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Ice Lab

Sat, Nov 13, 2021·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

Pittsburgh Penguins 3, Ottawa Senators 6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 55% of the time.

OTT winsPIT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 4:39Shot by Zub, saved by DeSmith
  3. P1 7:25Shot by O'Connor, saved by Gustavsson
  4. P1 7:44Shot by Rust, saved by Gustavsson
  5. P1 8:44Shot by Zucker, saved by Gustavsson
  6. P1 9:43Shot by Blueger, saved by Gustavsson
  7. P1 10:49Shot by Tierney, saved by DeSmith
  8. P1 10:58Shot by Tierney, saved by DeSmith
  9. P1 11:51Shot by Guentzel, saved by Gustavsson
  10. P1 12:31Shot by Chabot, saved by DeSmith
  11. P1 13:12Shot by Chabot, saved by DeSmith
  12. P1 16:22Shot by Batherson, saved by DeSmith
  13. P1 16:50Tkachuk: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Chabot, Norris, Batherson, Tkachuk, Thomson · PIT Zucker, Kapanen, Marino, Rodrigues, Joseph

  14. P1 17:09Shot by Carter, saved by Gustavsson4v5
  15. P1 17:12Sanford: High sticking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: OTT Paul, Heatherington, Sanford, Zub · PIT Carter, Letang, Rust, Guentzel, Kapanen

  16. P1 17:16Shot by Letang, saved by Gustavsson3v5
  17. P1 0:00Period end
  18. P2 0:00Period start
  19. P2 1:19Shot by Zucker, saved by Gustavsson
  20. P2 1:19Thomson: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Ennis, Chabot, Norris, Thomson, Stützle · PIT Letang, Zucker, Matheson, Kapanen, Rodrigues

  21. P2 1:41Shot by Letang, saved by Gustavsson4v5
  22. P2 1:54Shot by Carter, saved by Gustavsson4v5
  23. P2 3:13Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Gustavsson4v5
  24. P2 3:42Shot by Batherson, saved by DeSmith
  25. P2 4:30Shot by Paul, saved by DeSmith
  26. P2 5:21Goal by Sanford (Bernard-Docker, Chabot)+23 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Tierney, Sanford, Chabot, Bernard-Docker, Sokolov · PIT Boyle, Letang, Friedman, Heinen, O'Connor

  27. P2 6:05Shot by Matheson, saved by Gustavsson
  28. P2 6:58Shot by Matheson, saved by Gustavsson
  29. P2 7:08Shot by Del Zotto, saved by DeSmith
  30. P2 7:59Shot by Batherson, saved by DeSmith
  31. P2 8:01Shot by Tierney, saved by DeSmith
  32. P2 8:27Shot by Chabot, saved by DeSmith
  33. P2 9:19Shot by O'Connor, saved by Gustavsson
  34. P2 9:41Marino: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Del Zotto, Shaw, Paul, Kelly, Bernard-Docker · PIT Boyle, Marino, Aston-Reese, Riikola, O'Connor

  35. P2 10:29Shot by Norris, saved by DeSmith5v4
  36. P2 10:40Goal by Del Zotto (Batherson, Tierney)5v4+12 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Del Zotto, Ennis, Tierney, Sanford, Batherson · PIT Boyle, Letang, Aston-Reese, Joseph

  37. P2 11:07Goal by Kelly (Shaw, Thomson)+7 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Del Zotto, Shaw, Paul, Kelly, Thomson · PIT Carter, Letang, Rust, Matheson, Guentzel

  38. P2 11:31Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Gustavsson
  39. P2 11:38Shot by Joseph, saved by Gustavsson
  40. P2 12:58Shot by Batherson, saved by DeSmith
  41. P2 13:07Shot by Del Zotto, saved by DeSmith
  42. P2 14:38Shot by Carter, saved by Gustavsson
  43. P2 14:53Shot by Carter, saved by Gustavsson
  44. P2 16:53Shot by Letang, saved by Gustavsson
  45. P2 17:37Riikola: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Sanford, Chabot, Norris, Tkachuk, Thomson · PIT Zucker, Kapanen, Friedman, Rodrigues, Riikola

  46. P2 17:49Goal by Stützle (Batherson, Chabot)5v4+2 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Chabot, Norris, Batherson, Tkachuk, Stützle · PIT Blueger, McGinn, Friedman, Marino

  47. P2 19:10Carter: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Shaw, Paul, Chabot, Kelly, Thomson · PIT Carter, Rust, Guentzel, Friedman, Riikola

  48. P2 19:18Shot by Norris, saved by DeSmith5v4
  49. P2 0:00Period end5v4
  50. P3 0:00Period start
  51. P3 5:08Shot by Shaw, saved by DeSmith
  52. P3 6:42Shot by Tkachuk, saved by DeSmith
  53. P3 6:43Matheson: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Sanford, Chabot, Norris, Tkachuk, Bernard-Docker · PIT Letang, Zucker, Matheson, McGinn, Rodrigues

  54. P3 6:43Tkachuk: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: OTT Sanford, Chabot, Norris, Tkachuk, Bernard-Docker · PIT Letang, Zucker, Matheson, McGinn, Rodrigues

  55. P3 6:43Tkachuk: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Sanford, Chabot, Norris, Tkachuk, Bernard-Docker · PIT Letang, Zucker, Matheson, McGinn, Rodrigues

  56. P3 9:12Shot by Zucker, saved by Gustavsson
  57. P3 9:27Shot by Joseph, saved by Gustavsson
  58. P3 9:33Shot by Marino, saved by Gustavsson
  59. P3 9:40Goal by Batherson (Ennis, Del Zotto)0 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Del Zotto, Ennis, Shaw, Batherson, Bernard-Docker · PIT Blueger, McGinn, Marino, Aston-Reese, Joseph

  60. P3 10:12Shot by Friedman, saved by Gustavsson
  61. P3 11:49Goal by Kapanen (Friedman, Rodrigues)0 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Del Zotto, Shaw, Paul, Kelly, Bernard-Docker · PIT Zucker, Kapanen, Friedman, Rodrigues, Riikola

  62. P3 12:24Shot by McGinn, saved by Gustavsson
  63. P3 12:26Shot by Heinen, saved by Gustavsson
  64. P3 12:55Goal by Rodrigues (Kapanen)0 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Ennis, Tierney, Sokolov, Thomson, Zub · PIT Letang, Zucker, Matheson, Kapanen, Rodrigues

  65. P3 15:48Shot by Letang, saved by Gustavsson
  66. P3 15:57Goal by Rodrigues (Letang, Guentzel)5v6+1 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Del Zotto, Shaw, Paul, Kelly, Zub · PIT Carter, Letang, Rust, Guentzel, Kapanen, Rodrigues

  67. P3 18:54Shot by Zucker, saved by Gustavsson5v6
  68. P3 19:11Goal by Batherson (Tkachuk, Norris)5v60 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Norris, Batherson, Tkachuk, Thomson, Zub · PIT Zucker, Matheson, Blueger, Kapanen, Heinen, Marino, Rodrigues

  69. P3 19:39Shot by Riikola, saved by Gustavsson
  70. P3 0:00Period end
  71. P3 0:00Final