Cirelli · FLA Connauton, Huberdeau, Bennett, Montour, Tippett

  71. P3 15:27Shot by Verhaeghe, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  72. P3 15:58Shot by Hedman, saved by Knight6v4
  73. P3 16:34Shot by Point, saved by Knight6v5
  74. P3 17:54Goal by Duclair (Barkov, Forsling)6v5+1 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Perry, Killorn, Stamkos, Point, Sergachev, Colton · FLA Gudas, Duclair, Verhaeghe, Barkov, Forsling

  75. P3 18:23Shot by Rutta, saved by Knight
  76. P3 18:39Shot by Sustr, saved by Knight
  77. P3 18:41Shot by Colton, saved by Knight
  78. P3 0:00Period end
  79. P3 0:00Final