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Ice Lab

Wed, Nov 24, 2021·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Boston Bruins 5, Buffalo Sabres 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 75% of the time.

BUF winsBOS wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BOS's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Bergeron–Marchand–PastrnakFoligno–Coyle–HallSmith–Nosek–DeBruskHaula–Blidh–LazarSmith–Haula–DeBruskBlidh–Lazar–NosekMarchand–Coyle–PastrnakSmith–Coyle–HallCoyle–Hall–LazarForbort–CarloGrzelcyk–McAvoyReilly–ZborilReilly–McAvoy
Skinner–Olofsson–Thompson1:420.00–0.052:200.10–0.083:330.13–0.192:060.02–0.081:030.00–0.020:380.06–0.005:130.28–0.113:220.02–0.153:490.01–0.17
Okposo–Asplund–Cozens5:420.16–0.310:320.02–0.000:440.00–0.002:360.00–0.002:000.00–0.006:040.16–0.161:410.01–0.15
Eakin–Hinostroza–Bjork1:130.00–0.024:540.01–0.391:050.00–0.101:130.02–0.000:380.00–0.071:260.02–0.211:290.00–0.006:030.08–0.35
Girgensons–Hayden–Ruotsalainen0:460.00–0.051:440.08–0.261:530.22–0.001:130.02–0.003:420.23–0.000:580.00–0.001:480.20–0.310:390.00–0.00
Hayden–Cozens–Ruotsalainen0:360.00–0.010:360.11–0.000:530.00–0.42
Skinner–Olofsson–Cozens1:140.01–0.00
Girgensons–Hayden–Bjork0:350.01–0.00
Girgensons–Hinostroza–Bjork0:300.00–0.00
Pysyk–Dahlin5:570.02–0.772:260.00–0.182:330.00–0.263:190.00–0.060:330.01–0.000:520.04–0.014:460.01–0.067:220.02–0.643:560.00–0.58
Jokiharju–Bryson1:260.02–0.004:190.11–0.292:220.08–0.300:590.10–0.000:470.10–0.021:000.02–0.015:490.25–0.262:390.00–0.034:250.21–0.27
Miller–Hagg2:430.00–0.162:060.02–0.002:310.14–0.020:400.02–0.003:240.14–0.002:110.05–0.103:360.01–0.16
Pysyk–Bryson0:320.00–0.000:440.12–0.000:440.12–0.000:390.00–0.000:320.00–0.00
Miller–Bryson
Hagg–Jokiharju0:420.00–0.00
Bryson–Dahlin0:490.07–0.07
Miller–Jokiharju0:350.10–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndOkposo FCozens FAsplund FSkinner FOlofsson FThompson FEakin FHinostroza FBjork FGirgensons FHayden FRuotsalainen FPysyk DDahlin DJokiharju DBryson DMiller DHagg DDell GTokarski GBergeron FMarchand FPastrnak FCoyle FFoligno FHall FSmith FHaula FDeBrusk FLazar FBlidh FNosek FGrzelcyk DMcAvoy DCarlo DForbort DReilly DZboril DSwayman G
BUFBOSFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Mark PysykBUF2723:290:521:4143
Rasmus DahlinBUF2823:270:501:2655
Mike ReillyBOS2421:200:531:4050
Charlie CoyleBOS2220:300:561:3530
Matt GrzelcykBOS2720:010:441:5415
Jacob BrysonBUF2919:520:411:2213
Brandon CarloBOS2418:530:472:1003
Charlie McAvoyBOS2618:380:431:3225
Henri JokiharjuBUF2918:370:391:1412
Derek ForbortBOS2417:560:451:2303
Jakub ZborilBOS2417:340:441:3340
Brad MarchandBOS2217:110:471:3242
Colin MillerBUF2517:000:411:1216
David PastrnakBOS2116:400:481:2842
Jeff SkinnerBUF2016:360:501:1533
Rasmus AsplundBUF2116:340:471:1931
Craig SmithBOS2016:300:501:2342
Robert HaggBUF2716:270:371:1216
Tage ThompsonBUF2216:260:451:1433
Taylor HallBOS2016:260:491:2330
Jake DeBruskBOS2016:250:491:2353
Kyle OkposoBUF2216:100:441:2735
Dylan CozensBUF2216:000:441:3041
Victor OlofssonBUF2015:460:471:1433
Anders BjorkBUF2015:160:461:2125
Patrice BergeronBOS2214:280:391:0442
Nick FolignoBOS1814:130:471:2640
Cody EakinBUF2013:590:421:4027
Tomas NosekBOS1713:530:491:1824
Vinnie HinostrozaBUF1713:190:471:2125
Curtis LazarBOS1612:460:481:3102
Anton BlidhBOS1612:240:471:1602
Erik HaulaBOS1612:120:461:1212
John HaydenBUF1812:050:401:1921
Zemgus GirgensonsBUF1912:040:381:0613
Arttu RuotsalainenBUF1710:240:371:1731