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Ice Lab

Mon, Nov 15, 2021·Amalie Arena, Tampa

New York Islanders 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 61% of the time.

TBL winsNYI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:04Maroon: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: TBL Perry, Maroon, Bellemare, Sergachev, Foote · NYI Chara, Clutterbuck, Martin, Pageau, Pulock

  3. P1 0:04Chara: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Perry, Maroon, Bellemare, Sergachev, Foote · NYI Chara, Clutterbuck, Martin, Pageau, Pulock

  4. P1 1:47Shot by Lee, saved by Vasilevskiy
  5. P1 2:53Goal by Barzal (Parise)+10 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Palat, Point, Cirelli, Rutta · NYI Parise, Greene, Lee, Barzal, Aho

  6. P1 3:16Goal by Joseph (Killorn)+10 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Joseph, Rutta · NYI Palmieri, Nelson, Pulock, Beauvillier, Aho

  7. P1 3:49Shot by Point, saved by Varlamov
  8. P1 6:39Shot by Perry, saved by Varlamov
  9. P1 6:47Shot by Perry, saved by Varlamov
  10. P1 9:11Shot by Colton, saved by Varlamov
  11. P1 10:09Shot by Beauvillier, saved by Vasilevskiy
  12. P1 10:42Shot by Sergachev, saved by Varlamov
  13. P1 11:26Shot by Palat, saved by Varlamov
  14. P1 11:40Shot by Parise, saved by Vasilevskiy
  15. P1 11:59Shot by Pulock, saved by Vasilevskiy
  16. P1 12:21Shot by Palmieri, saved by Vasilevskiy
  17. P1 17:16Lee: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Palat, Point, Cirelli, Rutta · NYI Chara, Parise, Lee, Pulock, Barzal

  18. P1 18:43Shot by Stamkos, saved by Varlamov5v4
  19. P1 19:10Shot by Hedman, saved by Varlamov5v4
  20. P1 19:21Shot by Palat, saved by Varlamov
  21. P1 19:22Goal by Cirelli (Palat, Hedman)+22 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Palat, Point, Cirelli · NYI Bailey, Lee, Nelson, Mayfield, Pelech

  22. P1 19:37Shot by Colton, saved by Varlamov
  23. P1 19:46Shot by Colton, saved by Varlamov
  24. P1 0:00Period end
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 0:19Perry: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Perry, Maroon, Bellemare, Sergachev, Foote · NYI Chara, Clutterbuck, Martin, Pageau, Pulock

  27. P2 0:29Shot by Lee, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  28. P2 0:50Shot by Cirelli, saved by Varlamov4v5
  29. P2 4:26Shot by Parise, saved by Vasilevskiy
  30. P2 5:12Shot by Bellows, saved by Vasilevskiy
  31. P2 6:41Shot by Wahlstrom, saved by Vasilevskiy
  32. P2 6:44Shot by Nelson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  33. P2 6:50Shot by Greene, saved by Vasilevskiy
  34. P2 7:08Shot by Bellemare, saved by Varlamov
  35. P2 8:40Shot by Hedman, saved by Varlamov
  36. P2 11:06Shot by Clutterbuck, saved by Vasilevskiy
  37. P2 11:48Shot by Greene, saved by Vasilevskiy
  38. P2 12:11Shot by Beauvillier, saved by Vasilevskiy
  39. P2 12:11Bogosian: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Bogosian, Palat, Point, Cirelli · NYI Palmieri, Mayfield, Pelech, Barzal, Beauvillier

  40. P2 12:56Nelson: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Hedman, Cirelli, Rutta · NYI Palmieri, Nelson, Pulock, Beauvillier, Wahlstrom

  41. P2 12:56Cirelli: Instigator (2 min)4v4

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Hedman, Cirelli, Rutta · NYI Palmieri, Nelson, Pulock, Beauvillier, Wahlstrom

  42. P2 12:56Cirelli: Fighting (5 min)3v4

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Hedman, Cirelli, Rutta · NYI Palmieri, Nelson, Pulock, Beauvillier, Wahlstrom

  43. P2 12:56Cirelli: Misconduct (10 min)3v5

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Hedman, Cirelli, Rutta · NYI Palmieri, Nelson, Pulock, Beauvillier, Wahlstrom

  44. P2 12:56Nelson: Charging (2 min)3v5

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Hedman, Cirelli, Rutta · NYI Palmieri, Nelson, Pulock, Beauvillier, Wahlstrom

  45. P2 13:23Shot by Barzal, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  46. P2 14:30Hedman: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Palat, Point, Rutta · NYI Parise, Palmieri, Pelech, Pulock, Beauvillier

  47. P2 17:57Shot by Mayfield, saved by Vasilevskiy
  48. P2 18:59Shot by Pelech, saved by Vasilevskiy
  49. P2 0:00Period end
  50. P3 0:00Period start
  51. P3 1:03Shot by Palmieri, saved by Vasilevskiy
  52. P3 1:22Shot by Greene, saved by Vasilevskiy
  53. P3 1:36Shot by Colton, saved by Varlamov
  54. P3 2:06Shot by Aho, saved by Vasilevskiy
  55. P3 7:20Shot by Pelech, saved by Vasilevskiy
  56. P3 8:00Shot by Hedman, saved by Varlamov
  57. P3 9:24Shot by Palat, saved by Varlamov
  58. P3 9:39Shot by Palat, saved by Varlamov
  59. P3 10:03Shot by Maroon, saved by Varlamov
  60. P3 10:39Martin: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Perry, Maroon, Hedman, Bellemare, Rutta · NYI Chara, Greene, Martin, Palmieri, Nelson

  61. P3 12:34Shot by Maroon, saved by Varlamov5v4
  62. P3 12:58Shot by Martin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  63. P3 13:14Shot by Aho, saved by Vasilevskiy
  64. P3 13:27Shot by Palat, saved by Varlamov
  65. P3 13:28Goal by Point, unassisted+12 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Hedman, Palat, Point, Rutta · NYI Palmieri, Lee, Mayfield, Barzal, Aho

  66. P3 14:30Shot by McDonagh, saved by Varlamov
  67. P3 14:39Chara: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Bogosian, Katchouk, Raddysh, Colton · NYI Chara, Bailey, Pageau, Pelech, Bellows

  68. P3 14:39Chara: Misconduct (10 min)5v4

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Bogosian, Katchouk, Raddysh, Colton · NYI Chara, Bailey, Pageau, Pelech, Bellows

  69. P3 14:39Katchouk: Misconduct (10 min)5v4

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Bogosian, Katchouk, Raddysh, Colton · NYI Chara, Bailey, Pageau, Pelech, Bellows

  70. P3 15:30Goal by Stamkos (Hedman, Point)5v4+1 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Palat, Point · NYI Greene, Pageau, Beauvillier, Aho

  71. P3 15:57Parise: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Bogosian, Joseph, Raddysh, Colton · NYI Parise, Greene, Nelson, Aho, Wahlstrom

  72. P3 16:22Shot by Killorn, saved by Varlamov5v4
  73. P3 17:03Shot by Perry, saved by Varlamov5v4
  74. P3 18:24Shot by Palmieri, saved by Vasilevskiy
  75. P3 19:50Shot by Clutterbuck, saved by Vasilevskiy
  76. P3 0:00Period end
  77. P3 0:00Final