Sun, Nov 21, 2021·STAPLES Center, Los Angeles
Arizona Coyotes 2, Los Angeles Kings 1 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 72% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARI | 08 | 07 | 110 | 12 | 227 |
| LAK | 012 | 116 | 08 | 02 | 138 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 5:38LAKBrendan LemieuxAssists: Blake Lizotte · Wrist, 0.11 xG0–1
- P3 4:44ARITravis BoydAssists: Shayne Gostisbehere, Clayton Keller · Wrist, 0.19 xG1–1
- OT 3:24ARIKyle CapobiancoGWGAssists: Clayton Keller, Travis Boyd · Wrist, 0.06 xG2–1
Penalties (9)
- P1 6:12ARIAntoine Roussel: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P1 6:12LAKAdrian Kempe: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P1 7:34ARITravis Boyd: Holding2 min
- P2 7:23ARIJakob Chychrun: Hooking2 min
- P2 10:05LAKBlake Lizotte: Tripping2 min
- P3 0:16ARIPhil Kessel: Hooking2 min
- P3 14:17LAKBrendan Lemieux: Interference2 min
- P3 16:51ARILoui Eriksson: Interference2 min
- P3 16:51LAKRasmus Kupari: Embellishment2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Lizotte won the faceoff against Beagle
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestKessel – Boyd – Keller5:09
xG 0.38–0.11 (78%)attempts 5–4goals 1–0
- Dzingel – Galchenyuk – Crouse4:06
xG 0.17–0.00 (100%)attempts 6–0goals 0–0
- Kessel – Keller – Hayton7:52
xG 0.26–0.14 (64%)attempts 5–5goals 0–0
- Boyd – Galchenyuk – Crouse7:18
xG 0.38–0.31 (55%)attempts 6–9goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestChychrun – Lyubushkin11:51
xG 0.62–0.17 (79%)attempts 8–8goals 0–0
- Gostisbehere – Chychrun6:38
xG 0.38–0.09 (81%)attempts 5–4goals 1–0
- Mayo – Lyubushkin4:33
xG 0.24–0.11 (68%)attempts 5–4goals 0–0
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestDanault – Athanasiou – Iafallo11:22
xG 0.69–0.25 (74%)attempts 14–6goals 0–0
- Kopitar – Kempe – Arvidsson11:07
xG 0.53–0.34 (61%)attempts 11–8goals 0–0
- Brown – Moore – Kupari8:36
xG 0.02–0.20 (9%)attempts 2–8goals 0–0
- Lemieux – Lizotte – Kaliyev8:22
xG 0.32–1.02 (24%)attempts 8–11goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- Anderson – Bjornfot14:10
xG 0.59–0.60 (50%)attempts 16–11goals 0–0
- Maatta – Clague10:45
xG 0.43–0.47 (48%)attempts 5–11goals 0–1
- Edler – Roy17:58
xG 0.60–0.89 (40%)attempts 18–13goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it ARI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 72% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − ARI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).