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Ice Lab

Mon, Nov 8, 2021·Capital One Arena, Washington

Buffalo Sabres 3, Washington Capitals 5

Away

Buffalo Sabres

3

Final

Home

Washington Capitals

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 67% of the time.

WSH winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:53Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Tokarski
  3. P1 2:13Goal by Wilson (Ovechkin, van Riemsdyk)+22 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Schultz, Kuznetsov, Wilson, van Riemsdyk · BUF Okposo, Eakin, Girgensons, Hagg, Wolanin

  4. P1 3:44Thompson: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Eller, Orlov, Jensen, Sheary, Sprong · BUF Skinner, Miller, Asplund, Thompson, Bryson

  5. P1 3:59Shot by Kuznetsov, saved by Tokarski5v4
  6. P1 4:20Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Tokarski5v4
  7. P1 4:53Shot by Eakin, saved by Vanecek5v4
  8. P1 6:42Shot by Skinner, saved by Vanecek
  9. P1 8:57Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Tokarski
  10. P1 9:05Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Tokarski
  11. P1 9:51Shot by Dahlin, saved by Vanecek
  12. P1 10:07Hagelin: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Hagelin, Schultz, Dowd, van Riemsdyk, Hathaway · BUF Pysyk, Hinostroza, Caggiula, Dahlin, Cozens

  13. P1 10:12Shot by Jensen, saved by Tokarski4v5
  14. P1 13:18Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Tokarski
  15. P1 14:37Shot by McMichael, saved by Tokarski
  16. P1 15:11Shot by Leason, saved by Tokarski
  17. P1 17:15Shot by Eakin, saved by Vanecek
  18. P1 17:42Shot by Dahlin, saved by Vanecek
  19. P1 18:41Shot by Caggiula, saved by Vanecek
  20. P1 19:15Shot by Schultz, saved by Tokarski
  21. P1 19:29Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Tokarski
  22. P1 0:00Period end
  23. P2 0:00Period start
  24. P2 0:39Shot by Skinner, saved by Vanecek
  25. P2 2:30Goal by McMichael (Schultz, Hagelin)+13 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Hagelin, Schultz, van Riemsdyk, Hathaway, McMichael · BUF Hinostroza, Hagg, Wolanin, Caggiula, Cozens

  26. P2 3:43Goal by Eakin, unassisted+13 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Carlson, Kuznetsov, Wilson, Fehérváry · BUF Okposo, Eakin, Pysyk, Girgensons, Dahlin

  27. P2 4:07Shot by Girgensons, saved by Vanecek
  28. P2 5:43Shot by Carlson, saved by Tokarski
  29. P2 6:12Shot by Hayden, saved by Vanecek
  30. P2 6:20Shot by Pysyk, saved by Vanecek
  31. P2 7:39Shot by Miller, saved by Vanecek
  32. P2 8:55Goal by Ovechkin (Orlov, Kuznetsov)+14 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Orlov, Jensen, Kuznetsov, Wilson · BUF Hinostroza, Hagg, Caggiula, Dahlin, Cozens

  33. P2 9:10Shot by Jensen, saved by Tokarski
  34. P2 9:23Shot by Orlov, saved by Tokarski
  35. P2 11:44Shot by McMichael, saved by Tokarski
  36. P2 12:00Shot by Jensen, saved by Tokarski
  37. P2 12:10Shot by Leason, saved by Tokarski
  38. P2 14:49Hagelin: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: WSH Hagelin, Carlson, Hathaway, Fehérváry, McMichael · BUF Okposo, Hayden, Hagg, Bjork, Dahlin, Ruotsalainen

  39. P2 15:25Shot by Wilson, saved by Tokarski4v5
  40. P2 17:16Shot by Pysyk, saved by Vanecek
  41. P2 18:54Shot by Skinner, saved by Vanecek
  42. P2 19:43Shot by Okposo, saved by Vanecek
  43. P2 0:00Period end
  44. P3 0:00Period start
  45. P3 2:06Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Tokarski
  46. P3 3:09Shot by Bjork, saved by Vanecek
  47. P3 3:11Shot by Ruotsalainen, saved by Vanecek
  48. P3 3:17Goal by Bjork (Ruotsalainen, Hagg)+14 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Schultz, Kuznetsov, Wilson, Fehérváry · BUF Miller, Hayden, Hagg, Bjork, Ruotsalainen

  49. P3 3:31Shot by Eller, saved by Tokarski
  50. P3 4:39Shot by Asplund, saved by Vanecek
  51. P3 4:49Shot by Miller, saved by Vanecek
  52. P3 6:45Goal by Wilson (Kuznetsov)+14 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Carlson, Kuznetsov, Wilson, Fehérváry · BUF Okposo, Eakin, Pysyk, Girgensons, Hagg

  53. P3 9:20Shot by Carlson, saved by Tokarski
  54. P3 9:45Eakin: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Eller, Schultz, Sheary, van Riemsdyk, Sprong · BUF Okposo, Eakin, Pysyk, Girgensons, Bryson

  55. P3 11:39Shot by Okposo, saved by Vanecek5v4
  56. P3 12:01Shot by Hagelin, saved by Tokarski
  57. P3 13:33Shot by Carlson, saved by Tokarski
  58. P3 14:12Shot by Hayden, saved by Vanecek
  59. P3 14:40Orlov: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Hagelin, Orlov, van Riemsdyk, Hathaway, McMichael · BUF Okposo, Eakin, Girgensons, Bryson, Dahlin

  60. P3 15:03Shot by Skinner, saved by Vanecek4v5
  61. P3 15:35Shot by Hathaway, saved by Tokarski4v5
  62. P3 16:29Shot by Miller, saved by Vanecek4v6
  63. P3 16:30Shot by Girgensons, saved by Vanecek4v6
  64. P3 16:31Girgensons: Slashing (2 min)4v6

    On ice: WSH Jensen, Kuznetsov, Sheary, Fehérváry · BUF Okposo, Miller, Girgensons, Hinostroza, Bryson, Cozens

  65. P3 17:27Shot by Wilson, saved by Tokarski5v4
  66. P3 17:47Goal by Carlson (Kuznetsov, Ovechkin)5v40 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Carlson, Kuznetsov, Wilson, Sheary · BUF Eakin, Pysyk, Hagg, Caggiula

  67. P3 18:50Shot by Hinostroza, saved by Vanecek
  68. P3 18:56Goal by Miller (Pysyk, Hinostroza)0 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Eller, Carlson, Sheary, Sprong, Fehérváry · BUF Pysyk, Miller, Hinostroza, Caggiula, Cozens

  69. P3 19:24Shot by Skinner, saved by Vanecek
  70. P3 0:00Period end5v6
  71. P3 0:00Final