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Ice Lab

Fri, Oct 22, 2021·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Boston Bruins 4, Buffalo Sabres 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 65% of the time.

BUF winsBOS wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BOS's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Bergeron–Marchand–PastrnakSmith–Haula–DeBruskCoyle–Hall–NosekBlidh–Frederic–KuhlmanSmith–Coyle–HallHaula–Nosek–DeBruskHall–Frederic–KuhlmanNosek–Frederic–KuhlmanDeBrusk–Frederic–KuhlmanMarchand–Nosek–PastrnakReilly–CarloMoore–ForbortGrzelcyk–McAvoyReilly–McAvoyForbort–McAvoyMoore–GrzelcykGrzelcyk–Carlo
Skinner–Hinostroza–Cozens0:370.12–0.033:380.10–0.381:160.11–0.002:120.43–0.000:590.00–0.005:360.50–0.431:100.02–0.002:090.11–0.160:310.00–0.000:320.02–0.00
Olofsson–Asplund–Thompson0:300.00–0.021:360.05–0.001:020.00–0.123:250.14–0.050:320.00–0.000:330.11–0.001:590.00–0.054:490.24–0.120:580.08–0.021:090.04–0.000:400.00–0.00
Okposo–Girgensons–Caggiula3:330.05–0.091:070.01–0.000:370.00–0.000:440.01–0.011:260.01–0.001:430.01–0.013:220.05–0.09
Hayden–Bjork–Ruotsalainen1:220.13–0.001:170.10–0.100:350.00–0.000:410.00–0.001:380.10–0.000:370.07–0.001:420.03–0.000:490.03–0.10
Okposo–Girgensons–Bjork3:010.04–0.020:330.00–0.000:310.00–0.002:590.04–0.02
Hayden–Caggiula–Ruotsalainen1:070.00–0.002:040.00–0.00
Butcher–Dahlin4:090.01–0.713:080.18–0.030:520.00–0.122:060.19–0.001:020.04–0.001:130.00–0.100:540.02–0.001:210.11–0.003:110.02–0.314:550.17–0.126:040.20–0.271:140.08–0.120:360.00–0.000:520.00–0.19
Miller–Bryson3:300.08–0.003:040.09–0.123:320.05–0.050:470.01–0.000:390.10–0.000:350.00–0.006:520.19–0.173:290.05–0.003:120.08–0.000:370.00–0.000:510.04–0.00
Pysyk–Hagg1:380.00–0.042:070.12–0.011:310.02–0.161:400.42–0.001:410.00–0.000:440.00–0.012:010.40–0.003:500.11–0.063:110.03–0.170:370.02–0.000:320.00–0.000:360.02–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndOkposo FGirgensons FBjork FThompson FOlofsson FAsplund FCozens FHinostroza FSkinner FHayden FRuotsalainen FCaggiula FButcher DDahlin DMiller DBryson DHagg DPysyk DAnderson GBergeron FMarchand FPastrnak FSmith FCoyle FHall FNosek FHaula FDeBrusk FFrederic FBlidh FKuhlman FGrzelcyk DMcAvoy DReilly DCarlo DForbort DMoore DUllmark G
BUFBOSFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Rasmus DahlinBUF2625:040:581:4182
Charlie McAvoyBOS2723:190:521:2766
Colin MillerBUF2521:030:511:2151
Will ButcherBUF2220:060:551:2852
Brandon CarloBOS2719:530:441:3024
Jacob BrysonBUF2519:440:471:1831
Derek ForbortBOS2419:390:491:3904
Rasmus AsplundBUF1918:561:001:3972
John MooreBOS2518:470:451:3902
Mike ReillyBOS2218:400:512:0223
Brad MarchandBOS1918:110:572:1424
Victor OlofssonBUF1817:360:591:4661
Kyle OkposoBUF2017:340:531:2633
Zemgus GirgensonsBUF2017:030:511:1933
Jeff SkinnerBUF1717:021:002:1361
Matt GrzelcykBOS1917:020:541:5013
Tage ThompsonBUF1816:460:561:3371
Dylan CozensBUF1916:410:531:3431
David PastrnakBOS1616:391:022:1412
Charlie CoyleBOS2116:370:471:1223
Patrice BergeronBOS2016:270:491:1724
Tomas NosekBOS2215:590:441:2914
Taylor HallBOS1915:560:501:1643
Robert HaggBUF2015:150:461:4113
Erik HaulaBOS2015:120:461:1201
Jake DeBruskBOS1815:120:511:2411
Mark PysykBUF2014:320:441:3013
Vinnie HinostrozaBUF1914:180:451:2541
Trent FredericBOS1413:240:571:3003
Drake CaggiulaBUF1812:430:421:1521
Anders BjorkBUF1512:370:501:2921
Karson KuhlmanBOS1411:480:511:1603
Arttu RuotsalainenBUF1611:440:441:2220
Craig SmithBOS1611:060:420:5911
John HaydenBUF148:460:381:0920
Anton BlidhBOS118:090:441:0002