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Ice Lab

Sat, Dec 4, 2021·TD Garden, Boston

Tampa Bay Lightning 3, Boston Bruins 2 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 66% of the time.

BOS winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BOS forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Perry–Maroon–BellemareKatchouk–Raddysh–ColtonKillorn–Cirelli–FortierKillorn–Stamkos–PalatStamkos–Palat–Barré-BouletCirelli–Barré-Boulet–FortierStamkos–Palat–ColtonCirelli–Katchouk–RaddyshBogosian–SergachevHedman–RuttaMcDonagh–CernakBogosian–HedmanMcDonagh–RuttaMcDonagh–BogosianMcDonagh–SergachevMcDonagh–HedmanHedman–SergachevSergachev–Rutta
Bergeron–Hall–Pastrnak0:420.11–0.002:420.04–0.033:580.44–0.331:320.22–0.021:340.20–0.061:150.08–0.132:530.15–0.053:460.19–0.020:490.17–0.030:350.17–0.001:070.04–0.171:500.21–0.190:440.12–0.00
Smith–Haula–Coyle4:240.10–0.160:330.00–0.001:200.43–0.002:200.14–0.000:360.00–0.004:200.30–0.121:210.32–0.001:560.11–0.001:380.05–0.060:530.04–0.011:080.07–0.011:040.04–0.00
Foligno–Frederic–Kuhlman4:150.54–0.000:500.00–0.001:430.00–0.100:450.07–0.002:400.17–0.102:530.00–0.001:090.33–0.000:300.04–0.000:360.00–0.000:330.07–0.00
Lazar–Nosek–DeBrusk3:030.16–0.052:410.14–0.100:370.03–0.002:050.08–0.052:090.22–0.062:080.04–0.100:440.00–0.001:130.06–0.00
Coyle–Hall–Pastrnak0:330.00–0.00
Reilly–Clifton2:260.00–0.123:290.09–0.161:160.00–0.000:460.12–0.001:060.03–0.002:520.01–0.141:560.00–0.050:490.02–0.001:320.03–0.101:360.05–0.060:340.03–0.010:430.00–0.000:490.07–0.011:220.12–0.00
Grzelcyk–Carlo0:450.10–0.001:460.01–0.002:220.25–0.261:040.22–0.020:410.00–0.062:250.00–0.161:080.25–0.001:070.00–0.020:450.07–0.001:040.00–0.171:180.00–0.002:030.17–0.19
Forbort–Ahcan4:270.31–0.201:200.03–0.002:540.38–0.201:360.03–0.000:360.00–0.000:440.00–0.001:150.04–0.00
Forbort–Clifton0:450.05–0.000:400.00–0.000:520.00–0.100:410.16–0.000:390.00–0.001:480.00–0.100:510.00–0.271:050.16–0.000:370.05–0.03
Reilly–Carlo0:500.00–0.000:460.00–0.001:310.38–0.001:250.32–0.000:360.00–0.000:330.07–0.00
Carlo–Ahcan0:420.11–0.000:390.05–0.001:120.16–0.00
Grzelcyk–Clifton1:020.01–0.000:500.00–0.000:470.01–0.000:300.00–0.17
Reilly–Ahcan1:070.08–0.050:490.00–0.050:370.08–0.01
Forbort–Grzelcyk1:070.00–0.070:380.00–0.00
Clifton–Ahcan0:560.03–0.000:320.01–0.000:420.34–0.00
Forbort–Reilly
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndFrederic FFoligno FKuhlman FBergeron FNosek FCoyle FLazar FHaula FDeBrusk FHall FPastrnak FSmith FForbort DClifton DCarlo DReilly DGrzelcyk DAhcan DSwayman GPerry FMaroon FBellemare FKillorn FPalat FCirelli FStamkos FBarré-Boulet FColton FKatchouk FFortier FRaddysh FMcDonagh DCernak DHedman DSergachev DBogosian DRutta DVasilevskiy G
BOSTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Victor HedmanTBL2925:430:532:1256
Alex KillornTBL2822:570:491:3556
Mikhail SergachevTBL2622:450:532:0822
Mike ReillyBOS3222:390:421:1494
Connor CliftonBOS3122:260:431:37104
Ryan McDonaghTBL2821:120:451:2848
Brandon CarloBOS3120:410:401:0954
Anthony CirelliTBL2720:350:461:3876
Zach BogosianTBL2720:080:451:2534
Derek ForbortBOS3219:570:371:2422
David PastrnakBOS2419:260:491:16102
Steven StamkosTBL2419:160:481:3862
Patrice BergeronBOS2518:510:451:1393
Charlie CoyleBOS2418:430:471:1065
Ondrej PalatTBL2518:420:451:2554
Jan RuttaTBL2118:250:531:3525
Matt GrzelcykBOS2817:340:381:5562
Taylor HallBOS2517:090:411:0790
Erik HaulaBOS2416:420:421:1054
Jack AhcanBOS2215:310:421:2620
Ross ColtonTBL2215:270:421:0317
Craig SmithBOS2215:090:411:1064
Nick FolignoBOS1914:140:451:1941
Pierre-Edouard BellemareTBL2113:580:401:0124
Taylor RaddyshTBL2213:430:371:0206
Corey PerryTBL1813:280:451:1014
Tomas NosekBOS2213:090:361:1434
Patrick MaroonTBL1712:550:461:0314
Curtis LazarBOS1912:490:401:2551
Boris KatchoukTBL1812:170:411:1605
Trent FredericBOS1612:090:461:0430
Gabriel FortierTBL1712:090:431:1052
Jake DeBruskBOS1811:550:401:1051
Karson KuhlmanBOS1510:390:431:0320
Alex Barré-BouletTBL139:320:441:4541
Erik CernakTBL159:210:371:2727