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Ice Lab

Sun, Nov 21, 2021·Madison Square Garden, New York

Buffalo Sabres 4, New York Rangers 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 90% of the time.

NYR winsBUF wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

NYR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Skinner–Olofsson–ThompsonOkposo–Girgensons–AsplundEakin–Hayden–BjorkHinostroza–Caggiula–CozensHayden–Bjork–ThompsonPysyk–DahlinMiller–BrysonButcher–HaggHagg–BrysonMiller–DahlinPysyk–HaggHagg–DahlinPysyk–Miller
Strome–Panarin–Kakko2:520.10–0.005:090.00–0.003:230.06–0.090:460.00–0.002:560.02–0.103:580.00–0.002:430.10–0.001:280.04–0.000:460.00–0.000:410.02–0.00
Gauthier–Chytil–Lafrenière1:220.00–0.002:090.28–0.154:221.00–0.043:080.14–0.043:380.08–0.123:410.53–0.161:120.00–0.000:540.04–0.011:250.83–0.00
Reaves–Goodrow–Rooney1:230.17–0.001:270.00–0.000:440.00–0.000:520.01–0.002:200.17–0.001:070.01–0.000:390.00–0.000:580.00–0.00
Kreider–Zibanejad–Goodrow2:150.15–0.021:170.00–0.090:490.05–0.191:590.04–0.121:130.05–0.001:050.00–0.000:340.10–0.00
Reaves–Hunt–Rooney1:030.00–0.060:500.05–0.001:190.19–0.051:280.24–0.052:140.00–0.140:310.00–0.00
Kreider–Zibanejad–Hunt1:210.00–0.021:130.00–0.001:320.12–0.020:320.00–0.000:490.00–0.00
Fox–Lindgren3:410.28–0.006:440.00–0.143:380.83–0.024:080.26–0.077:290.32–0.174:340.13–0.071:130.00–0.001:590.15–0.001:130.00–0.001:050.83–0.001:000.00–0.000:360.03–0.00
Trouba–Miller3:510.00–0.093:500.49–0.092:280.19–0.093:520.12–0.145:160.18–0.144:190.70–0.003:510.01–0.250:440.00–0.011:120.00–0.001:040.00–0.00
Nemeth–Tinordi3:460.10–0.050:420.17–0.094:050.06–0.011:090.00–0.190:510.00–0.093:060.00–0.152:100.17–0.093:430.13–0.001:190.04–0.01
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndPanarin FStrome FKakko FKreider FGoodrow FZibanejad FChytil FGauthier FLafrenière FRooney FHunt FReaves FFox DLindgren DMiller DTrouba DTinordi DNemeth DGeorgiev GShesterkin GOkposo FGirgensons FAsplund FHayden FEakin FBjork FThompson FSkinner FOlofsson FCaggiula FHinostroza FCozens FPysyk DDahlin DMiller DBryson DButcher DHagg DDell G
NYRBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Rasmus DahlinBUF3226:410:502:3453
Adam FoxNYR2925:450:531:4661
Ryan LindgrenNYR3023:310:471:3961
Jacob TroubaNYR2723:090:511:3125
Mark PysykBUF3021:430:432:0025
K'Andre MillerNYR2420:280:511:3111
Robert HaggBUF2220:050:551:3912
Colin MillerBUF2918:520:391:3222
Artemi PanarinNYR2018:030:541:3131
Kaapo KakkoNYR1918:000:571:3021
Jacob BrysonBUF2917:550:371:3633
Kyle OkposoBUF2317:360:461:3234
Rasmus AsplundBUF2317:120:451:3233
Tage ThompsonBUF2017:020:511:2750
Dylan CozensBUF2016:590:511:4531
Victor OlofssonBUF2016:450:501:2760
Ryan StromeNYR2016:410:501:1631
Jeff SkinnerBUF2016:200:491:2760
Zemgus GirgensonsBUF2316:150:421:1634
Chris KreiderNYR2015:300:471:2511
Mika ZibanejadNYR1915:140:481:3512
Filip ChytilNYR1815:130:511:4311
Patrik NemethNYR2214:560:411:2504
Barclay GoodrowNYR1814:300:481:1425
Anders BjorkBUF2114:210:411:2003
Kevin RooneyNYR1714:170:501:2215
John HaydenBUF2114:160:411:2303
Cody EakinBUF2114:060:401:1503
Alexis LafrenièreNYR1613:390:511:3221
Julien GauthierNYR1713:310:481:1621
Will ButcherBUF1411:480:511:3020
Jarred TinordiNYR1711:450:411:2501
Vinnie HinostrozaBUF1611:420:441:3811
Ryan ReavesNYR1311:120:521:2811
Drake CaggiulaBUF1510:570:441:1811
Dryden HuntNYR1410:440:461:1611